Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Bills vs Jets Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6

ByUSA Wager

The Bills are favored on the road with a money line of -144 as they take on the Jets at 8:15 ET on Monday, October 14th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Jets are +121 on the money line and +2.5 on the point spread. Both teams are looking to improve their record in this AFC East matchup. The over/under line is set at 41 points, and this game is being televised on ESPN.

Prediction at a Glance for Jets vs Bills

  • We have the Jets winning this one by a score of 25 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Jets winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 41 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Bills -2.5 | Jets +2.5
  • Total: 41
  • MoneyLine: Bills -144 | Jets +121

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Bills vs. Jets Prediction: MoneyLine

Josh Allen struggled in week 5, completing just 9 of 30 passes for 131 yards and one touchdown, finishing with a passer rating of 56. He has gone three straight games without an interception, but his passing yards have decreased in each game since his 263-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 3. Keon Coleman led the team in receiving in week 5 with a 49-yard catch, while James Cook had 82 rushing yards on 20 carries.

Buffalo ranks 5th in our offensive power rankings and is 3rd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 28.4 points per game. Despite this, they are 20th in the league in total yards per game (299.8) and 23rd in passing yards per game (181.6). The Bills have struggled on third down, converting just 32.1% of their attempts, which ranks 22nd in the NFL.

Heading into week 6, the Jets are 25th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.6, and are 25th in yards per game with 286.6. Despite being 3rd in passing attempts, they are 18th in passing yards per game (206.2). On the ground, they rank last in the league, with just 80.4 rushing yards per game on 22.6 attempts per contest.

In week 5, Aaron Rodgers threw for 244 yards, completing 29 of 54 passes, with 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Garrett Wilson led the team with 13 receptions for 101 yards and a touchdown, while Breece Hall managed only 23 rushing yards on 9 carries. The Jets converted 5 of 17 third-down attempts and scored on 2 of 3 red zone trips against the Vikings.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Jets +121 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Jets Prediction: Total

In Buffalo’s 23-20 loss to the Texans, the Bills’ defense allowed 425 total yards and 331 passing yards. The Texans completed 73.7% of their passes, with one touchdown and one interception. Buffalo’s run defense performed better, giving up just 94 yards on 28 attempts (3.4 yards per attempt).

On third down, the Bills allowed the Texans to convert 50% of their chances. Buffalo managed just one sack in the game.

The Jets’ defense put together a strong performance in their most recent game against the Vikings, despite the team’s 23-17 loss. They held Minnesota to just 82 yards on 30 rushing attempts, averaging only 2.7 yards per attempt. New York’s defense also limited the Vikings to 171 passing yards and a 46.9% completion percentage.

Even though the Jets’ offense struggled, the defense didn’t allow a passing touchdown and came up with four sacks. They also performed well on third downs, allowing the Vikings to convert only 30.8% of their third down attempts.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 41 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Jets Prediction: Spread

Despite two straight losses, the Bills remain in first place in the AFC East with a 3-2 record. After a 37-point win over the Jaguars in week 3, Buffalo dropped back-to-back road games, losing 35-10 to the Ravens in week 4 and 23-20 to the Texans in week 5. The Bills were 1.5-point underdogs against Houston but couldn’t pull off the win, leaving them 2-3 against the spread this season.

Heading into week 6, our analytics give the Bills a 71.2% chance of winning the division and an 88.4% chance of making the playoffs. Buffalo ranks 5th in our NFL power rankings and has an average scoring margin of +7.2 points per game.

  • The Bills have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Bills have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.

The Jets have dropped two straight, including a 23-17 loss to the Vikings in week 5. New York was unable to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, bringing their ATS record to 2-3 this season. They are 2-1 against the spread as favorites but 0-2 as underdogs. The Jets are 13th in our power rankings and have a 57.7% chance of making the playoffs.

New York’s O/U record stands at 1-3-1, with the under hitting in each of their last three games. Their matchups have averaged 35.6 points, with an average O/U line of 41. In week 5, the Jets and Vikings combined for 40 points, falling short of the 42-point line.

  • The Jets have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. Across these games, they have put together an ATS mark of 1-2 as well as an over-under record of 1-2.
  • Through their last five home games, New York has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 19 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Jets +2.5 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Jets Pick: Jets Moneyline (+121)

For this week six matchup between the Jets and Bills, we have the Jets coming out on top by a score of 25-23. Despite being the underdogs at +2.5, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Jets to cover as home underdogs.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at just 41 points, we are leaning towards taking the over with a projected combined score of 48 points.

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