Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Steelers vs Raiders Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6

The Raiders, with a point spread of +3, will host the Steelers at 4:05 ET on Sunday, October 13th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Steelers are favored on the road with a money line of -157. Looking at the over/under line, the total points line is at 36.5 points. You can catch this one on CBS. Both teams need to add their records.

Prediction at a Glance for Raiders vs Steelers

  • We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
  • Not only do we have the Steelers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 36.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Steelers -3 | Raiders +3
  • Total: 36.5
  • MoneyLine: Steelers -157 | Raiders +132

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Steelers vs. Raiders Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 6, the Steelers rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.4, and 21st in yards per game, with 299.4. Pittsburgh is 23rd in passing attempts and 25th in passing yards per game, averaging 178.2. However, they rank 3rd in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards per game, with 121.2. On 3rd down, the Steelers are converting 40.6% of the time, which ranks 13th in the league, and they are 11th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 5, Justin Fields threw for 131 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15/27 passing. Najee Harris had 42 rushing yards on 14 carries, and he also led the team in receiving with 35 yards on 2 catches. Pittsburgh scored 3 points in the 1st quarter, 0 in the 2nd, 7 in the 3rd, and 7 in the 4th.

Heading into week 6, the Raiders rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game, averaging 19.2, and 22nd in yards per game, with 297. Las Vegas ranks 9th in passing attempts per game (34.4), resulting in 213 passing yards per game, which ranks 15th in the league. On the ground, they rank 26th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game, averaging just 84 yards.

In week 5, the Raiders scored 18 points in their loss to the Broncos, with 10 of those coming in the 1st quarter. Gardner Minshew went 12/17 for 137 yards, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Brock Bowers led the team with 8 catches for 97 yards, while Ameer Abdullah had 42 rushing yards on 5 carries. Las Vegas converted 7 of 15 3rd downs and went 1/2 in the red zone.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Steelers -157 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Raiders Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Steelers’ defense gave up 336 passing yards to the Cowboys. Despite this, they managed to intercept two passes. The Steelers lost 20-17 and allowed the Cowboys to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. On the defensive side, they gave up 445 total yards and 29 completions. Dallas also managed to find the endzone through the air twice.

Pittsburgh’s run defense was a bit more solid, allowing just 109 yards on 31 attempts (3.5 yards per attempt). They also had two sacks and forced Dallas into a few negative plays.

In their 34-18 loss to the Broncos, the Raiders’ defense allowed 180 passing yards on 19 completions. The Raiders gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed the Broncos to complete 70.4% of their passes. Despite this, the Raiders’ defense held the Broncos to just a 25% conversion rate on third down. They also recorded three sacks and had two more quarterback hits than the Broncos.

On the ground, the Raiders allowed 109 rushing yards on 28 attempts. The Raiders’ defense did well in generating tackles for loss, finishing with a +3 differential in that category.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 36.5 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Raiders Prediction: Spread

After a 3-0 start, the Steelers have now dropped two straight, including a 20-17 home loss to the Cowboys in week 5. Pittsburgh was favored by 2.5 points but couldn’t hold on for the win, bringing their record to 3-2. They are currently 2nd in the AFC North and 5th in the conference, with a 61% chance of making the playoffs according to our projections.

Heading into week 6, the Steelers rank 16th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +3.8 points per game and are 3-2 against the spread, though they’ve failed to cover in their last two games. Their O/U record is 1-4, with an average of 33 points scored in their games compared to a line of 40.

  • Across Pittsburgh’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
  • In their last five road games, Pittsburgh has averaged 17 points per game while allowing 16 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.

Heading into week 6, the Raiders are 2-3 and rank 26th in our NFL power rankings. They have a 16.1% chance of making the playoffs and just a 0.8% chance of winning the AFC West. Las Vegas is 0-2 in division games and 2-2 against the AFC. Their home record stands at 1-1, while they are 1-2 on the road.

Against the spread, the Raiders are 2-3, with an average scoring margin of -7 points per game. They are 2-2 as underdogs but 0-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 3-2, with their games averaging 45.4 points compared to a 39.3-point line. In week 5, Las Vegas and Denver combined for 52 points, going over the 36.5-point line. The Raiders lost 34-18, failing to cover as 3-point underdogs.

  • Las Vegas will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
  • Las Vegas has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 18 points per game while allowing 23. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Free Spread Prediction Steelers -3 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Raiders Pick: Steelers -3

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as road favorites. The current line has the Raiders at +3, but we have the Steelers winning this one 21-16. With this projection, we are going against the spread with the Steelers.

For the over/under, we really like the over, and with a projected combined score of 37 points, we think there is a lot of value in taking the over with the line sitting at just 36.5 points.

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