Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Cowboys vs Steelers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 5

ByUSA Wager

The Cowboys and Steelers will face off on Sunday, October 6th at 8:20 ET, with the game being televised on NBC. The Steelers are the favorite with a money line of -139, and the Cowboys’ money line is +116. The over/under line is currently sitting at 43 points. The Cowboys vs. Steelers week five matchup is a non-conference game. The point spread favors the Steelers by -2.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Steelers vs Cowboys

  • We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 26 to 25
  • Even though we like the Steelers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Cowboys at +2.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 43 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Cowboys +2.5 | Steelers -2.5
  • Total: 43
  • MoneyLine: Cowboys +116 | Steelers -139

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Cowboys vs. Steelers Prediction: MoneyLine

Quarterback Dak Prescott completed 22 of 27 passes for 221 yards and two touchdowns in the Cowboys’ 20-15 win over the Giants. He also finished with a passer rating of 125. Dallas’ offense put up 213 passing yards, with Prescott being sacked once. CeeDee Lamb led the receiving corps with 98 yards and a touchdown.

Dallas struggled on third down, converting only 30% of their chances, and the running game was limited to 80 yards on 23 attempts. Rico Dowdle was the leading rusher with 46 yards on 11 carries and also caught a receiving touchdown.

In their 27-24 loss to the Colts, the Steelers’ offense put up 24 points and 23 first downs. They ran for 122 yards on 30 attempts and threw for 282 yards through the air. Justin Fields led the passing attack, completing 22 of 34 passes for 312 yards and one touchdown, finishing with a passer rating of 104 and adding two rushing touchdowns while running for 55 yards.

Despite Fields’ performance, the Steelers’ offense line allowed him to be sacked four times. George Pickens was the top receiver, with 113 yards on seven catches. Pittsburgh also converted 46.2% of their third down attempts.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Steelers -139 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Steelers Prediction: Total

In their 20-15 win over the Giants, the Cowboys’ defense was outstanding against the run, allowing just 26 yards on 24 attempts (1.1 yards per attempt). Despite giving up 277 yards through the air on 29 completions, they kept the Giants out of the end zone and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns. Dallas defended well on third downs, allowing the Giants to convert just 31.2% of their third down attempts.

The Cowboys’ defense also came up with one interception and won the tackles for loss battle. They recorded one sack and held the Giants to a 72.5% completion rate.

In their most recent game, the Steelers’ defense allowed the Colts to convert on 53.3% of their third down attempts. The Steelers lost the game 27-24, giving up 358 yards to the Colts. They also allowed 133 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 225 passing yards on 19 completions.

Despite recording two sacks, the Steelers lost both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. Indianapolis averaged 7.5 yards per pass attempt and connected on two passing touchdowns against Pittsburgh.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 43 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Steelers Prediction: Spread

The Cowboys improved to 2-2 on the season with a 20-15 win over the Giants. Dallas didn’t cover the spread in their 5-point win, as they were 5.5-point favorites on the road. The combined 35 points was under the over/under line of 45 points. Dallas led 7-3 after the 1st quarter and added a touchdown to make it 14-9 at halftime.

The Giants kicked a field goal in the 3rd quarter to pull within 17-12, and after each team added a field goal in the 3rd, Dallas held a 20-15 lead heading into the 4th. The Cowboys added a field goal with 6:59 remaining in the 4th, and the Dallas defense held the Giants out of the endzone in the final quarter.

  • Across Dallas’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Across these games, their ATS record was just 0-3, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
  • Through their last five road games, Dallas has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 24 points per game.

The Steelers are now 3-1 after a tough 27-24 loss to the Colts in their most recent game. Favored by -2.5, Pittsburgh’s loss also resulted in a non-cover vs. the spread. The game saw a combined 51 points, going over the 41-point total line. The Steelers fell behind early, trailing 14-0 after the 1st quarter, but they made a strong comeback in the 4th quarter, scoring 14 points to make it a three-point game.

Pittsburgh battled back from a 17-3 halftime deficit to take a 24-17 lead in the 4th quarter, fueled by a big quarter from Justin Fields and a touchdown from Joe Flacco to Drew Ogletree. However, the Colts outscored the Steelers 10-0 in the final minutes to steal the win. Matt Gay’s 35-yard field goal with 6:06 remaining in the 4th put the Colts ahead for good.

  • Pittsburgh will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • The Steelers are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Cowboys +2.5 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Steelers Pick: Cowboys +2.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Cowboys to cover as road underdogs in this week five matchup between the Cowboys and Steelers. The point spread lines have the Cowboys at +2.5, and we have the Steelers winning by a score of 23-22.

For an over/under pick, we like taking the over, with a projected combined score of 45 points and the line sitting at 43 points.

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