Broncos vs Saints Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 7
AMZN is set to broadcast the week seven non-conference matchup between the Broncos and Saints, taking place at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The Saints are the home team and the game is on Thursday, October 17th at 8:15 ET. The Broncos are favored on the road with a money line of -124 and a -1.5 point spread. The over/under line is currently at 37 points.
Prediction at a Glance for Saints vs Broncos
- We have the Broncos winning this one by a score of 19 to 17
- Not only do we have the Broncos winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 37 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Broncos -1.5 | Saints +1.5
- Total: 37
- MoneyLine: Broncos -124 | Saints +105
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Broncos vs. Saints Prediction: MoneyLine
Denver’s offense has struggled to get going early in games, scoring just 2.8 points per game in the first quarter, which ranks 22nd in the NFL. In week 6, they were shut out through three quarters before scoring 16 points in the 4th quarter against the Chargers. Bo Nix threw for 216 yards, completing 19 of 33 passes with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Devaughn Vele led the team with 4 catches for 78 yards.
Heading into week 7, the Broncos rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 22nd in the league in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game, and 29th in total yards with 278.2 per game. Denver ranks 28th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 25% success rate, but they are 12th in red zone conversions, scoring on 38.9% of their trips.
Heading into week 7, the Saints rank 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.8 points per game, and they rank 3rd in 3rd-down conversion rate at 47.1%. However, they have struggled in the red zone, ranking 25th in conversion percentage despite being 6th in red zone attempts.
Against the Buccaneers in week 6, New Orleans scored all 27 of their points in the 2nd quarter. Spencer Rattler threw for 243 yards, completing 22 of 40 passes, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Alvin Kamara had 40 rushing yards on 13 carries, while Foster Moreau led the team with 54 receiving yards on 2 catches.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Broncos -124 (Bet Now)
Broncos vs. Saints Prediction: Total
In their 23-16 loss to the Chargers, the Broncos’ defense allowed 350 total yards and 128 rushing yards on 38 attempts. They did have three sacks and held the Chargers to 3.4 yards per attempt on the ground. In the passing game, Denver gave up 222 yards through the air, with the Chargers converting on 61.1% of their third down attempts. The Broncos also allowed one passing touchdown and a 61.8% completion percentage to the Chargers.
The Saints’ defense struggled to stop the run in their 51-27 loss to the Buccaneers, giving up 277 yards on the ground and 594 total yards. Despite allowing just 317 passing yards, they gave up four passing touchdowns. New Orleans did come up with three interceptions and held Tampa Bay to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. However, the Buccaneers’ big plays were too much to overcome.
New Orleans allowed Tampa Bay to average 8.8 yards per passing attempt and convert 60% of their third down chances. Offensively, the Saints managed just one sack and allowed the Buccaneers to control the game on the ground, with a yards per attempt average of 7.9.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 37 (Bet Now)
Broncos vs. Saints Prediction: Spread
Following a two-game win streak, the Broncos couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 6, falling 31-28 to the Chargers at home. This leaves Denver at 3-3, putting them 3rd in the AFC West. They currently have a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.4% chance of winning the division. In our power rankings, the Broncos sit 25th heading into week 7.
Denver is 4-2 against the spread, with a +2.7 scoring margin. They are 1-0 ATS as favorites and 3-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-3, with the over hitting in two straight games.
- Through their last three games, the Broncos have a record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
- In their last five road games, Denver has averaged 17 points per game while allowing 22. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
After starting the season with two straight wins, the Saints have now dropped four in a row, including a 51-27 home loss to the Bucs in week 6. New Orleans was a 3.5-point underdog in that game but couldn’t cover the spread, leaving their ATS record at 3-3. They are 29th in our power rankings and have a 14.7% chance of making the playoffs.
The average O/U line in Saints games this season has been 44.2 points, with their matchups averaging 52.3 points. Their O/U record is 4-2.
- Through their last three regular season contests, New Orleans has a record of 1-2. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
- In their last five home games, New Orleans has averaged 25 points per game while allowing 22. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
- Free Spread Prediction Broncos -1.5 (Bet Now)
Broncos vs. Saints Pick: Broncos Moneyline (-124)
For this week seven matchup between the Broncos and Saints, we have the Broncos coming out on top by a score of 18-11. The point spread lines have the Broncos at -1.5 favorites, and with this projection, we like the Broncos to cover as road favorites.
As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 37 points, we are leaning towards the under, with a projected combined score of 29 points.