Royals vs Orioles Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, October 1st

The forecast for Tuesday’s matchup between the Royals and Orioles calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid 60s. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 4:08 PM ET. ESPN2 will be carrying the TV coverage for this AL matchup.

Baltimore is currently on a three-game winning streak and has an overall record of 91-71. They are favored on the money line today at -159. The Royals are +135 on the money line, and this AL Central club is 2nd in their division.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Royals 1.5 (-174) | Orioles -1.5 (+144)
• Total: 7
• MoneyLine: Royals +135 | Orioles -159

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Royals vs. Orioles Prediction: Moneyline

The Royals’s offense was carried by Michael Massey in their most recent game vs. the Braves. Massey went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs. The Royals really broke things open with their three-run 1st inning and added another run in the 4th. Kansas City was the +183 underdog going into this road game.

Alec Marsh got the start for the Royals, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Kansas City is 86-76 overall and trails the Guardians by 6.5 games in the AL Central. The Royals are on the road today to take on the Orioles and have an overall division record of 33-19. They lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Braves.

So far, the Royals have gone 45-36 at home compared to 41-40 on the road. As the favorite, Kansas City is 50-31 this year and 36-45 as the underdog. The Royals have dropped two straight series at home, and their overall series record is 23-26-2.

Heading into their last game vs. the Twins, the Orioles closed out the series with a 6-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +109 on the money line. It was a big three-run 5th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Twins could only score two runs, both of which came in the 2nd.

Albert Suarez put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Baltimore’s offense was carried by James McCann, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Baltimore is three games behind the Yankees in the AL East but have an overall record of 91-71, which is good for 2nd place in the division. They have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Twins with a win. This season, they have gone 32-20 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Orioles are 44-37 this season and 47-34 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 70-52 and 21-19 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 26-18-7, and they have won two straight series.

Royals vs. Orioles Prediction: Over/Under

The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.5 runs per game. The Royals have hit the under in three straight games and have an over/under record of 69-88 on the season. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.

Currently, the Royals have the 7th best home batting average in the league and are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the MLB. Overall, they are batting .248, which is the 7th best mark in the league. As a team, they are 2nd in the league in fewest strikeouts per game and have the 11th best slugging percentage in the league.

Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been the Royals’ top two power threats this season, with Perez having 27 homers and Witt Jr. at 32. Witt Jr. has also been a standout in terms of batting average, hitting .332, while Perez comes in at .271. Witt Jr. is also on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last four games, Hunter Renfroe has two homers but is just 2/11.

The Orioles are playing at home against the Royals today. The over/under line is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.2. Baltimore has gone over the total in 87 of their 150 games this season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs.

As a team, the Orioles are 4th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they have the 2nd most home runs in the league and are 6th in team batting average. Baltimore also comes into the game with the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.

Anthony Santander comes into the game with the 3rd most home runs in the league and is also 10th in the league in RBIs. However, his batting average of .235 is just 9th on the team. Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ top hitter this season, batting .281 with 37 home runs, which is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league.

Royals vs. Orioles Prediction: Spread

When the Royals are the underdog on the road, they have been a good bet, going 48-33 on the run line this season. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog and have a scoring margin of +0.7 runs per game on the road.

Kansas City is sending left-hander Cole Ragans to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 11-9 with an ERA of 3.14. Ragans’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 32 starts, he has turned in 21 quality starts and is averaging 10.77 strikeouts per nine innings. Ragans’ last outing came on September 24th vs. the Nationals, where he went six innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

When the Orioles win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which has helped them to an 87-75 run line record this season. Baltimore is just 38-43 against the run line at home, but they have been much better on the road, going 49-32. As the underdog, the Orioles have been a great bet, going 27-13 against the run line.

Corbin Burnes is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees, where he took the loss. In that start, he went five innings, giving up one earned run on two hits. Looking back further, Burnes had picked up the win in two straight outings, not giving up a run in either start. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.92, along with a record of 15-9. Opponents are batting .210 off Burnes this season. For the year, he has made 32 starts, 22 of which were quality starts. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is 1.10.

Royals vs. Orioles Pick: Orioles ML -159

Our pick for today’s Royals vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -159. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 5-3.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Cole Ragans finishing with a solid six strikeouts, but we don’t see him going very deep into the game, with our projections having him going just five innings.

As for Corbin Burnes, we have him finishing with five strikeouts and also going five innings. Offensively, our projections have the Orioles finishing with six hits compared to the Royals with six.