Padres vs Dodgers Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th
At 10:10 PM ET, the Padres and Dodgers face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -114. The money line odds for a Padres win are -104.
San Diego is currently on a four-game winning streak, and they are 90-66 overall. The Dodgers lead the NL West with a record of 93-63.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Padres -1.5 (+159) | Dodgers 1.5 (-201)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Padres -104 | Dodgers -114
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction: Moneyline
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with a 4-2 win. After allowing one run to the White Sox in the top of the third, the Padres responded with a run of their own. San Diego went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Yu Darvish put together a good start for the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He also issued only two walks and struck out nine White Sox batters. Jurickson Profar was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
San Diego is on a four-game winning streak, and they are three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. This season, they have gone 24-22 against other teams in the NL West. The Padres are 90-66 overall through 156 games, and they have won three straight games as the road team.
As the favorite, the Padres have gone 60-42 this year, and they are 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 29-15-6, and they have won three straight series. Looking at their overall record, the Padres have gone 45-36 at home compared to 45-30 on the road.
Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a 6-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -407. It was a big 7th inning for the Dodgers, as they scored three runs to take the lead, and Blake Treinen closed things out in the 8th. The Rockies couldn’t complete the comeback, as they scored their 3 runs in the 1st and added just one more run in the 3rd.
Shohei Ohtani went 4/5 with a homer and two RBIs for the Dodgers. They also had three other players with two hits. Enrique Hernandez hit a homer in the 7th to give the Dodgers the lead, and Mookie Betts went 2/4 with a homer and scored three runs.
Los Angeles hosts the Padres with a three-game lead in the NL West. The Dodgers are 93-63 overall and have gone 26-20 against other teams in the division. They closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a win and took the series 2-1. So far, they are 88-51 as the favorite and 5-12 as the underdog. As for their home/road split, the Dodgers are 50-28 at home and 43-35 on the road.
As the home underdog, the Dodgers have gone 1-0 this season, and their overall series record is 30-16-4. Los Angeles has been good at closing out series recently, as they have won two straight series finales.
Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction: Over/Under
The San Diego Padres are on the road today against the Los Angeles Dodgers, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Padres have an over/under record of 80-72 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.9 runs per game. When their over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have a record of 19-15 in those games. Overall, 25 of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 16.0% of their games.
So far this season, the Padres are the league’s top-hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They have also been one of the league’s best run-scoring teams, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. This number jumps to 5.1 runs per game when they are on the road. San Diego has been especially good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are the league’s top team in this category.
Over his last eight games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has been on fire, going 12/34 with three homers. This has helped him move into the team lead in home runs, and he is now 2nd on the team in RBIs. Manny Machado is the team’s top run producer, with 104 RBIs, and he also leads the team with 29 homers.
When the Dodgers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Dodgers and their opponents have combined to average 9.4 runs per game. Overall, the over has hit in 87 of the Dodgers’ 152 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 60 of those games. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 35 games and the under has hit in 25 games.
Shohei Ohtani has been on an absolute tear for the Dodgers of late, going 18/38 (.474) over his last nine games with six homers and 19 RBIs. Ohtani is also on a six-game hitting streak. For the season, Ohtani is batting .301 with a league-leading 123 RBIs and 53 homers, which is also the best mark in the MLB.
Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. They are also 2nd in home runs and have the best isolated power mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .255, which is 5th in the league.
Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction: Spread
San Diego is a good team to back on the run line, as they have a positive run differential on the road and are 47-28 against the run line away from Petco Park. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 37-17 as an underdog.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-9 with an ERA of 3.04. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. King has made 14 quality starts this season and is averaging 10.57 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of 17 home runs and is averaging 3.25 walks per nine innings.
The Dodgers have been a .500 team against the run line this season, but they have been a solid bet at home, where they are 39-39. Their average run margin is +0.9 runs per game, and they have been favored in 139 of their games this season. They have covered the run line in 71 of those games.
Right-hander Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with a 3.39 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Knack has a WHIP of 1.07 and has allowed a total of 12 home runs. Per nine innings, he is averaging 2.51 walks compared to 9 strikeouts. Knack’s last outing came on September 18th, where he picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
Padres vs. Dodgers Pick: Dodgers ML -114
Our prediction for this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup is for the Dodgers to pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the money line sitting at -114, this is the best way to play this one.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Michael King finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Landon Knack, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him in the middle of the pack.
