Tigers vs Orioles Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 21st
At 4:05 PM ET, the Tigers and Orioles face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-127). The money line odds for a Tigers win are sitting at +108, and they are 4th in the AL Central with an overall record of 80-74. Baltimore is 2nd in the AL East, and they have won two straight.
BSDET is carrying this game on TV, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. Reese Olson is starting for the Tigers, and he is facing off against Cade Povich for the Orioles.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Tigers 1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+162)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Tigers +108 | Orioles -127
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Tigers vs. Orioles Prediction: Moneyline
Baltimore cruised to a 7-1 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Tigers, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -165 on the money line.
Corbin Burnes pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going seven innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Holton took the loss for the Tigers. Holton only went one inning and gave up two earned runs.
At the plate, the Orioles were led by James McCann and Colton Cowser, as they were the only two Orioles hitters to have more than one hit. McCann also homered twice and drove in three runs. Trey Sweeney had a two-hit game for the Tigers.
Detroit is 80-74 overall, putting them 4th in the AL Central, 9.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 27-22 against other teams in the AL Central. The Tigers have won four straight series, and their overall series record is 24-20-5 this year.
At home, the Tigers are 39-36 this year, and they are two games over .500 at 41-38 on the road. Detroit has been better as the underdog this year, where they are 44-50 compared to 36-24 as the favorite. They have been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last 10 games.
Baltimore is 86-68 overall, putting them four games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles have won two straight games, and they are 30-19 against other AL East teams. The Orioles took the series opener vs. the Tigers and have an overall series record of 25-17-7 this year.
At home, the Orioles are 44-35 this year and have gone 42-33 on the road. Baltimore has been good as the favorite this year, going 70-50, and they are 16-18 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Orioles have gone just 4-6 over their last ten games.
Tigers vs. Orioles Prediction: Over/Under
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Tigers games this season is 8.2 runs per game. Overall, the Tigers’ O/U record for the season is 76-74, with an average O/U line of 8 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the Tigers are 15-15 on the season. So far this season, 24 of the Tigers’ games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 15.6% of their games. The majority of their games, 100, have had O/U lines set below 8.5 runs, making up 64.9% of their games.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is also right around their season average of 4.3 runs per game on the road. Detroit’s offense has been led by Riley Greene, who is batting .260 for the season with a team-high 24 home runs and 71 RBIs. Greene has also gone deep four times in his last 10 games.
Over his last 10 games, Parker Meadows has gone 12/39 with two homers and five RBIs. Colt Keith is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, Keith is batting .264 and is 2nd on the team with 58 RBIs.
The Orioles have been a strong over team this season, with an over/under record of 82-61. Their games have averaged a combined 9.1 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When their games have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs, they have gone over that total 24 times and under 20 times. Their games have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs in 47 of their games this season, which is 30.5% of their games. Their current over streak is at 4 games.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also among the league leaders in runs scored. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Baltimore’s team batting average is just 8th in the league, but they are 3rd in slugging and have the league’s 2nd best isolated power figure.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 43 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 37 homers being the 2nd most on the team and 6th best in the league. However, Santander has hit just .154 over his last seven games, while Henderson has gone 9/28 in that stretch. Colton Cowser has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/23 with two homers in his last seven games.
Tigers vs. Orioles Prediction: Spread
When the Tigers win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.6 runs per game. That has helped them to a run line record of 82-72 overall. They have been a strong bet on the run line on the road, going 49-30, while they have struggled at home, going 33-42. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 60-34 on the run line, compared to 22-38 as the favorite.
Through 20 starts, Reese Olson has a record of 4-8 and an ERA of 3.50. He has made nine quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up four earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer. Olsen’s ERA on the road is 4.12, compared to 4.35 at home. So far, he has a record of 1-4 on the road.
The Orioles have been a solid run line team this season, going 82-72 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 44-31 compared to 38-41 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 60-60 as the favorite this season.
Cade Povich gets the start for the Orioles today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers. In that September 15th start, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs, eight hits, and two walks. Povich finished with just one strikeout in the outing. Looking back at his last three starts, he has finished with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 5.74. For the season, Povich is 2-9 with a 5.74 ERA and has allowed a total of 12 homers. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.91 walks compared to 7.83 strikeouts.
Tigers vs. Orioles Pick: Tigers ML +108
Getting the Tigers at +108 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Tigers vs. Orioles matchup. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Tigers, giving us some room to take them on the money line or even on the run line.
Looking at today’s starters, we do have Cade Povich finishing with more strikeouts than Reese Olson. However, Olson is projected to finish with fewer earned runs, and we have him finishing with a better chance of picking up a win.
