Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Bengals vs Giants Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6

On Sunday, October 13th at 8:20 ET, the Giants and Bengals will face off at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Giants are the underdog at +152 on the money line, and the Bengals are favored by -3.5 points with an over/under line set at 49 points. This week six non-conference matchup is being televised on NBC.

Prediction at a Glance for Giants vs Bengals

  • We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
  • Not only do we have the Giants winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 49 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Bengals -3.5 | Giants +3.5
  • Total: 49
  • MoneyLine: Bengals -181 | Giants +152

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Bengals vs. Giants Prediction: MoneyLine

Joe Burrow has been on fire over his last three games, culminating in a 392-yard, 5-touchdown performance in week 5 against the Ravens. He posted a passer rating of 136, completing 30 of 39 passes. Ja’Marr Chase caught 10 passes for 193 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game. Before that, Burrow threw for 232 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 4 and had 324 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 3.

Heading into week 6, the Bengals are 4th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28. They are also 4th in 3rd-down conversion rate, with 47.5%. Cincinnati ranks 5th in passing yards per game, with 263, but they are 28th in rushing, averaging just 96 yards per game.

Heading into week 6, the Giants rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.8, and 18th in yards per game with 321.4. New York ranks 4th in passing attempts per game, resulting in 218.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 13th. On the ground, they are 24th in the league, averaging 103.2 rushing yards per game. The Giants are 15th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37.5% success rate, and they rank 13th in red zone conversion percentage.

Daniel Jones posted a passer rating of 109 in week 5, throwing for 257 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. Darius Slayton led the team with 8 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 129 yards on 18 carries. The Giants scored 9 points in the 4th quarter against Seattle, converting 7 of 16 3rd-down attempts, but only scored on 1 of their 4 red zone trips.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Giants +152 (Bet Now)

Bengals vs. Giants Prediction: Total

In their 41-38 overtime loss to the Ravens, the Bengals’ defense gave up 520 yards. They struggled to defend the run, allowing 175 rushing yards on 34 attempts. The Bengals also allowed four passing touchdowns and a 66.7% third-down conversion rate to Baltimore. They finished with just one sack and gave up 345 passing yards.

The Bengals lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -2 and allowed the Ravens to average 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Their defense will be looking to improve in all areas after this performance.

The Giants’ defense played well in their 29-20 win over the Seahawks, recording seven sacks and holding Seattle to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 102 rushing yards on just 11 attempts, the Giants limited the Seahawks to 20 points and allowed only 231 passing yards. Seattle managed just one touchdown through the air.

New York’s defense put a lot of pressure on the quarterback, with seven sacks in the game. Even though the Giants allowed 333 total yards, their pass rush helped them come out on top in this one.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 49 (Bet Now)

Bengals vs. Giants Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 6, the Bengals sit 9th in our NFL power rankings despite their 1-4 record. Our projections give them a 35.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 6.7% chance of winning the AFC North. Cincinnati is 0-3 at home but 1-1 on the road, with their lone win coming against the Panthers in week 4. However, they couldn’t carry that momentum into week 5, losing 41-38 to the Ravens.

Against the spread, the Bengals are 2-3, including 1-2 as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-1, with the over hitting in four straight games. Their contests have averaged 57 points, with an average line of 45.8.

  • Cincinnati has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Cincinnati has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.

Heading into week 6, the Giants are 2-3 and rank 27th in our NFL power rankings. They have a 7.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 2.2% chance of winning the NFC East. New York is 0-2 at home this season but 2-1 on the road, including a 29-20 win over the Seahawks in week 5. They were 7-point underdogs in that game, but the win gave them their third straight ATS victory.

The Giants have been underdogs in all of their games this season and are 3-2 against the spread. Their average scoring margin is -3, and their O/U record is 1-4. Their games have averaged 38.6 points, compared to an average line of 42.1.

  • Across New York’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 0-3.
  • Across their last five home contests, New York has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 19 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Giants +3.5 (Bet Now)

Bengals vs. Giants Pick: Giants Moneyline (+152)

Our pick against the spread is to take the Giants to cover at home, as they are currently sitting at +3.5 point underdogs vs. the Bengals. We have the Giants winning this one 25-18, and with the Giants at +3.5, they are our pick vs. the spread.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 49 points, we are leaning towards taking the under with a projected combined score of 43 points.

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