Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Falcons vs Panthers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6

ByUSA Wager

FOX will broadcast the week six NFC South matchup between the Falcons and Panthers from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The Panthers are the home team, and the game is set for 4:25 ET. The Falcons are favored on the road with a money line of -266, while the Panthers’ money line odds are +218. The Falcons are looking to add to their record, as are the Panthers. The point spread favors the Falcons by -6, and the over/under line is at 47.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Panthers vs Falcons

  • We have the Panthers winning this one by a score of 30 to 19
  • Not only do we have the Panthers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Falcons -6 | Panthers +6
  • Total: 47.5
  • MoneyLine: Falcons -266 | Panthers +218

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 6, the Falcons are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.2, and 9th in total yards per game with 357.4. Atlanta has been pass-heavy, ranking 5th in pass attempts and 6th in passing yards per game, while sitting 27th in rushing attempts and 26th in rushing yards. They are 23rd in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 30.8% success rate, but rank 9th in red zone conversion percentage.

Kirk Cousins is coming off a 509-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 5, where he completed 42 of 58 passes against the Buccaneers. Drake London had 12 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown in that game, while Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing with 61 yards on 12 carries.

After a strong week 3 performance where he threw for 319 yards and 3 touchdowns, Andy Dalton’s numbers have declined over the past two games. He posted a passer rating of 83 in week 4, with 220 yards and 2 touchdowns, followed by a 136-yard outing in week 5, with no touchdowns and one interception. Dalton was sacked three times in the week 5 loss to the Bears. Chuba Hubbard has been solid on the ground, rushing for 97 yards on 13 carries in week 5, after recording 104 yards in week 4 and 114 yards in week 3.

Carolina ranks 27th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 16.6, and they are 23rd in total yards per game, with 291.2. They are 24th in passing yards per game, despite ranking 10th in passing attempts. On third down, the Panthers rank 25th in the league with a conversion rate of 28.3%, but they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 75% of their opportunities, which ranks 6th in the NFL.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Panthers +218 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction: Total

Despite giving up 160 rushing yards on just 26 attempts, the Falcons’ defense held the Buccaneers to 173 passing yards in their 36-30 overtime win. Tampa Bay completed 79.2% of their passes, with three passing touchdowns. Atlanta’s defense allowed the Buccaneers to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts.

The Falcons’ defense managed just one sack in the game. Overall, Atlanta gave up 333 total yards, but their defense did enough to help secure the overtime victory.

In their 36-10 loss to the Bears, the Panthers’ defense allowed 296 passing yards on just 20 completions. Carolina gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed Chicago to complete 69% of their passes. The Panthers struggled to generate pressure, managing only one sack and losing the quarterback hit differential by -8.

On the ground, the Panthers gave up 128 rushing yards on 39 attempts, with Chicago finishing with 424 total yards. Carolina also struggled on third downs, allowing the Bears to convert 63.6% of their third down attempts.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 47.5 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction: Spread

With two straight wins, the Falcons are now 3-2 and sit atop the NFC South. After a week 3 loss to the Chiefs, Atlanta bounced back with home wins over the Saints and Buccaneers, including a 36-30 victory over Tampa Bay in week 5. The Falcons were 2.5-point favorites and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 2-3 this season.

Our projections give the Falcons a 58.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 44% chance of winning the division. They rank 17th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 6. Their O/U record is 2-3, with the over hitting in two straight games.

  • The Falcons have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. However, they have only gone 1-2 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 2-1.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 15 points per game in these contests.

Heading into week 6, the Panthers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 36-10 road loss to the Bears in week 5. Carolina was a 4-point underdog in that game and was unable to cover the spread. The O/U line was set at 40 points, and the teams combined for 46. Prior to that, the over had hit in the Panthers’ previous two games, including their 34-24 loss to the Bengals in week 4.

Carolina currently ranks 30th in our NFL power rankings and has just a 1.4% chance of making the playoffs. They are 1-4 this season and sit 4th in the NFC South. Their only win came in week 3, when they beat the Raiders 36-22. The Panthers are 1-4 against the spread and have been underdogs in all of their games so far.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Carolina has a record of 0-3. This includes going 0-3 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Panthers offense has averaged 12 points per game while allowing an average of 31. Carolina posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-4 ATS.
  • Free Spread Prediction Panthers +6 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Panthers Pick: Panthers Moneyline (+218)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Panthers to cover as home underdogs in this week six matchup against the Falcons. As it stands, the Panthers are 6-point underdogs, and we have them not only covering but winning by a score of 26-24.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 47.5 points, we like the over, with our projections suggesting a combined score of 50 points.

Similar Posts