Orioles vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 25th
Wednesday’s forecast in New York calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 70s. The Yankees and Orioles are set to square off at 7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. The money line odds have the Yankees at -150 compared to the Orioles at +126. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
New York comes into the game with a record of 92-65 and is 1st in the AL East. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with an overall record of 87-70. Zach Eflin will start for the Orioles, while the Yankees are set to go with Nestor Cortes. YES will be televising this AL East matchup.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Orioles 1.5 (-180) | Yankees -1.5 (+147)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Orioles +126 | Yankees -150
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 7th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 7th, picking up a 5-3 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +140 on the money line.
New York wasted a good outing from Clarke Schmidt, as he gave up just three runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Yankees. He took the loss in the game. As for the Orioles, Dean Kremer got the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run.
Aaron Judge hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Baltimore’s Anthony Santander also had a three RBI game at the plate.
The Orioles are 87-70 overall and trail the Yankees by five games in the AL East. This season, they have gone 31-19 in AL East matchups. Baltimore is on the road today, and they are 43-33 as the road team compared to 44-37 at home.
So far, the Orioles have been the favorite in 122 of their games, and they are 70-52 in those matchups. As the underdog overall, they are 17-18 and 13-14 as the underdog on the road. Baltimore has an overall series record of 24-18-7, but they have dropped five straight series. They have also lost three straight series at home.
The Yankees are 92-65 overall, which has them leading the AL East by five games over the Orioles. So far, they are just 25-25 in divisional games. New York has won five straight series, and their overall series record is 30-15-4 this year.
At home, the Yankees are 42-34 this year, and they are an impressive 50-31 on the road. New York has been good as the favorite this year, going 74-57, and they are 18-8 as the underdog. Looking at their recent games, the Yankees are 7-3 over their last 10.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the New York Yankees today with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Orioles games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 83-63. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-7. Overall, 79% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Anthony Santander has had a great season at the plate for the Orioles, as he is 3rd in the league with 44 home runs and has driven in 100 runs, which is also 12th in the MLB. However, he has struggled of late, going just 3/25 in his last seven games. Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, batting .300 in his last seven games and is currently on a six-game hitting streak.
Overall, the Orioles have the 2nd best home run total in the league and are 6th in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 9th in the league, and have the 4th best OPS in the MLB. Baltimore’s team ISO of .187 is 2nd in the league.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the New York Yankees’ game against the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium is the lowest of the season for the Yankees. The Yankees have played 136 games this season, and only five have had over/under lines lower than 7.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 82-70.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top offense in the league in terms of runs per game, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .249 (8th) and have the best team on-base percentage in the league. New York has also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 10th in the league in strikeouts per game.
Heading into the game, Aaron Judge is the league’s top home run hitter, and his 139 RBIs are also the best in the MLB. Judge has been hot of late, batting .357 over his last nine games, with four homers. Juan Soto is also among the league leaders in home runs, and he is batting .286 for the season.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 45-31. Their average run differential in those games is +0.7 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 23-12. The Orioles have an overall run line record of 83-74, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game.
Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 10-9 with an ERA of 3.53. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 13 quality starts. Eflin’s last outing came on September 19th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home this season, coming in with an ERA of 2.77 compared to 4.4 on the road.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they are 82-75 against the run line this season. They have been a much better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 49-32 compared to 33-43 at home. They have been a great bet as an underdog, going 22-4 against the run line in those games.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 30 starts this year and has a record of 9-10 with an ERA of 3.77. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his 30 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts. Cortes’ most recent outing came vs. the Mariners, where he went six innings, giving up no earned runs on six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Cortes has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 3.73 compared to 4.83 on the road.
Orioles vs. Yankees Pick: Yankees ML -150
Our predictions for this Yankees vs. Orioles matchup have the Yankees coming out on top by a score of 5-4. With the Yankees picking up the win, we recommend taking them on the money line at -150.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Nestor Cortes is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him as the 15th highest today. As for Zach Eflin, he is projected to finish with five, which has him at 19th.
