Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 18th
The Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line today at -180, while the Marlins come in with a money line odds of +151. This NL matchup has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the game is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami.
First pitch for this one is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSFL. Landon Knack is starting for the Dodgers, and the Marlins are going with Ryan Weathers. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL West, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (-110) | Marlins 1.5 (-111)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Dodgers -180 | Marlins +151
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Moneyline
Miami picked up an impressive 11-9 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored four of their nine runs in the 9th inning.
Darren McCaughan got the win for the Marlins, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up five runs. Anthony Veneziano also had a good outing out of the bullpen, getting the save. Bobby Miller only went two innings for the Dodgers, giving up four earned runs.
Jesús Sánchez was the difference for the Marlins, as he went 5/5 with a home run and three RBIs. Kyle Stowers also had a two-hit game and drove in two for Miami’s offense.
Los Angeles is 89-62 overall this season, and they lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers will be on the road today, facing the Marlins, and they are 24-19 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27, and they are 41-35 on the road. So far, they have really taken advantage of being the favorite, going 84-50 in those games. As the road favorite, the Dodgers have put together a record of 37-23 this year.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 35 games for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 56-95, and they are 17-32 against other teams in the NL East. They have won three straight games at home, and they are 29-47 at home this year.
So far, the Marlins have gone 27-48 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 52-81 compared to just 4-14 as the favorite. The Marlins have an overall series record of 11-28-9, and they have lost two straight series.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Over/Under
Los Angeles Dodgers games have been going over the total quite a bit this season, as their over/under record is 83-65. Their games have had an average combined run total of 9.3, and their games have been set at an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 33-25. Their games have gone over the total in four straight contests.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the best power hitters in the league this season, as his 48 homers are 2nd in the MLB and lead the Dodgers. He also comes into the game with 110 RBIs, which is also the best mark on the team and 2nd in the league. Ohtani is batting .287 for the season. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key power threat for the Dodgers, as his 29 homers are 13th in the league. Hernandez is also on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 8/23 in his last six games.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, where they are averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top slugging team and have the 2nd best OPS in the league. The Dodgers have been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as their isolated power mark of .186 is 2nd in the league.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Miami Marlins’ home game against the Los Angeles Dodgers is slightly higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. The Marlins have played 52 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, going 28-24 in those contests. Overall, Miami’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this year, with an over/under record of 80-66 on the season.
As a team, the Marlins are batting just .241 this season, which is 13th in the league. However, their team on-base percentage of .297 is just 21st in the majors. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks. Overall, they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. At home, they have been slightly better, averaging 4.3 runs per contest.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with 26 and 17 homers, respectively. Burger’s 66 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and Sánchez is right behind him at 62. Otto Lopez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/22 in his last six games with two homers.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Spread
When betting the Dodgers on the run line, it’s been a coin flip proposition this season with a 75-76 record. They have been a slightly better bet on the road (37-39) than at home (38-37). Overall, their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.9 runs per game at home. When they win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of +3.7 runs per game.
Right-hander Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 3.70 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Knack has a WHIP of 1.09 and has allowed a total of 12 home runs. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.68 strikeouts and just 2.41 walks. The last time he pitched was on September 13th, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up just one earned run in three straight starts.
At home, the Marlins have a run line record of 33-43 and an average run margin of -1.6. They have covered the run line in three straight home games and are 69-64 as the underdog this season.
Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.55 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 13 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.49 strikeouts per nine innings. Weathers most recently pitched vs. the Guardians, where he went 2 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and three walks. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Pick: Marlins ML +151
With the Marlins coming in at +151 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins. However, you could also look to take the over, as we have this one finishing with 11 total runs, and the line is currently sitting at 8.5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ryan Weathers is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have Landon Knack ending the game with four. The Dodgers are projected to finish with eight as a team, while the Marlins are predicted to finish with 11.
