Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 23rd

From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, the Blue Jays and Red Sox will face off in an AL East matchup. First pitch for this one is at 7:07 PM ET. NESN is carrying this game on TV, and the Red Sox are the slight money line underdog (-118).

Monday’s forecast in Toronto calls for rain, and the Red Sox will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. They are 78-78 this season, while the Blue Jays are 73-83 overall. Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays, while the Red Sox are sending Tanner Houck to the mound.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Red Sox 1.5 (-207) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+175)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Red Sox +100 | Blue Jays -118

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline

Romy Gonzalez had a big game at the plate for the Red Sox in their most recent game vs. the Twins, going 1/4 with a homer and four RBIs. The Red Sox really broke things open with a six-run 6th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Red Sox were the slight underdog at +102.

Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox, going 7 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued just three walks and struck out seven Twins batters. Boston’s offense was carried by Romy Gonzalez, who went 1/4 with a homer and four RBIs.

Boston is on the road today to take on the Blue Jays, and they are looking to get above .500, as they currently sit at 78-78 overall. The Red Sox are in 4th place in the AL East, and they trail the Yankees by 14 games for the division lead. This season, they are 22-24 in divisional games.

The Red Sox have won two straight games, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Twins. So far, they have a series record of 23-20-6. As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 26-30 this season, and they are 41-37 overall on the road. At home, the Red Sox are 37-41.

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rays scored a run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. Toronto was the +111 underdog on the money line going into this road game.

Ryan Burr got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss. He only lasted 1 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. Offensively, the Blue Jays had 11 hits but only scored three runs. Ernie Clement had a good day at the plate, going 3/5 with a run scored and an RBI.

The Blue Jays are hosting the Red Sox today with an overall record of 73-83, which has them 5th in the AL East. Toronto is 19 games behind the Yankees for the lead in the AL East and are five games behind the Red Sox for 4th place in the division. So far, the Blue Jays are 20-29 in AL East matchups.

Toronto has dropped three straight games, and they were swept by the Rays in their most recent series. At home, the Blue Jays are 38-37 this season and 35-46 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 44-29 and 29-54 as the underdog.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under

The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Red Sox games this season is 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 77-71. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-10-3. Overall, 67.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

One of the reasons the Red Sox are near the top of the league in scoring is their collective batting average of .253, which is 6th best in the league. They also have the league’s top BABIP at .32 and are 5th in isolated power. As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the Red Sox’s top power threats this season, with Devers hitting 28 homers and O’Neill at 31. Devers’ 83 RBIs are the most on the team, while O’Neill is 4th with 61 RBIs. Jarren Duran is also near the top of the Red Sox’s home run list, with 21 homers, and is batting .285 for the season.

The Blue Jays are back at home today to face the Red Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-74. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 24-17-2. This season, 71 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, accounting for 45.5% of their games. Their games have gone under the total in their last five contests.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also just 19th in home runs and have a team batting average of .242. However, Toronto has been swinging the bats well of late, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hitting .448 over his last seven games, including two homers. For the season, Guerrero Jr. is batting .327 with a team-high 30 homers and 100 RBIs.

George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers this season, but he is batting just .219. The Blue Jays will be looking for him to get things going, as he has gone just 2/25 in his last seven games. Justin Turner and Guerrero Jr. both have four-game hitting streaks coming into the game.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 44-34 against the run line compared to 30-48 at home. Their average run margin on the road is +0.5, which is better than their overall run margin of +0.1. They have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog and are 46-34 against the run line in those games this season.

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. So far this season, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 8-10. Houck’s ERA is 3.21, along with a WHIP of 1.16. In his 29 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 19 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Houck finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Houck has allowed a total of 11 homers this season.

When betting the run line, the Blue Jays have been much more profitable on the road this season. They have a run line record of 51-30 away from home compared to just 28-47 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 47-36 against the run line in those games.

Chris Bassitt will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rangers, as he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in 3 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three walks and a homer. Before that, he had pitched well, going 6 innings and giving up just one earned run vs. the Mets. Bassitt has a record of 10-13 this season and an ERA of 4.16. Out of his 30 starts, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.96 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 18 homers and is averaging 3.4 walks per nine innings.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Pick: Blue Jays ML -118

With the Blue Jays at home, we see them picking up a win over the Red Sox, and with the money line sitting at -118, that is the bet we recommend making. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Blue Jays.

If you’re looking to bet on starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt has the highest projected strikeout total among starters today, and his chances of picking up a win are better than Tanner Houck. We have Bassitt finishing with seven K’s and Houck with five.