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Commanders vs Ravens Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6

ByUSA Wager

The Ravens are favored by -6.5 as they host the Washington Commanders at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Ravens are the heavy favorite with a money line of -288, while Washington’s money line odds are +235. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS, with the over/under line set at 52.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Ravens vs Commanders

  • We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 30 to 19
  • Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 52.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Commanders +6.5 | Ravens -6.5
  • Total: 52.5
  • MoneyLine: Commanders +235 | Ravens -288

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Commanders vs. Ravens Prediction: MoneyLine

Washington’s offense has been explosive this season, leading the NFL with 31 points per game. They rank 4th in the league with 392.6 passing yards per game and are 14th in passing yards, despite being 25th in passing attempts. Jayden Daniels threw for 238 yards and a touchdown in week 5, with Terry McLaurin catching 4 passes for 112 yards.

On the ground, the Commanders are 2nd in rushing yards and attempts, averaging 178.4 yards per game. Daniels led the team with 82 rushing yards in week 5, and Washington ranks 1st in 3rd-down conversions, converting 51.7% of their attempts.

Lamar Jackson has been on a tear, posting passer ratings of 119 in week 5, 135 in week 4, and 139 in week 3. Against the Bengals in week 5, he threw for 348 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception. Derrick Henry rushed for 92 yards on 15 carries in week 5, following a 199-yard performance in week 4 and 151 yards in week 3. Zay Flowers led the Ravens in receiving in week 5 with 7 catches for 111 yards.

Heading into week 6, the Ravens rank 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game (447.6) and are 2nd in points per game, averaging 29.4. Baltimore also leads the league in rushing attempts and yards per game, with 211.2. They rank 3rd in 3rd-down conversions, converting 50% of their attempts.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Commanders +235 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Ravens Prediction: Total

Washington’s defense played a big role in their 34-13 win over the Browns, as they recorded seven sacks and limited Cleveland to just 108 passing yards. The Commanders’ defense was dominant on third downs, allowing only a 7.7% conversion rate. Despite giving up 104 rushing yards, Washington held the Browns to 3.7 yards per attempt in the passing game.

Additionally, the Commanders allowed just 16 completions on 23 rushing attempts. Washington’s defense also forced the Browns into negative plays, winning the quarterback hit battle and recording more sacks.

The Ravens’ defense gave up five passing touchdowns in their 41-38 overtime win over the Bengals. Cincinnati’s offense had a lot of success, putting up 442 yards and completing 76.9% of their passes. Baltimore did come up with one interception and recorded three sacks, while the Bengals converted on 57.1% of their third down attempts.

Despite their struggles defending the pass, the Ravens did limit the Bengals to just 71 rushing yards on 23 attempts, and they also had more tackles for loss and QB hits than Cincinnati.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 52.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Ravens Prediction: Spread

Washington heads into week 6 with a four-game winning streak, which includes a 34-13 home victory over the Browns in week 5. The Commanders were 3-point favorites and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 4-1. They have covered in four straight games, including two as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-1, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.

With a 4-1 record, Washington sits first in the NFC East and 2nd in the conference. Our projections give them a 69.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 47.8% chance of winning the division. They are 12th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 6.

  • Through their last three games, the Commanders have a record of 3-0. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • Across their last five road contests, Washington has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 29 points per game.

After starting the season with two straight losses, the Ravens have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 41-38 victory over the Bengals in week 5. Baltimore was a 2.5-point favorite in that game, and the teams easily surpassed the 48.5-point over/under line with 79 total points. The Ravens also covered the spread in their previous two games, beating the Bills 35-10 in week 4 and the Cowboys 28-25 in week 3.

Baltimore currently sits atop our NFL power rankings and has a 71.4% chance of winning the AFC North and a 91.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-2 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +4.2 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-1, with their games averaging 54.6 points per contest.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Ravens have gone 1-2 straight up. Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 1-2.
  • The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Commanders +6.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Ravens Pick: Commanders Moneyline (+235)

Our model has the Commanders pulling off the upset over the Ravens in this week six matchup, with a final score prediction of 29-18 in favor of Washington. With the Commanders sitting at +6.5 point road underdogs, our best bet is to take them to not only cover but win straight-up.

For an additional pick, we like the under for this matchup, with a projected combined score of 47 points and the O/U line sitting at 52.5 points.

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