Twins vs Red Sox Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 20th

The Twins and Red Sox face off in an AL matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The money line odds have the Twins at -115 compared to the Red Sox at -104, and the over/under line is sitting at 9 runs.

David Festa is starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against Richard Fitts for the Red Sox. Minnesota is currently on a two-game losing streak, and they are 80-73, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 76-77. BSN is televising tonight’s game.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Twins -1.5 (+140) | Red Sox 1.5 (-173)
• Total: 9
• MoneyLine: Twins -115 | Red Sox -104

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Moneyline

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Guardians scored a run in the bottom of the 10th to pick up the win. Minnesota was the -111 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He pitched well, going 4 2/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Twins’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Caleb Thielbar took the loss out of the bullpen. The Twins also wasted a big game from Josh Donaldson, who homered twice, going 3 for 4.

Minnesota will be on the road today to take on the Red Sox, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. The Twins come into the day at 80-73 overall, which has them 8.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 29-23 against other teams in the AL Central.

At home, the Twins are 42-33 this year and 38-40 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 63-43 this year and 17-30 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-19-4, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Guardians.

The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-0 loss. Boston was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but couldn’t get anything going offensively. The Red Sox’s only had one fewer hit than the Rays but didn’t score a run.

Brayan Bello got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run, but got the loss. Boston’s offense also wasted a good performance from Bello, as they didnjson’t score a run. The Red Sox’s only had one runner reach 3rd base.

Boston is 76-77 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. The Red Sox are also 3rd in the AL East, 13 games behind the Yankees and 9 games behind the second-place Orioles. Overall, they are 22-24 against other teams in the AL East.

At home, the Red Sox are 35-40 this year and 41-37 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 76 of their games, going 41-35 in those matchups. As the underdog, Boston is 35-42 this year. The team’s overall series record is 23-20-6, but they have dropped two straight series.

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Over/Under

The Twins have seen their fair share of high-scoring games this season, with an average combined run total of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 77-70, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone over 10 times and under twice. However, only 1.3% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs, with the majority of their games having lower lines.

Heading into today’s game, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up an average of 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and have the 8th ranked slugging percentage in the league.

Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as he leads the team with 22 homers and 65 RBIs. However, he is batting just .238 for the season. Willi Castro has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/24 in his last eight games. This has improved his season average to .250. Castro’s 57 RBIs are 3rd on the team.

The Boston Red Sox are at home today against the Minnesota Twins. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is right around their season average of 9.4 runs per game. The Red Sox have hit the over in 75 of their 145 games this season, and they are 8-7-4 when the line is set at 9 runs.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and they are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, with 189 homers.

Over his last five games, Trevor Story has gone 5/16 with a home run and three runs scored. Rafael Devers is the team’s leader in RBIs this season and has gone deep 28 times, which is 13th in the league. However, he is just 1/11 in his last three games. Tyler O’Neill has also struggled of late, going just 1/17 in his last five games.

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Spread

The Twins are 39-39 on the run line on the road this season, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last two games. Their average run margin on the road is just 0.1, and they have an overall run line record of 71-82. They are 25-22 against the run line as an underdog this season.

Right-hander David Festa gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.07. Festa’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. Out of his 12 appearances, Festa has turned in just one quality start. His ERA on the road is 3.96, and he has a record of 2-2 away from home. Festa most recently faced the Reds, where he went 3 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, three walks, and three homers. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.

The Red Sox have been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 72-81 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 44-34. Boston has been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 44-33, compared to 28-48 as the favorite.

Richard Fitts is getting the start for the Red Sox today, as they host the Twins. Fitts has gone 5 innings in each of his first two starts, and he has yet to give up an earned run. In his last start, he struck out 2 and gave up 2 hits in a no-decision vs. the Yankees.

Twins vs. Red Sox Pick: Red Sox ML -104

Our prediction for this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout being -104. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Richard Fitts is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 18th among starters today. As for David Festa, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is eighth worst.

Offensively, we have the Twins finishing with nine total strikeouts, which is 18th in the league. As for the Red Sox, they are projected to finish with nine K’s, which is 15th.