Mets vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 27th
Sean Manaea is starting for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Frankie Montas for the Brewers. This NL matchup has a first pitch time of 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the, with their money line odds sitting at +101. The money line odds for a Mets win are currently at -121.
The over/under line for this one is at 7.5 runs, and the forecast for Milwaukee calls for temperatures in the low 60s and cloudy skies. The Mets are 2nd in the NL East, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central. SNY will be televising this one.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Mets -1.5 (+140) | Brewers 1.5 (-171)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Mets -121 | Brewers +101
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 5-1 loss. New York was the +123 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Braves scored three times in the bottom of the first.
New York started Luis Severino, and he took the loss, going only four innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. The Mets also wasted a big game from Mark Vientos, who homered in the 1st inning but went 2/4.
The Mets are 87-70 overall and trail the Phillies by six games for the NL East lead. New York is 29-21 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets are on the road today to take on the Brewers, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Braves.
At home, the Mets are 46-35 this year and have gone 41-35 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mets are 20-14 this year and are 58-37 as the favorite overall. New York has won six straight games as the favorite.
Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 5-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -120 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning for the Brewers, as they scored their three runs in the inning. The Pirates could only score two runs, both of which came in the 7th.
Aaron Civale put together a good start for the Brewers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Pirates batters. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Joey Ortiz, who went 3/3 with a run scored and a stolen base.
Milwaukee is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 91-68, good for 1st place in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cardinals by 10 games for the division lead. The Brewers have gone 32-20 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee’s series record is 29-18-4 this year, and they have won five straight series on the road.
At home, the Brewers are 45-33 this year and 46-35 on the road. As the underdog, Milwaukee is 37-30 this year, and they are 54-38 when favored. So far, the Brewers have dropped two straight games as the underdog, and their overall record is 5-5 over their last ten games.
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under
The New York Mets are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs per game. The Mets have gone over the total in 79 of their 152 games this season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mets have gone over the total in 21 of 38 games. The under has hit in the last two games for the Mets.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a solid 1-2 punch for the Mets this season, as Alonso is leading the team with 88 RBIs and Lindor is right behind him at 86. Alonso also leads the team with 34 homers, which is 9th in the league. Lindor comes into the game with a batting average of .271, and Alonso is hitting .242.
Over the Mets’ last eight games, Luisangel Acuna and Jose Iglesias have both been swinging the bat well, with Acuna going 10/25 and Iglesias going 15/34. Iglesias is also on a 17-game hitting streak. In terms of home runs, Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Alvarez have both gone deep three times in the team’s last seven games.
The Milwaukee Brewers are set to host the New York Mets at Miller Park tonight, and oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 7.5 runs. The Brewers have played to the over in 80 of their 149 games this season, and the combined run average in their games is 8.8 runs per game. The under has hit in two straight games for Milwaukee, but the over has hit in 72.3% of their games this season when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs.
For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Milwaukee comes into the game with a team batting average of .249, and they are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, with 175 homers.
Willy Adames has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs is 10th in the MLB. He also comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/24 in his last six games. William Contreras is batting .281 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 23 homers.
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread
The Mets have been a good run-line bet on the road this season, going 42-34, and they have covered the run line in four straight games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5. Overall, they are 80-77 against the run line this season.
Sean Manaea will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Phillies. In that September 21st start, he went seven innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back at his last four outings, Manaea has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. He has made 31 appearances this season and has a record of 12-5 with a 3.29 ERA. Manaea has a total of 15 quality starts and is averaging 9.25 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 20 homers and is averaging 3.08 walks per nine innings.
When the Brewers are favored, they are a bad bet against the run line, going 36-56. However, when they are the underdog, they are a good bet, going 44-23 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.6 runs per game, while their average run differential in losing games is -2.9 runs per game.
Frankie Montas will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In his most recent outing, he lasted just 2 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs on six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that game. Looking back over his last four starts, Montas has allowed at least three earned runs in three of them. Montas has a record of 7-11 this season and an ERA of 4.85. Out of his 29 starts, he has nine quality starts and is averaging 8.71 strikeouts per nine innings.
Mets vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML +101
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Brewers game is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +101. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Frankie Montas finishing with six strikeouts compared to Sean Manaea, who we have racking up seven K’s. Montas is also projected to go longer in this one, with Manaea going just five innings.
