Mariners vs Astros Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th
At 8:10 PM ET, the Mariners and Astros will square off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and has the Astros favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -135 compared to +115 for the Mariners. The money line odds for a Mariners win are currently at +115, and they are 81-76 this season. The Astros are 85-72 and will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak.
Tuesday’s pitching matchup features Logan Gilbert for the Mariners and Framber Valdez for the Astros. Gilbert has a record of 5-5, while Valdez is 4-7. RSNW will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 7 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Mariners 1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+163)
- Total: 7
- MoneyLine: Mariners +115 | Astros -135
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Mariners vs. Astros Prediction: Moneyline
Thanks to a two-run homer from Julio Rodriguez and a good outing from Bryce Miller, the Mariners cruised to a 6-1 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +110 on the money line.
Miller went seven innings for the Mariners, giving up just two hits and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Hunter Brown took the loss for the Astros, going six innings and giving up one earned run.
Seattle’s offense got off to a fast start in this one, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Astros got on the board with one run in the 3rd and couldn’t muster any more offense.
Seattle is 81-76 overall and 4.0 games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners took the first game of the series, and they are 28-19 against other teams in the division this year. Overall, they have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Mariners have gone 46-32 this year, and they are just under .500 at 35-44 on the road. As the underdog, Seattle has won two straight, and their overall series record is 21-24-4 this year.
The Astros are 85-72 this season, and they lead the AL West by four games over the Mariners. Houston will be at home today, and they are 45-34 at home this season. The Astros have dropped two straight games, with the most recent loss coming in the series opener vs. the Mariners.
So far, the Astros are 28-22 against other teams in the AL West. As the favorite, Houston is 66-51 this season and 19-21 as the underdog. At home, the Astros have gone 42-29 as the favorite. This season, the Astros’ overall series record is 27-20-2.
Mariners vs. Astros Prediction: Over/Under
“The Seattle Mariners are on the road to face the Houston Astros, with the over/under line set at 7 runs. The combined run average in Mariners games this season is 7.9 runs, and their over/under record is 74-74. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 17-20-7. Overall, 63.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs.”
Julio RodrÃguez has been on a tear of late for the Mariners, going 16/39 in his last eight games with three homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .275 with 19 homers and 65 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team. Catcher Cal Raleigh is leading the Mariners with 31 homers and 96 RBIs but is batting just .216 for the season.
Overall, the Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .224 and are the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. However, they do come into the game with a good team walk rate.
When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is typically set much higher than 7 runs. In fact, the average over/under line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs. Their games have gone over the total 64 times and under 88 times. When the line is set at 7 runs, the over is just 1-4.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ most dangerous hitter this season, as he leads the team with 35 home runs and 86 RBIs, all while batting .308. Alex Bregman is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 25 homers and has gone 6/20 in his last five games. Overall, Bregman is hitting just .256 for the season.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in team batting average at .262 and are 7th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. Houston is also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Mariners vs. Astros Prediction: Spread
Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 68-89 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 35-44 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 26-25 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin this season is +0.4 runs per game.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 8-11 with a 3.24 ERA. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is currently 0.90. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 22 quality starts and is coming off a performance in which he allowed just two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Gilbert has a complete game shutout to his credit this season. Looking at his home/road splits, Gilbert has an ERA of 5.25 on the road compared to 2.77 at home.
When it comes to the run line, the Astros have been a team to watch this season, as they have gone 81-76 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 43-35 against the run line, compared to 38-41 at home. The Astros have been a better bet as the underdog, going 26-14 against the run line, compared to 55-62 as the favorite.
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Padres, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up one earned run in seven innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Valdez has a record of 14-7 this season and an ERA of 2.85. Opponents are batting .214 off Valdez this season. The left-hander has one complete game and 17 quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.7 strikeouts and 2.79 walks.
Mariners vs. Astros Pick: Astros ML -135
Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -135. We see this game finishing with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Astros, and with the payout at -135, there is some good value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Framber Valdez finishing with six strikeouts, which is 11th among starters today. As for Logan Gilbert, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which is 15th.
