Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Chiefs vs Chargers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 4

ByUSA Wager

The Chiefs are favored on the road as they take on the Chargers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, September 29th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The Chiefs’ money line odds are -410, while the Chargers are at +320. The over/under line is set at 39 points, and the Chargers are +8 point underdogs. You can catch this week four AFC West matchup on CBS.

Prediction at a Glance for Chargers vs Chiefs

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 23 to 20
  • Even though we like the Chiefs to win, our ATS pick is to take the Chargers at +8
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 39 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chiefs -8 | Chargers +8
  • Total: 39
  • MoneyLine: Chiefs -410 | Chargers +320

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction: MoneyLine

Despite not being able to complete a pass, the Chiefs still managed to come out with a 22-17 win over the Falcons. Kansas City had 22 first downs and 217 yards passing, all from Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes went 26/39 for 217 yards, with two touchdowns and one interception. The Chiefs ran for 128 yards as a team.

Carson Steele led the team with 72 rushing yards, while Rashee Rice was the top receiver with 110 yards and a touchdown. The Chiefs’ offense was 42.9% on third down and didn’t allow a sack in the game.

The Chargers’ offense struggled to move the ball in their 20-10 loss to the Steelers, managing just 10 first downs and 107 yards through the air. Los Angeles couldn’t get their running game going either, finishing with only 61 yards on 20 attempts. Justin Herbert was sacked five times and ended the game with 125 yards passing, going 12/18 with one touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins was the leading rusher for the Chargers but managed only 44 yards on 15 attempts. Herbert’s lone touchdown pass was caught by Quentin Johnston, who finished the game with 44 yards receiving, including a 27-yard reception.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -410 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction: Total

In the Chiefs’ 22-17 win over the Falcons, their defense allowed just 82 yards on 25 rushing attempts, giving up only 3.3 yards per attempt on the ground. They also held Atlanta to 229 passing yards, with no completions allowed and a 0% completion percentage. Despite their strong performance, the Chiefs did allow one passing touchdown.

Kansas City’s defense was tough on third downs, allowing the Falcons to convert just 22.2% of their attempts. They also came away with one interception and recorded two sacks, while also winning the battles in both tackles for loss and quarterback hits.

In the Chargers’ 20-10 loss to the Steelers, their defense allowed 232 passing yards, and Pittsburgh finished with 346 total yards. Los Angeles defended the run fairly well, giving up just 3.7 yards per attempt and 114 yards on 31 attempts. The Chargers’ defense did not allow a single completion in the passing game, but they did give up one passing touchdown.

The Chargers’ defense managed two sacks and forced one interception. They also held the Steelers to a 50% conversion rate on third down, but ultimately, the Chargers’ offense struggled to get anything going in the 10-point defeat.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 39 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction: Spread

Despite falling behind early, the Chiefs came back to beat the Falcons 22-17, keeping their record at a perfect 3-0 for the season. Kansas City trailed 7-0 after an early Falcons touchdown but responded with a touchdown from Patrick Mahomes to Rashee Rice in the 2nd quarter. The Chiefs added a field goal before halftime, making the score 14-13 in favor of the Falcons.

In the 3rd quarter, Mahomes found Rice for another touchdown, and the Chiefs’ defense held the Falcons scoreless in the 3rd until Atlanta added a field goal in the 4th. The Chiefs were -3 point favorites in this one, and with the 5-point win, they covered the spread. The game finished with a combined 39 points, which was below the over/under line of 46.5 points.

  • Through their last three games, the Chiefs have a record of 3-0. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.
  • The Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last road games and 5-0 straight-up.

The Chargers were up 10-7 at halftime, but they didn’t score at all in the 2nd half of their 20-10 loss to the Steelers. Los Angeles is now 2-1 on the season. The Chargers took a 7-0 lead after a Justin Herbert touchdown pass to Quentin Johnston in the 1st quarter. After the Steelers tied it up in the 2nd quarter, Cameron Dicker’s 28-yard field goal put the Chargers back in front. However, the Chargers gave up a late touchdown to the Steelers with 27 seconds left in the 2nd quarter, and the Chargers didn’t score again.

Pittsburgh really took control in the 3rd quarter, as Justin Fields threw two touchdowns, one to Scotty Miller and the other to Calvin Austin III. The Chargers managed just a Chris Boswell field goal in the 3rd quarter. The Chargers’ defense struggled to get off the field, as the Steelers were 8-11 on 3rd down and 2-2 on 4th down.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Los Angeles has a record of 1-2. Against the spread, they have a strong mark of 2-1 along with an over-under record of 1-2.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 14 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Chargers +8 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Chargers Pick: Chargers +8

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to cover as home underdogs. They are currently sitting at +8 in this week four matchup against the Chiefs. However, even though we have the Chargers losing 23-19, the Chiefs are our pick to win this one.

For the over/under line, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 42 points and the line sitting at just 39 points.

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