Nationals vs Mets Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 16th

The money line odds have the Mets as the favorite at -182, while the Nationals are sitting at +153. This game will be televised on MLBN and is getting started at 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY.

Washington comes in with a record of 68-81 and they are 4th in the NL East, while the Mets are 2nd in the division at 81-68. Jake Irvin is starting for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Sean Manaea for the Mets.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Nationals 1.5 (-144) | Mets -1.5 (+119)
• Total: 7.5
• MoneyLine: Nationals +153 | Mets -182

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Nationals vs. Mets Prediction: Moneyline

Washington’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the top of the 3rd, the Nationals responded with two runs of their own. Washington went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

MacKenzie Gore put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Marlins batters. Washington’s offense was carried by James Wood, who went 2/3 with two homers and two RBIs.

Washington is on the road today, heading into their matchup with the Mets with an overall record of 68-81. The Nationals are currently 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 22 games. So far, they are 23-23 in divisional matchups.

The Nationals have won three straight games, and they took their series vs. the Marlins 3-1. At home, the Nationals are 36-39 this year and 32-42 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 53-68 compared to 15-13 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 19-22-6.

The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Phillies scored a run in the bottom of the 8th. New York was the +114 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

David Peterson was excellent for the Mets, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Edwin Diaz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from Tyrone Taylor, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/3.

The Mets host the Nationals with an overall record of 81-68, which has them nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York’s two-game losing streak came after dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies. So far, they are 23-19 in divisional games.

At home, the Mets are 40-34 this season while going 41-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 53-37, and they are 28-31 as the underdog. New York has an overall series record of 25-17-8 this year.

Nationals vs. Mets Prediction: Over/Under

The Washington Nationals are on the road against the New York Mets today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-73. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 16-9. The over has hit in three straight games for the Nationals.

So far this season, the Nationals offense has been pretty average in terms of batting average and on-base percentage. However, they have struggled to hit for power, as their team isolated power number is just 23rd in the league. Overall, they are averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. Washington has been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 65, and Abrams also leads the team with 20 homers. Garcia Jr. comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .282 for the season. Over his last six games, James Wood has two homers and is 6/22, while Jose Tena is 8/23 in his last six games.

When the Mets are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games is 9.1, and their over/under record for the season is 74-70. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 18-15. In 70.5% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at more than 7.5 runs.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 32 homers lead the team and is 8th in the league, while Lindor’s 31 long balls is 9th in the MLB. Lindor also leads the Mets with 86 RBIs and is batting .271 for the season. Over his last 10 games, Jose Iglesias is batting .375, but he has yet to hit a home run during this stretch.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average and have the 8th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Nationals vs. Mets Prediction: Spread

The Nationals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 83-66 overall. They are 43-31 on the run line on the road, where they have an average scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 70-51 on the run line.

Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 30 starts and has a record of 10-12 with an ERA of 4.19. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.19 and has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 4.23. In comparison, his home ERA is 5.04, and he is 3-8 at home. The right-hander’s most recent outing came on September 11th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.

The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 75-74 overall. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 42-33, compared to 33-41 at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 35-24, compared to 40-50 as the favorite. Their average run differential in games they win is +3.7, while their average run differential in games they lose is -3.4.

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Nationals at home. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with a 3.35 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10, and opponents are batting .195 off him this year. Manaea’s last outing came against the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on eight hits. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.

Nationals vs. Mets Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -117

Our prediction for the Mets vs. Nationals game is that the Mets will come out on top by a score of 5-4. However, with the Mets being -182 on the money line, we are actually recommending taking the over, as there is a lot of value in the over/under line sitting at 7.5.

If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to pick up the win, our model has Sean Manaea with the Mets as the starter with the third-best chances of getting a win. As for Jake Irvin, he is ranked eighth in terms of starters to pick up a win.

Looking at some of our projections, the Nationals are actually projected to finish with more hits than the Mets, with the Mets finishing with nine and the Nationals with seven.

Another reason we like the over is that the Mets are projected to finish with just five runs, and they are 11th in terms of home runs.