Astros vs Guardians Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 29th
There appears to be a chance of light rain in Cleveland on Sunday, where the Guardians and Astros are set to face off at Progressive Field. First pitch is currently scheduled for 3:10 PM ET. Ryan Gusto is starting for the Astros, and they are 88-73, while the Guardians are starting Nick Sandlin and are 92-69. Houston is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 1st in the AL West, while the Guardians are 1st in the AL Central.
Cleveland is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -183 compared to the Astros at +153. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and this game will be televised on BSGL.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Astros 1.5 (-145) | Guardians -1.5 (+119)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Astros +153 | Guardians -183
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Astros vs. Guardians Prediction: Moneyline
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Astros vs. Guardians series. Houston went into the matchup as +130 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Astros had a big 2nd inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their three runs in the 3rd.
Justin Verlander got the win for the Astros, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued zero walks. As for the Guardians, Ben Lively only went four innings and gave up two earned runs.
Mauricio Dubon, Zach Dezenzo, and Kyle Tucker each had two hits for the Astros. Dubon and Dezenzo each scored two runs. Jose Ramirez did a bit of everything for the Guardians, going 2/3 with a home run and three RBIs.
The Astros are 88-73 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by four games over the Mariners. Houston has won two straight games, and they are winning the series vs. the Guardians 2-0. So far, they have gone 29-23 in divisional games.
At home, the Astros have gone 46-35 this season and are above .500 at 42-38 on the road. As the road underdog, the Astros have gone 18-16 this season, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Their overall series record is 27-22-2 heading into today’s game.
Cleveland is hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 92-69, which is good for a six-game lead in the AL Central. The Guardians have dropped two straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of this series vs. the Astros. So far, they have gone 30-22 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Guardians have gone 50-30 this season compared to 42-39 on the road. Cleveland has been favored in 100 of their games this year, and they are 64-36 in those games. As for their home games, the Guardians are 43-23 as the favorite. This season, they have an overall series record of 29-16-6.
Astros vs. Guardians Prediction: Over/Under
When the Houston Astros play on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Astros and their opponents have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 65-90. The over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs for 31 games, and the over/under record in those games is 11-20. The over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs in 76.4% of Houston’s games this season.
Yordan Alvarez has been a force in the Astros lineup this season, as he is batting .308 with a league-leading 35 home runs and 86 RBIs. Alex Bregman comes into the game with 26 homers, which is the 2nd most on the team, and is hitting .260 for the season. Bregman has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/34 in his last nine games with three homers.
Overall, the Astros are the 2nd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262. They are also among the league leaders in home runs and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. Houston has been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.
The Cleveland Guardians have played to the under in five straight games and have gone under the total in 23 of their 41 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for their games is 68-82. The over/under line for today’s game against the Houston Astros is set at 7.5 runs.
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late, going 13/34 in his last nine games with four homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .279 with 39 homers and 118 RBIs. Josh Naylor is also having a strong season at the plate, as his 31 homers are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. Naylor is batting .243 for the season.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 11th in the league in home runs. They are batting a combined .238 and have the league’s worst team BABIP. Cleveland is also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS.
Astros vs. Guardians Prediction: Spread
When it comes to betting the run line on the Astros, you’d have been better off backing them on the road this season. The Astros are 45-35 against the run line on the road, compared to 38-43 at home. They’ve covered the run line in two straight road games and have been the underdog in their last two run line wins.
Today, Ryan Gusto gets the nod for the Astros as they face the Guardians. It’s his chance to make a strong opening statement, as this will be his first time on the mound this year.
The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 82-79 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 43-38, compared to 39-41 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 36-25, compared to 46-54 as the favorite. Their average run margin this season is +0.5 runs per game.
Cleveland is starting right-hander Nick Sandlin today vs. the Astros, and he has made just one start this year. Sandlin has made 68 appearances out of the bullpen and has a record of 8-0 with a 3.75 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.27, and opponents are batting .215 this year. In his last outing, Sandlin went 1 2/3 innings out of the bullpen, giving up no runs, one hit, and two walks. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Sandlin has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings.
Astros vs. Guardians Pick: Astros ML +153
With the Astros coming in as a +153 underdog on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going. We actually have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving you a little bit of wiggle room to take the Astros on the run line if you’d like.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Nick Sandlin is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing 12th among starters. As for the Astros, they are projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and they have the Guardians finishing with seven as well.
