Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 25th

The Red Sox and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET. This one is being played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line (+117). The Blue Jays have lost five straight and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 73-85.

Wednesday’s pitching matchup is Richard Fitts for the Red Sox and Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and NESN will be televising this one.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Red Sox 1.5 (-187) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+153)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Red Sox +117 | Blue Jays -138

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Blue Jays series. Boston went into the matchup as +110 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. The Red Sox had a huge 10th inning, scoring three runs and picking up two of their six hits.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Bowden Francis, as he gave up just three hits and no earned runs in five innings of work for the Blue Jays. Tommy Nance took the loss.

Brayan Bello only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Chris Martin got the win out of the bullpen, and Chase Shugart got the save.

Boston is 80-78 overall and is 3rd in the AL East, 12.5 games behind the Yankees. The Red Sox have won four straight games, and this includes taking the first two games of this series vs. the Blue Jays. So far, they are 24-24 against other AL East teams.

At home, the Red Sox are just below .500 at 37-41 this season. On the road, they are 43-37, which is the 7th-best road record in the AL. As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 28-30 this year and 39-43 as the underdog overall.

Toronto is 73-85 overall and is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 19.5 games. The Blue Jays have lost five straight games, and they have dropped two straight series. So far, they are 20-31 against other AL East teams.

At home, the Blue Jays are 38-39 this year and 35-46 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 44-31 and 29-54 as the underdog. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 17-26-6, and they have lost two straight series.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under

Today’s over/under line is 8 runs, which is lower than the average over/under line for Boston games this season. The Red Sox have played in 105 games with higher over/under lines than 8, and their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 78-72, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 15 times, under 11 times, and pushed three times.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 9th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs. One of the reasons they have been so good on offense is that they are the league’s best team in terms of batting average on balls in play.

Jarren Duran is currently on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .285 for the season. However, he has gone just 9/38 in his last nine games. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are the team’s top power threats, with Devers leading the Red Sox with 83 RBIs and O’Neill’s 31 homers being the best mark on the team.

The Toronto Blue Jays have an over/under record of 79-75 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 25-18-2. Overall, 71 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 44.9% of their contests.

Currently, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. This is also the 20th and 18th ranked scoring offense in the league when it comes to road and home games, respectively. As a team, they are batting just .241, and their team slugging percentage of .390 is 19th in the league. Toronto does have the 10th best on-base percentage in the league at .313.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bright spot for the Blue Jays this season, as he is hitting .324 with a league-leading 102 RBIs and 30 homers. He has also been hot of late, batting .367 over his last seven games with two homers. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .219 for the season.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread

The Red Sox have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 76-82 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 46-34. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog.

Richard Fitts is getting the start for the Red Sox today on the road against the Blue Jays. Fitts has been solid in his first 3 starts, as he has yet to take a loss. In his last start, he went 5 innings and struck out 3, giving up 2 runs on 5 hits.

When betting the run line on the Toronto Blue Jays, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road. They are 51-30 vs. the run line on the road, compared to just 28-49 at home. As the underdog, they are 47-36 vs. the run line, while they are just 32-43 when favored. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it’s -3.5 in losses.

Kevin Gausman will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Rangers, he went five innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has made 30 starts and has a record of 13-11. His ERA for the season is 3.91, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Gausman has turned in 15 quality starts this year, along with two complete games and one shutout. For the season, he has allowed 20 homers and is averaging 8.18 strikeouts per nine innings.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Pick: Blue Jays ML -138

Our pick for this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -138. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is some value in taking them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kevin Gausman is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for ninth among starters. As for Richard Fitts, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is fourth worst among starters.