Orioles vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th
From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Orioles and Yankees facing off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are 86-70 but have lost two straight, while the Yankees have won three in a row to move to 92-64.
New York is currently favored at -163 on the money line, while the Orioles are the +138 underdog. Tuesday night’s forecast in New York calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the high 60s. Clarke Schmidt will be starting for the Yankees, and the Orioles are going with Dean Kremer.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Orioles 1.5 (-154) | Yankees -1.5 (+127)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Orioles +138 | Yankees -163
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Tigers scored three runs in the top of the 8th. Baltimore was the -126 favorite at home going into the game.
Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Cedric Mullins had a big game at thejson, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
With an overall record of 86-70, the Orioles are six games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has dropped two straight games, and they lost the final two games of their series vs. the Tigers. This year, they have been good in the AL East, going 30-19, and they are 24-18-7 in series this year.
At home, the Orioles have gone 44-37 this year, and they are just above .500 at 42-33 on the road. As the underdog, the Orioles are 16-18 this year, and they are 12-14 as the road underdog. Baltimore’s series losing streak is at five games, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 7-4 win. After allowing two runs to the Athletics in the bottom of the first, the Yankees responded with two runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Starting for the Yankees was Luis Gil, who picked up the win. He went 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Yankees come into today’s game vs. the Orioles with an overall record of 92-64, which has them leading the AL East by six games. New York is currently on a three-game winning streak, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games. This season, they are just one game above .500 in the division, with a record of 25-24.
At home, the Yankees are 42-33 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 50-31. As the favorite, the Yankees are 74-56 this season, and they have gone 18-8 as the underdog. New York has won five straight series, and their overall series record is 30-15-4 this year.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
The Orioles have played in 47 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 25-21. Their combined run average in all games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 83-62. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the top power threats for the Orioles this season, with Santander’s 43 homers being 3rd in the league and Henderson’s 37 homers being 6th in the MLB. However, Santander is coming off a rough stretch, batting just .115 over his last seven games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, though, as he is currently on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .283 for the season.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in batting average and have the league’s 2nd best isolated power mark.
The Yankees have played 52 games with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs this season, and the over has hit in 32 of those games. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and they have an over/under record of 82-69 overall. The over has hit in their last two games, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and have the best team on-base percentage in the league.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 11/28 in his last nine games with four homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .323 and leads the league with 138 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a great season, with a batting average of .287 and 40 home runs.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 82-74 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 44-31 vs. the run line. They have been favored in 122 games, going 60-62 vs. the run line, while they are 22-12 as an underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.7, while it is -3.5 in losing games.
Right-hander Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-10 with an ERA of 4.19. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had a streak of three straight starts without giving up a homer. Kremer has allowed a total of 17 homers this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.54 walks compared to 8.66 strikeouts.
The Yankees are 33-42 against the run line at home this season, but they are 49-32 against the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in their last three games as the underdog, improving to 22-4 against the run line in those games this season.
So far this season, Clarke Schmidt has made 14 starts and has a record of 5-4. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.37, along with a WHIP of 1.17. Schmidt has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 9.59 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Schmidt took the loss, going five innings and giving up three runs on six hits. Before that, he had gone 5 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run. Schmidt’s ERA on the road is 1.51, compared to 3.85 at home.
Orioles vs. Yankees Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -108
Our prediction for the Yankees vs. Orioles game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Yankees winning this one 6-5, so there is a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the Yankees straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Clarke Schmidt is actually projected to finish with the most strikeouts among all starters today, and we have him ending the game with seven K’s. As for Dean Kremer, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts.
