Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Commanders vs Cardinals Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 4

The over/under line is sitting at 50.5 points for the week four matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals are favored on the money line at -189 and are -3.5 point favorites on the point spread. This NFC matchup is set to kick off at 4:05 ET on Sunday, with FOX handling the television coverage.

Prediction at a Glance for Cardinals vs Commanders

  • We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 29 to 26
  • Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 50.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Commanders +3.5 | Cardinals -3.5
  • Total: 50.5
  • MoneyLine: Commanders +158 | Cardinals -189

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Commanders vs. Cardinals Prediction: MoneyLine

Washington’s offense put up 38 points in their 38-33 win over the Bengals, with Jayden Daniels leading the way with 254 yards passing on 21 of 23 completions. Daniels also rushed for 39 yards, including a touchdown. The offense had 22 first downs and converted 55.6% of their third down attempts.

Jayden Daniels connected with Terry McLaurin for 100 yards and a touchdown. Washington’s running game produced 108 yards on 32 attempts. Daniels was sacked twice in the game.

Despite the 20-13 loss to the Lions, Kyler Murray and the Cardinals’ offense put up 200 yards passing on 34 attempts. Murray finished with 207 yards passing, completing 21 passes and throwing one touchdown. He also led the team in rushing with 45 yards. The Cardinals struggled on third down, converting only 11.1% of their chances.

Marvin Harrison Jr. was the leading receiver in the game, with 64 yards and one touchdown. The Cardinals finished with 17 first downs and 373 total yards, but they managed only 77 yards on the ground with 18 attempts. Murray was sacked once and threw one interception.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Commanders +158 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Cardinals Prediction: Total

In their 38-33 win over the Bengals, Washington’s defense allowed 312 passing yards, with Cincinnati completing three touchdowns. The Commanders’ defense was tough on the ground, allowing just 20 rushing attempts but giving up 124 yards, including a 6.2 yards per attempt average. They also struggled on third downs, allowing the Bengals to convert 60% of their third down attempts.

Despite allowing 436 total yards, Washington’s defense managed two sacks and had more tackles for loss than the Bengals. The Commanders didn’t allow any big plays in the passing game, but the Bengals still managed to put up some points through the air.

In their 20-13 loss to the Lions, the Cardinals’ defense gave up 187 rushing yards on 43 attempts, with Detroit finishing the game with 373 total yards. Arizona’s defense was tough against the pass, allowing 0 completions and 186 yards through the air. However, they did give up two passing touchdowns.

The Cardinals’ defense managed two sacks and forced one interception. Despite their struggles against the run, they did win the tackles for loss battle, with three more tackles for loss than the Lions. On third down, Arizona allowed the Lions to convert 50% of their chances.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 50.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Cardinals Prediction: Spread

Washington is now 2-1 after their 38-33 win over the Bengals. The Commanders were +7 point underdogs on the road in this one. The combined 71 points easily surpassed the O/U line of 45.5 points. Washington led 21-13 at halftime and held off a late charge by the Bengals, who closed the gap to 38-33 with 2:15 remaining in the 4th quarter.

Joe Burrow’s touchdown pass to Ja’Marr Chase and a late Washington fumble gave Cincinnati one last chance, but the Commanders’ defense held on. Washington’s offense was led by Zack Moss, who rushed for a late 4th-quarter touchdown, and Jayden Daniels, who also found the end zone on the ground. The Commanders also got a big day from their ground game, as Brian Robinson Jr. added an early rushing touchdown.

  • Over their last three games, the Commanders have gone 2-1 straight up. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 2-1 on the over/under.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.

After a 20-13 loss to the Lions, the Cardinals are now 1-2 on the season. Arizona fell behind 7-0 early but tied things up with a 10-yard touchdown pass from Kyler Murray to Marvin Harrison Jr. After that, however, the Lions scored 13 unanswered points, and by halftime, the Cardinals were down 20-10. Arizona added a late touchdown in the 4th quarter but couldn’t complete the comeback.

The Cardinals were favored by -3 in this one, and with the 7-point loss, they didn’t cover the spread. The combined 33 points were well below the over/under line of 51.5 points. Arizona’s only other score came on a 42-yard field goal from Matt Prater just before halftime.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Arizona has a record of 1-2. Across this span, their ATS record sits at 2-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • In their last five home games, Arizona has averaged 23 points per game while allowing 24. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 4-1.
  • Free Spread Prediction Commanders +3.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Cardinals Pick: Commanders Moneyline (+158)

Our model has the Washington Commanders coming out on top by a score of 30-22 over the Cardinals. With this, we are looking to take the Commanders to cover the spread, as they are our pick to win and are currently sitting at +3.5 road underdogs.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 52 points and the O/U line at 50.5 points.

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