Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Chiefs vs Falcons Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 3

ByUSA Wager

The Falcons, who are the underdog with a +155 money line, will host the Chiefs at 8:20 ET on Sunday, September 22nd at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Chiefs are favored on the road with a point spread of -3.5. This week three non-conference matchup is being televised on NBC, with the Chiefs’ money line at -185. The over/under line is set at 46.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Falcons vs Chiefs

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 25 to 24
  • Even though we like the Chiefs to win, our ATS pick is to take the Falcons at +3.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 46.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chiefs -3.5 | Falcons +3.5
  • Total: 46.5
  • MoneyLine: Chiefs -185 | Falcons +155

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chiefs vs. Falcons Prediction: MoneyLine

Patrick Mahomes threw for 151 yards, completing 18 of 25 passes, and the Chiefs’ offense managed to put up 26 points in their 26-25 win over the Bengals. The Chiefs had 149 yards on the ground, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt, but struggled on third down, converting only 12.5% of their chances. Mahomes threw two interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 80, and was sacked twice.

Isiah Pacheco led the Chiefs’ ground game with 90 yards rushing, while Rashee Rice was the top receiver with 75 yards and a touchdown. Despite their struggles on third down, the Chiefs still managed to come out on top with a one-point victory.

Atlanta’s offense picked up 22 first downs in their 22-21 win over the Eagles. They rushed for 152 yards on 28 attempts and averaged 5.4 yards per attempt. Kirk Cousins threw for 233 yards on 20 of 29 passing (69%), with two touchdowns and a passer rating of 117. He was sacked once. Darnell Mooney led the Falcons with 88 yards receiving and a touchdown.

Bijan Robinson was the top rusher for Atlanta, gaining 97 yards on 14 carries. The Falcons struggled on third down, converting just 22.2% of their chances.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -185 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Falcons Prediction: Total

In their 26-25 win over the Bengals, the Chiefs’ defense allowed 246 passing yards and 74 rushing yards on 22 attempts. They gave up two passing touchdowns and held Cincinnati to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down. The Chiefs recorded three sacks and had a good game in terms of tackles for loss and quarterback hits.

Kansas City’s defense limited the Bengals to 320 total yards, with the secondary allowing 23 completions on 36 attempts (63.9%). Although they gave up some big plays, the Chiefs were able to slow down the Bengals’ ground game and make key stops when needed.

Despite giving up 186 rushing yards on 37 attempts, the Falcons’ defense played well in their 22-21 win over the Eagles. They allowed Philadelphia to convert just 46.2% of their third down attempts and held them to 1-of-2 in the red zone. The Falcons also intercepted one pass and limited the Eagles to 179 passing yards on 23 completions.

Atlanta’s defense forced the Eagles to sustain long drives, as they finished with 365 total yards. Even though they struggled to stop the run, the Falcons came up with key plays in critical situations to help secure the narrow victory.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 46.5 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Falcons Prediction: Spread

Despite trailing for most of the game, the Chiefs pulled off a 26-25 comeback win over the Bengals, improving to 2-0 for the season. Kansas City’s initial 3rd quarter deficit turned into a 22-17 deficit in the 4th quarter, but they managed to outscore the Bengals 9-3 in the final period. This was capped off by a late 48-yard field goal from Harrison Butker, giving the Chiefs the one-point victory.

The Chiefs’ comeback started in the 4th quarter when Patrick Mahomes found Wanya Morris for a touchdown to take a 25-23 lead. The Chiefs initially fell behind when the Bengals added a field goal with just under 50 seconds left in the 4th. Kansas City and the Bengals were tied 3-3 after the 1st quarter, and the Chiefs were favored by -6.5, with the over/under line set at 47.5 points.

  • Over their last three games, the Chiefs have gone 3-0 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-0-1 over-under mark.
  • Kansas City has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 20 points per game while allowing 18. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-1-1.

Heading into the 4th quarter, the Falcons were leading the Eagles 15-10 and added to their lead early in the 4th with a touchdown from Kirk Cousins to Darnell Mooney, making the score 21-15. Although the Eagles briefly took a 21-15 lead, the Falcons responded with a touchdown from Cousins to Drake London with 38 seconds left, giving them a 22-21 win. Atlanta’s record is now 1-1 after their week two victory over the Eagles.

Entering the game as +5.5 point underdogs, the Falcons not only won but also covered the spread with their 22-21 victory. The game finished with a total of 43 points, going just under the 46.5-point total line.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Atlanta has a record of 1-2. In these contests, the team went just 1-2 against the spread, while going 1-2 on the over-under.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 15 points per game while allowing an average of 24. Atlanta posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Free Spread Prediction Falcons +3.5 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Falcons Pick: Falcons +3.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take Atlanta to cover as home underdogs. They are currently sitting at +3.5 point favorites, and we have the Chiefs coming out on top by a score of 25-24.

For the over/under line, we really like the over with a projected combined score of 49 points. The line is at 46.5 points, making the over our best bet for this week three matchup.

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