Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 19th
Thursday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Brewers has a first pitch set for 7:15 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 88-64 and are starting Tobias Myers, while the Diamondbacks are 84-68 and have Brandon Pfaadt on the mound.
The over/under line for this one is currently at 8 runs, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -101 compared to the Diamondbacks at -116. This game will be televised on FOX.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+143) | Brewers 1.5 (-175)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Diamondbacks -116 | Brewers -101
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 9-4 win. After allowing three runs to the Rockies in the top of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with three runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.
Eduardo Rodriguez put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out 11 Rockies batters. Corbin Carroll was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs.
Arizona will be on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are six games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 84-68, and they are 26-20 in divisional games. Arizona lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Rockies.
So far, the Diamondbacks have been good as the favorite, going 49-30, and they are 35-38 as the underdog. Arizona has an overall series record of 26-19-4 and dropped two straight series before that series vs. the Rockies. At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-33 compared to 42-35 on the road.
The Brewers’s offense was carried by Rhys Hoskins in their most recent game vs. the Phillies. Hoskins went 2/3 with a homer and scored both of the Brewers’s runs. Milwaukee’s other run came in the 9th inning, as they closed things out with a 2-1 win. The Brewers were the slight favorite at -115 at home going into the game.
Freddy Peralta got the start for the Brewers, going five innings and giving up just one run on two hits. He only had nine K’s in the outing and issued just two walks. The Brewers also got a scoreless inning of relief from Devin Williams, who picked up the save.
Milwaukee is 88-64 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They head into today’s game at home vs. the Diamondbacks with an 11.0 game lead over the Cardinals. The Brewers have gone 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central.
The Brewers have been good at home this year, going 44-30, and they are 44-34 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 51-36 this year and 37-28 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 28-17-4 and have won three straight series. Their four-series road winning streak was snapped in their most recent road series.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under
Arizona’s games have averaged 10.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 87-58. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they are 11-6-2. This season, 71.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up an average of 5.8 runs per game. Not only do the Diamondbacks lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS, but they also have the 2nd best team batting average in the league at .264.
Arizona’s top power threat this season has been Eugenio Suarez, who is 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is also 10th in the league in RBIs. Ketel Marte has a team-high 87 RBIs and is batting .289 for the season. Over his last five games, Corbin Carroll is hitting .353 with two homers, while Pavin Smith has gone 8/15 over the same stretch.
The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game. Milwaukee’s over/under record for the season is 77-65. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-11-5. This season, 82 of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, which accounts for 53.9% of their games. There have been 43 games with over/under lines set at under 8 runs. The under has hit in their last two games.
Coming into today’s game, the Brewers are 4th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Milwaukee has also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams this season, as their 170 homers are 14th in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is the 7th best mark in the league.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras hitting 22 homers and Adames at 32. Adames is also 3rd in the league in RBIs, with 109. However, Adames is looking to get his batting average up, as he is hitting just .248 for the season and only .143 in his last eight games. Rhys Hoskins has also struggled with his batting average this season (.212) but does have 25 homers.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread
When it comes to the run line, the Diamondbacks have been a profitable bet this season, going 78-74. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 44-33 against the run line. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of +0.5 runs per game on the road and +0.7 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 45-28 against the run line in those games.
Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Brewers on the road. This year, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 9-9 with a 4.81 ERA. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his 29 starts, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.64 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt’s last outing was a rough one, as he gave up eight earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 78-74 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 43-35 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 44-21 against the run line in those games.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. Myers has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.07 ERA. In his 24 total appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers most recently faced the Diamondbacks on September 14th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that outing, he had given up two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Myers has been much better at home, coming in with a 3.47 ERA compared to 3.27 on the road.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML -101
There are a couple of ways you could look to play this one, but we are going to recommend taking the Brewers on the money line at -101. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout being nearly even, we think this is the best way to go.
If you are looking for a parlay option, you could look to pair the Brewers with an over pick. We have the over/under at 8 runs, and with the Brewers winning 6-5, there is a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the over.