Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Bills vs Ravens Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 4

ByUSA Wager

On Sunday, September 29th, the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens will face off at 8:20 ET on NBC. The Ravens are favored on the money line at -137 and are -2.5 point favorites on the road. This week four AFC matchup will be played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, and the over/under line is set at 46.5 points. Both teams need to add their current records.

Prediction at a Glance for Ravens vs Bills

  • We have the Ravens winning this one by a score of 23 to 22
  • Even though we like the Ravens to win, our ATS pick is to take the Bills at +2.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Bills +2.5 | Ravens -2.5
  • Total: 46.5
  • MoneyLine: Bills +114 | Ravens -137

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Bills vs. Ravens Prediction: MoneyLine

Josh Allen had a big game for the Buffalo Bills in their 47-10 win over the Jaguars, throwing for 263 yards and completing 76% of his passes. Buffalo’s offense put up 25 first downs and 266 yards through the air. Allen threw four touchdown passes, with Khalil Shakir leading the team with 72 receiving yards and a touchdown.

Allen also led the Bills in rushing with 44 yards, including a 13-yard run. Buffalo didn’t allow a sack in the game and converted 54.5% of their third down attempts.

The Ravens’ offense focused heavily on the run in their 28-25 win over the Cowboys, racking up 274 yards on 45 attempts. Lamar Jackson completed 12 of 15 passes for 182 yards and one touchdown. Baltimore finished with 24 first downs and a 44.4% third-down conversion rate.

Jackson also led the team in rushing with 87 yards and a touchdown. Derrick Henry was the Ravens’ top running back, with 151 yards on 25 carries, including two touchdowns and a long run of 29 yards. Nelson Agholor led the team in receiving with one catch for 56 yards.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Ravens -137 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Ravens Prediction: Total

The Bills’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, a 47-10 win over the Jaguars. They allowed just 147 passing yards and didn’t allow a single completion in the passing game. Buffalo’s defense also forced 5 sacks, limited Jacksonville to 15.4% on third down, and came away with one interception.

Buffalo gave up 92 rushing yards on 17 attempts, and the Jaguars managed just 239 total yards. The Bills’ defense also had 8 more quarterback hits and two more tackles for loss than Jacksonville.

Despite allowing 412 yards, the Ravens’ defense came up with some big plays in their 28-25 win over the Cowboys. Baltimore didn’t allow a single completion in the passing game, but they did give up 361 yards through the air. The Ravens defended 16 rushing attempts well, allowing just 51 yards on the ground.

On third downs, the Cowboys converted just 3 of 13 attempts. Baltimore’s defense also managed three sacks and had six more quarterback hits than Dallas. Even though they didn’t allow any passing yards, the Ravens did give up two passing touchdowns.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 46.5 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Ravens Prediction: Spread

The Buffalo Bills are now 3-0 after blowing out the Jaguars 47-10 in their most recent game. Buffalo was favored by -4 and easily covered the spread with their 37-point win. The combined 57 points exceeded the O/U line of 46.5 points. The Bills dominated from the start, leading 13-0 after the 1st quarter and extending their lead to 34-3 by halftime.

Josh Allen had a big game for the Bills, throwing four touchdowns. James Cook and Dalton Kincaid also added touchdowns for Buffalo. Despite the Jaguars scoring a touchdown early in the 3rd quarter, the Bills responded with a Tyler Bass field goal. In the 4th quarter, Buffalo added 10 more points, including a touchdown from Ray Davis.

  • The Bills have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
  • Across their last five road contests, Buffalo has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 26 points per game.

The Ravens are now 1-2 after their 28-25 win over the Cowboys. Baltimore went into the game as -1.5 point favorites, and their 28-6 lead heading into the 4th quarter was never really in doubt. The Cowboys outscored the Ravens 19-0 in the 4th quarter to make the final score look closer than the game actually was. The over/under line was set at 47.5, and the teams combined for 53 points.

Baltimore got off to a great start, leading 14-3 after the 1st quarter and adding a touchdown before halftime to lead 21-6. Dallas made things interesting with three touchdowns in the 4th quarter, but the Ravens were able to hold on.

  • The Ravens have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 1-1-1.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Baltimore has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Bills +2.5 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Ravens Pick: Bills +2.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bills to cover as road underdogs in this week four matchup between the Bills and Ravens. The point spread has the Bills at +2.5, and we have the Ravens winning by a score of 22-21.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 46.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under with a projected combined score of 43 points.

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