Phillies vs Nationals Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 27th

The Phillies are the heavy favorite heading into Friday’s matchup vs. the Nationals, as they are on the money line at -185 compared to the Nationals at +155. This NL East matchup has a first pitch set for 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. NSPPH is carrying the Phillies on TV.

Philadelphia comes in with a record of 94-65, while the Nationals are 69-90. Trevor Williams will start for the Nationals, as they look to snap a four-game losing streak. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Ranger Suarez will go for the Phillies.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Phillies -1.5 (-108) | Nationals 1.5 (-113)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Phillies -185 | Nationals +155

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: Moneyline

The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cubs, closing out their series with a 9-6 win. After allowing three runs to the Cubs in the top of the first, the Phillies responded with three runs of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Cristopher Sánchez got the start for the Phillies, going 4 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out four Cubs batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

With a record of 94-65, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Mets. Today, the Phillies are on the road to take on the Nationals. The Phillies have gone 28-21 against other teams in the NL East this season.

At home, the Phillies have gone 54-27 this season, and they are just above .500 at 40-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 81-47 this season, and they are 13-18 as the underdog. The Phillies won the final two games of their series vs. the Cubs and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Led by a big game by Luis Garcia at the plate, the Nationals scored four runs on seven hits in their most recent game vs. the Royals. However, Washington couldn’t hold onto the lead, as the Royals scored seven runs in the top of the 9th to pick up the win. The Nationals were the +147 underdog at home going into this game.

Patrick Corbin was excellent for the Nationals, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just four hits and one earned run. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Washington’s bullpen was also to blame, as they allowed seven runs in the top of the 9th.

Washington is 69-90 overall, and they are 25.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals have dropped four straight games, and they lost the final game of their series vs. the Royals. So far, they are 23-26 in divisional games.

At home, the Nationals are 36-42 this year, compared to a 33-48 mark on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 54-77 this season, and they are 15-13 as the favorite. So far, the Nationals’ overall series record is 19-25-6, and they have dropped three straight series.

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: Over/Under

The Phillies have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 75-75, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 20-18-3. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.

So far this season, the Phillies have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game (4th) and batting a collective .258 (4th). Their home run numbers are also good, as they are 7th in the league in homers and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they are one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.

Over the team’s last nine games, Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber have both been swinging the bat well, with Castellanos hitting .424 and Schwarber hitting .256 with three homers. Schwarber is also on a three-game hitting streak, as is Bryce Harper, who is hitting .286 for the season and has 30 homers.

The Washington Nationals are playing at home against the Philadelphia Phillies today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Nationals have an over/under record of 74-79 for the season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.8. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-11-1. Overall, 65.4% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

The Nationals offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .241. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters, with CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. coming in at 1st and 2nd on the team’s home run leaderboard, respectively.

Joey Gallo has two homers in his past seven games, but is hitting just .250 over that stretch. As a team, the Nationals don’t have any significant hitting streaks going, but James Wood has gone deep in four straight games, and Lane Thomas has a three-game hitting streak.

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: Spread

The Phillies have been a good bet against the run line this season, going 77-82. They have been especially good on the road, going 40-38. Their average run margin for the season is +0.8, and they have been even better on the road at +0.4. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 16-15, compared to 61-67 as the favorite.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 12-7 with an ERA of 3.15. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Suárez has one complete game shutout this year.

The Nationals have a run line record of 87-72 this season, with a -0.7 average run margin. They are 41-37 against the run line at home, where they have a -0.6 average run margin. Washington is 46-35 vs. the run line on the road, where they have a -0.8 average run margin. They have failed to cover the run line in two straight games at home and have a run line record of 13-15 as the favorite.

Washington is sending right-hander Trevor Williams to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 5-1 with a 2.19 ERA. Williams’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in just one quality start and is averaging 7.88 strikeouts per nine innings. Williams most recently faced the Phillies on May 19th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

Phillies vs. Nationals Pick: Nationals ML +155

Our predicted score for this Nationals vs. Phillies matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals. With the Nationals being the underdog at +155, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Trevor Williams is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he ranks 14th among starters in terms of strikeout projections. As for Ranger Suarez, he is projected to finish with five K’s, and he ranks 15th among starters.

Offensively, the Nationals are projected to finish with nine hits, while the Phillies are projected to finish with nine. However, the Phillies are projected to finish with more strikeouts, and the Nationals are a better option in terms of home runs.