Orioles vs Twins Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 29th
First pitch for Sunday’s Orioles vs. Twins matchup is set for 3:10 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Orioles have won two straight and are 90-71, putting them 2nd in the AL East. Minnesota is 4th in the AL Central with an overall record of 82-79 and they are favored on the money line today (-169).
Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, while the Twins are going with Bailey Ober. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Orioles 1.5 (-156) | Twins -1.5 (+128)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Orioles +141 | Twins -169
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Orioles vs. Twins Prediction: Moneyline
Baltimore cruised to an easy 9-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three runs, and added two more in the 5th. On the other side, the Twins got on the board with one run in the 7th and added their final run in the 9th.
Matt Bowman only went 1 1/3 innings for the Orioles but didn’t give up a run and got the win. Zebby Matthews struggled on the mound for the Twins, giving up six runs in three innings of work. He took the loss.
Emmanuel Rivera had a huge game for Baltimore, going 4/4 with two homers and four RBIs. Ryan O’Hearn also went deep for the Orioles, going 2/5 with three RBIs. Jackson Holliday scored three times and drove in a run while going 3/4.
With an overall record of 90-71, the Orioles are three games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has won two straight games, and they are 32-20 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles are winning the series vs. the Twins, with an overall series record of 26-18-7 this year.
At home, the Orioles have gone 44-37 this year, and they have been really good on the road, going 46-34. As the underdog, the Orioles are 20-19 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Baltimore’s overall series record is 26-18-7, and they have lost three straight series at home.
With an overall record of 82-79, the Twins are 10 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. Minnesota has dropped three straight games, and they have lost four straight games at home. The Twins have really struggled recently, going just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
So far, the Twins have gone 29-23 against other teams in the AL Central. As the favorite, Minnesota is 65-49 this season and 17-30 as the underdog. At home, the Twins are 36-30 when favored. Looking at their overall record, the Twins have gone 43-37 at home compared to 39-42 on the road.
Orioles vs. Twins Prediction: Over/Under
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Orioles have played in 128 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5, which accounts for 79.5% of their games. Their combined run average this season is 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 87-63, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 10-7. They are currently on a streak of four consecutive games going over the total.
For the season, the Orioles are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 4th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 6th in the league, and are 2nd in the league in home runs. Baltimore also has the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.
Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the league. He is also 10th in the league with 102 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson comes into the game with a team-high 92 RBIs and is batting .282. Adley Rutschman has gone 8/27 in his last six games.
The Minnesota Twins are playing at home against the Baltimore Orioles today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Twins have hit the over in 20 of their 38 games with a 7.5 run line this season. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this year, and they are on a four-game over streak.
Carlos Santana comes into the game with a team-high 22 home runs and has also driven in 70 runs this season, which is the best mark on the Twins. However, Santana is batting just .237 for the season. Willi Castro is batting .247 and has 12 homers and 60 RBIs, which is 3rd on the team. Ryan Jeffers is 2nd on the team in homers (21) but has struggled of late, going just 4/21 in his last five games.
Byron Buxton has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/26 in his last six games, including one home run. He also has three runs scored in this stretch. As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 10th in team batting average.
Orioles vs. Twins Prediction: Spread
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 48-32. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 26-13 as an underdog on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7 runs.
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.74 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is 1.32, and opponents are batting .253 off him this year. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Suárez most recently pitched on September 22nd, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
The Twins have a run line record of 33-47 at home this season, and their average run margin in those games is 0.2. They have covered the run line in 40 of their 81 road games, with an average run margin of -0.1. They have lost their last three games against the run line at home and have covered the run line in 25 of their 47 games as the underdog.
Twins starter Bailey Ober will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Marlins, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. In that start, he gave up two homers. Against the Orioles today, the right-hander will look to pitch more like he did on September 18th against the Guardians, where he went seven innings, giving up just two earned runs and finishing with 12 strikeouts. Ober’s ERA for the season is 3.94, along with a record of 12-8. Opponents have hit .205 off Ober this season. Out of his 30 starts, he has 18 quality starts and one complete game.
Orioles vs. Twins Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -111
There are a few ways you could look to bet on this Orioles vs. Twins matchup, but we really like the over at 7.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Twins, giving us some nice wiggle room if you wanted to bet the over/under.
If you’re looking to bet on the money line, the payout for a Twins win is -169, and with our projections, we see this as a solid payout. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bailey Ober finishing with seven strikeouts, compared to Albert Suarez with six.
