Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 17th
At 6:40 PM ET, the Dodgers and Marlins face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -195 compared to the Marlins at +163. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.
Los Angeles has won two straight and is 89-61 overall, while the Marlins are 55-95 and have lost three in a row. Bobby Miller is starting for the Dodgers, while the Marlins are going with Darren McCaughan. SNLA is carrying this one on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (-124) | Marlins 1.5 (+101)
- Total: 9.5
- MoneyLine: Dodgers -195 | Marlins +163
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Moneyline
Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Braves with an impressive 9-0 win. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were the slight favorite at -136 on the money line. It was a six-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Braves could only score two runs in the 4th.
Evan Phillips put together a good start for the Dodgers, going four innings and not giving up a run. Los Angeles’s offense was carried by Freddie Freeman, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
With an overall record of 89-61, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are on a two-game winning streak, and they are 24-19 in divisional matchups this year. At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27 and are 41-34 on the road.
Los Angeles has been favored in most of their games, putting together an 84-49 record as the favorite. As the underdog, the Dodgers are just 5-12 this year. The team’s overall series record is 28-18-4, and they split their most recent series with the Braves.
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Nationals scored a run in the bottom of the 9th. Miami was the +149 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Adam Oller had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. He also only had two strikeouts and took the loss. The Marlins scored their three runs on a homer from Jonah Bride, going 2/4.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 35 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 55-95, and they have lost three straight games, which came at the end of their series vs. the Nationals. So far, they are 17-32 against other NL East teams.
As the underdog, the Marlins are 51-81 this season compared to just 4-14 as the favorite. At home, the Marlins are 28-47 and 27-48 on the road. Their overall series record is 11-28-9, and they have dropped two straight series.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Over/Under
The Dodgers are in Miami to take on the Marlins in a game with an over/under line of 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 9.2 runs per game. They have an over/under record of 82-65 on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 9 runs per game. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the Dodgers’ over/under record is 6-7. This is the ninth game this season in which the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, accounting for just 6.0% of their games. The Dodgers have hit the over in their last three games.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force at the plate for the Dodgers this season, batting .288 with 47 home runs and 108 RBIs. Ohtani’s 47 homers are the 2nd most in the league this season. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season, as he is batting .267 with 29 homers, which is 12th in the MLB.
Tommy Edman has been on a tear for the Dodgers, going 13/34 with five homers over his last nine games. During this stretch, he has scored seven runs and driven in 10. As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in runs scored and have the 3rd best team slugging percentage in the league.
Oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 9.5 runs for tonight’s game between the Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Marlins have played to the under in three straight games and have an overall over/under record of 79-66 this season. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .240, and their team on-base percentage is just .296 (21st).
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez come into the game with identical batting averages of .244, with Burger leading the team with 25 homers and 62 RBIs. Sánchez is 2nd on the team in homers and RBIs. Over his last seven games, Connor Norby is just 4/27 at the plate.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Spread
Los Angeles has been a solid bet against the run line this season, sitting at 75-75 overall. They have been a better bet at home, going 38-37 against the run line, but they have been even better on the road, going 37-38. Their average run margin for the season is +0.8 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games and are 2-0 against the run line as the favorite in those games.
Right-hander Bobby Miller gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 8.17. Miller’s WHIP for the season is 1.69, and opponents are batting .274 off him this year. In his 12 appearances, Miller has turned in just two quality starts. His ERA on the road is 13.24, and he has yet to win on the road, coming in with a record of 0-4. Miller most recently faced the Cubs, where he gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work.
When betting the run line on the Marlins this season, it’s been a better idea to take them as the underdog. Miami is just 2-16 against the run line as the favorite, but 68-64 as the underdog. Their overall run line record is 70-80, with a -1.3 average run differential per game. The Marlins have been a slightly better bet on the road, going 38-37 against the run line, compared to 32-43 at home.
Miami is turning to right-hander Darren McCaughan to start today’s game vs. the Dodgers. He has made three starts and eight appearances this season and has a record of 0-0 with a 7.06 ERA. McCaughan’s WHIP for the season is 1.81. Opposing batters are hitting .318 off McCaughan this season. In his last outing, McCaughan gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. McCaughan has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Pick: Marlins ML +163
Our prediction for this Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, with the payout sitting at +163. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins, giving us some wiggle room if you wanted to take the Marlins on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Darren McCaughan finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for fifth among starters. As for Bobby Miller, we have him finishing with five K’s, which has him at 20th among starters.
