Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 27th
First pitch for Friday’s Marlins vs. Blue Jays interleague matchup is set for 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Blue Jays are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -185 compared to the Marlins at +155. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Miami will be starting Adam Oller, while the Blue Jays are set to go with Jose Berrios. The Marlins are 59-100 this season, while the Blue Jays are 74-85. This game will not have any impact on the playoff race, as both teams are in 5th place in their respective divisions.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Marlins 1.5 (-138) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+114)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Marlins +155 | Blue Jays -185
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline
Miami is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Twins with an 8-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +212 on the money line. It was a big first inning for the Marlins, as they scored a run but gave up the lead right away as the Twins scored three times in the bottom of the first.
After the rough first inning, the Marlins scored three runs in the 2nd to take the lead. Miami’s offense added another two runs in the 5th to go up 6-3. The Twins tied things up with three runs in the 8th, but the Marlins scored an additional two runs in the top of the 10th to pick up the win. Miami’s 10th inning runs came as the +162 underdog.
Miami is 59-100 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they are 35 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-34 in divisional games. The Marlins kick off their series vs. the Blue Jays on the road today.
The Marlins have really struggled at home this year, going 30-51, but they have been just as bad on the road, coming in with a 29-49 mark. As the underdog, the Marlins are 55-86 this year compared to only 4-14 as the favorite. Miami’s overall series record is 12-30-9, and they had lost two straight series before taking two of three from the Twins in their most recent series.
The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 6-1 win. After allowing one run to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with two runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Blue Jays was Kevin Gausman, who picked up the win while tossing six innings of one-run ball. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Toronto is 74-85 overall and trails the Rays by four games in the AL East for 4th place. So far, they have gone just 21-31 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays are 19 games out of the AL East lead, which is currently held by the Yankees.
At home, the Blue Jays are 39-39 this season, compared to a 35-46 mark on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 45-31 and 29-54 as the underdog. They will be the home favorite today, and they have a record of 32-23 in this situation.
So far, the Blue Jays have gone 17-28-6 in series this year, and they have dropped three straight series. Over the last 10 games, the Blue Jays are just 3-7.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under
The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 9.1 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Marlins games this season is 84-69. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have a record of 30-25. So far this season, 33 of the Marlins’ games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 20.8% of their games. Their over/under record for games with lines set at 8.5 runs is 30-25. The over has hit in their last two games.
Over the last 10 games, Jake Burger has been on a tear for the Marlins, going 12/40 with four homers and 13 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs (74) and put him 13th in the league in home runs. Jesús Sánchez is also having a strong season for the Marlins, as he is batting .251 with 18 homers and 63 RBIs.
As a team, the Marlins are 28th in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting a collective .242, which is 14th in the league. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .298 is 21st in the MLB.
When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs for their game against the Miami Marlins. The combined run average for Blue Jays games this season is 8.7. Overall, the over/under record for Toronto is 79-76, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 23-20. In 28 games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 17.6% of their games. In 88 games, the line has been set lower than 8.5 runs, making up 55.3% of their games.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is only 20th in the league. They are also just 21st in home runs and have a collective batting average of .242. However, they do have the 9th fewest strikeouts in the league and have been good at drawing walks. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .325 with 30 homers and 102 RBIs. He is also coming off a stretch in which he went 16/39 with two homers.
Guerrero Jr. isn’t the only Blue Jays hitter swinging a hot bat, as Justin Turner is currently on a four-game hitting streak. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .219.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread
When betting the run line with the Marlins this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road. They are 40-38 vs. the run line away from home, compared to 35-46 at home. They have been an underdog in most games, going 73-68 vs. the run line in those contests.
Miami is sending Adam Oller to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he comes in with a record of 1-4 and ERA of 5.06. Oller has made seven starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.47. The last time he took the mound, Oller finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings vs. the Braves. In that outing, he gave up two earned runs, seven hits, and two homers. Looking back over his last four starts, Oller has given up at least two homers in three of them. Per nine innings, he is averaging 4.82 walks compared to 7.96 strikeouts.
Despite having a negative run differential on the season, the Blue Jays have been a profitable team to bet on the run line, going 80-79. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 51-30. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 47-36, compared to 33-43 as the favorite.
Jose Berrios will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up one earned run in six innings of work. Against the Rays on September 20th, he gave up six hits, one walk, and one home run. Before that outing, Berrios had picked up the win in three straight starts. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 16-10 with a 3.38 ERA. Berrios’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. Out of his 31 starts, Berrios has one complete game and 21 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.08 strikeouts and 2.42 walks.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Pick: Marlins ML +155
Our pick for this Marlins vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, with the payout being at +155. We have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over/under, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, we have Adam Oller finishing with just five strikeouts, which is the seventh lowest among today’s starters. As for José Berríos, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is right in the middle of the pack.
