Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 15th
First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Brewers and Diamondbacks is set for 4:10 PM ET from Chase Field in Phoenix. The Brewers are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 86-62, which has them in 1st place in the NL Central. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 82-66 and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak.
Arizona comes into the game as the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -156 compared to the Brewers at +132. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Diamondbacks will be starting Zac Gallen, while the Brewers have not yet named a starter.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Brewers 1.5 (-162) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+133)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Brewers +132 | Diamondbacks -156
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Moneyline
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Diamondbacks by a score of 15-8. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Diamondbacks and struck out four more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +131 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks. Myers only went six innings but gave up just one hit and three earned runs. On the other side, Pfaadt was tagged for eight runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two-through-six hitters did the most damage, as they combined for 12 hits, four homers, and 14 RBI. Willy Adames and William Contreras each had two homers for the Brewers’ offense.
Milwaukee is on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central with an overall record of 86-62. The Brewers hold an 11-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. So far, they have gone 30-19 in divisional matchups this year.
As they take on the Diamondbacks today, the Brewers are 44-33 on the road this year and 42-29 at home. Milwaukee has won three straight games on the road and have an overall record of 27-17 as road underdogs. They are also 36-26 as the underdog overall and 50-36 when favored this year.
Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by five games and the Padres by 1.5 games for the second Wild Card spot. The Diamondbacks are 82-66 overall, but they have dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Brewers. So far, they have gone 25-18 against other teams in the NL West.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 41-33 this season, with the same record on the road. This year, they have been favored in 75 of their games, going 47-28 in those contests. As the underdog, Arizona is 35-38 this season, and they are 34-19 as the home favorite.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over/Under
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 76-63. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 28-23, and 20.3% of their games have had higher lines than that this season.
For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, coming into the game ranked 14th in the league. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 7th in the league.
Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins come into the game as the Brewers’ top power threats, with Adames leading the team with 32 homers and Hoskins at 24. Adames is also 2nd in the league with 107 RBIs. William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/27 in his last eight games, with two homers.
Arizona Diamondbacks games have been high-scoring this season, with a combined run average of 10.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 85-56, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have a record of 32-18. Overall, 36.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Not only are the Diamondbacks the top-scoring team in the league at 5.5 runs per game, but they also lead the league in team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home this season, averaging 5.7 runs per contest.
Arizona’s top power hitter this season has been Ketel Marte, who has gone deep 31 times, which is the 10th best mark in the league. Eugenio Suarez is right behind him with 28 homers and comes into the game batting .255. Suárez has been on fire of late, going 12/22 over his last six games with four homers.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Spread
The Brewers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 76-72 overall. They are 42-35 against the run line on the road, and they have covered in their last three games. They have been especially good against the run line as an underdog, going 42-20 on the season.
Milwaukee is sending DL Hall to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made six starts and one of them was a quality start. Hall’s ERA for the season is 4.01, along with a record of 1-1. The last time he pitched was on September 10th out of the bullpen. In that outing, he went 1 2/3 innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that appearance. Looking back, Hall has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings.
Arizona has been a strong run line team on the road this season, going 43-31 on the run line away from home. They have an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game overall, and they have gone 77-71 on the run line this season. They have been a better run line team as the underdog, going 45-28 on the run line in those games. In their wins, they have an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game, while in their losses, they have an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game.
Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Rangers on September 10th, he pitched five innings, picking up the win and giving up just two hits. Gallen finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. So far this season, he has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .230 off the right-hander. Gallen’s ERA for the season is 3.54, along with a record of 12-6. Looking back at his last four outings, he has given up at least two homers in three of them.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML -156
Looking at the money line, we like the Diamondbacks at home to pick up the win. At -156, there is a good payout, and we have the Diamondbacks winning this one 6-5.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks are our top pick in terms of home runs, and they are also projected to finish with the second-most runs in the league today. As for the Brewers, they are projected to finish with the 12th most runs.
