Marlins vs Twins Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th

At 7:40 PM ET, the Marlins and Twins will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is taking place at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Marlins are currently on a two-game losing streak, while the Twins have lost two straight. Miami is 57-99, and the Twins are the heavy favorite on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -243. The Marlins are +203 underdogs, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

BSFL will be televising Tuesday’s matchup, and Bailey Ober will be on the mound for the Twins. The Marlins are starting Ryan Weathers. In the NL East, the Marlins are in 5th place, while the Twins are 4th in the AL Central with a record of 81-75.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Marlins 1.5 (-110) | Twins -1.5 (-111)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Marlins +203 | Twins -243

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Marlins vs. Twins Prediction: Moneyline

Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-4 loss to the Braves, Jake Burger went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Marlins also got a good start from Darren McCaughan, allowing just one run while he was on the mound. However, they took him out after just four innings of work.

Declan Cronin took the loss out of the bullpen for the Marlins, as Miami allowed three runs in the top of the 9th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Marlins were at +166 on the money line.

Miami is on the road today to take on the Twins, and they come into the game having dropped two straight and are 57-99 overall. In the NL East, they are in 5th place, 35.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-34 in divisional games.

The Marlins have lost four straight series, and their overall series record is 11-30-9. At home, the Marlins are 30-51 compared to 27-48 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 53-85 this year, and they are just 4-14 when favored.

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 9-3 loss. Minnesota was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Red Sox scored six times in the 2nd.

Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Twins scored their only three runs in the 5th. Trevor Larnach and Christian Vazquez each had two hits. Larnach also scored a run and drove in one.

Minnesota is 81-75 overall, and they are 8.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins are 29-23 against other teams in the AL Central. Minnesota will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak today, and they are just 3-7 across their last ten games.

At home, the Twins are 42-33 this year, and they are just below .500 at 39-42 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 64-45 this year and 17-30 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-20-4, and they lost three straight series at one point but have since won two of their last three series.

Marlins vs. Twins Prediction: Over/Under

The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Miami’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 82-68. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 18-12-2. Overall, 55.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Over his last eight games, Jake Burger has gone 8/29 with three homers for the Marlins. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 28 homers and 69 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez has also been a solid power threat for the Marlins, as he is 2nd on the team with 18 homers and has gone deep in two straight games. Sánchez is batting .247 for the season.

As a team, the Marlins are 28th in the league in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, where they are averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, their team batting average is just .241 (14th) and they are 21st in home runs.

The Twins have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 79-71, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 14-21-5. The over has hit in two straight games.

Carlos Santana is currently leading the Twins in home runs this season, but he has struggled of late, hitting just .182 over his last eight games. However, Willi Castro has gone 7/27 in his last eight games, including one home run, and has driven in five runs during that stretch. Castro is batting .249 for the season, and his 59 RBIs are the 3rd most in the Twins lineup.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the 10th best team batting average in the MLB.

Marlins vs. Twins Prediction: Spread

When betting on the Marlins this season, it’s been best to take them as an underdog, as they have covered the run line in 71 of their 138 games in that role. They have been a terrible bet as the favorite, covering just twice in 18 games. Their overall run line record is 73-83, and their average run differential is -1.4 runs per game.

Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with a 3.94 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings vs. the Dodgers and giving up five earned runs. Looking back over his last three outings, Weathers has given up at least four earned runs in each. The most hits he has allowed in a game is 11, which came vs. the Rangers on June 1st.

Minnesota is 72-84 against the run line this season, including a 32-43 mark at home. The Twins have an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game this season, and they have gone over the run line in two straight games. Minnesota is 47-62 against the run line as the favorite and 25-22 as the underdog.

Twins starter Bailey Ober has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with an ERA of 3.84. He has made 18 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. In that start, he didn’t give up a homer. Ober’s WHIP for the season is .97, and he is averaging 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .200 this season off the right-hander. One area of concern for Ober is his ERA at home, which is 6.01 compared to 6.56 on the road.

Marlins vs. Twins Pick: Over 8 Runs -111

There are a few ways you could look to bet on this Twins vs. Marlins matchup, but we really like the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. We have the Twins winning this one 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the Twins on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bailey Ober finishing with six strikeouts, which is better than Ryan Weathers, who we have finishing with five. However, there are a lot of other ways you could look to bet on this game, and if you’re looking for a player prop, you could look at the Twins and Marlins team home run totals.