Mets vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 28th

Jose Quintana will start for the Mets, as they are on the road to face the Brewers in Milwaukee. The Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -121 compared to the Mets at +102. This NL matchup has an over/under line of 8 runs, and FOX will be televising the game.

First pitch from American Family Field is set for 7:15 PM ET. The Mets are 87-71, while the Brewers are 92-68, and Milwaukee is currently on a two-game winning streak. The money line odds for the Mets and Brewers to win the NL East and NL Central, respectively, are +102 and -121.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Mets 1.5 (-214) | Brewers -1.5 (+168)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Mets +102 | Brewers -121

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline

Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Mets still had a chance to pick up a win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. New York had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th, but the Brewers held on for an 8-4 win.

Milwaukee’s offense got off to a fast start in this one, scoring four runs in the 1st and adding another two in the 2nd. On the other side, the Mets didn’t get on the board until scoring two runs in the 3rd and didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 8th.

Rhys Hoskins and Gary Sanchez each homered for the Brewers, while Brice Turang went 3/4 with three RBIs and three runs scored. Mark Vientos hit the game’s other home run while going 1/5.

The Mets are 87-71 overall and trail the Phillies by six games for the NL East lead. New York has dropped two straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Brewers. So far, they have gone 29-21 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Mets have gone 46-35 this season and are just above .500 at 41-36 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 58-38 this year, and they are an even 21-21 as the road underdog. New York’s overall series record is 28-18-8 this year, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

Milwaukee is 92-68 overall and leads the NL Central by ten games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have taken two straight games overall, and they are 32-20 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee won as the favorite yesterday and have an overall record of 54-38 as the favorite this year.

At home, the Brewers are 46-33 this year and 46-35 on the road. Milwaukee has won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 29-18-4. The Brewers have won five straight series on the road.

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under

The Mets are on the road today against the Brewers, and the O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their O/U record is 80-73. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-9-1. Overall, 51.3% of their games this season have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 5th in the league in home runs and are also among the top 10 teams in terms of runs scored. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. Overall, the Mets are batting .247, which is 8th in the MLB right now.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso is 1st on the team with 88 RBIs and Lindor is 3rd on the team with 86 RBIs. Alonso also has a team-high 34 homers, while Lindor has gone deep 31 times. Over his last eight games, Mark Vientos has three homers and is 8/31.

So far this season, the Milwaukee Brewers have played 84 games with over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 52.5% of their games. Their games have averaged a combined 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 81-69. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 13-13-5. Today’s over/under line for their game against the New York Mets is set at 8 runs.

Currently, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Milwaukee’s offense has been strong in terms of getting on base, as they are 3rd in the league in walks and have a collective on-base percentage of .326, which is 4th in the MLB. As a team, the Brewers are batting .249, which is 7th in the league.

Willy Adames has been a big run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 111 RBIs are 4th in the league and lead the team. Adames also has a team-high 32 homers. William Contreras is batting .282 for the season and has 23 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Rhys Hoskins is just batting .215 for the season but does have 26 homers, which is 2nd on the team. He is also on a 3-game hitting streak.

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread

When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 42-35, but they have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games. Their average run margin on the road is +0.3, and their overall run line record is 80-78.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Brewers. Quintana has made 30 starts this year and has a record of 10-9 with a 3.74 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Quintana has a WHIP of 1.24 and has turned in 12 quality starts. In his 30 appearances, he has a batting average allowed of .231. Quintana has been pitching well recently, as he has won his last three starts. In his most recent outing, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. The left-hander has only given up two earned runs over his last three starts.

When the Brewers are the underdog, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 45-23. They have a run line record of 36-43 at home, where they have an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game. They have a run line record of 45-36 on the road, where they have an average run margin of 1.1 runs per game.

Jared Koenig gets the start for the Brewers today and has made 54 appearances out of the bullpen this season. He has a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 2.51. Koenig’s WHIP for the season is 1.25. The last time he pitched was on September 26th, where he went one inning out of the bullpen, giving up one hit and a walk. He didn’t allow a run in that outing and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight appearances. Koenig has allowed four homers this year.

Mets vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML -121

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Brewers game is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout being -121. We actually have the Brewers winning this one at home 7-6, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to have a big game, we have Jared Koenig finishing with seven strikeouts, which would give him the fifth-best strikeout projection among all starters. As for Jose Quintana, his strikeout projection is just five, which is the sixth lowest among all starters.