Marlins vs Nationals Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 15th
From Nationals Park in Washington, D.C., the Marlins and Nationals face off in an NL East matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 1:35 PM ET. BSFL is carrying this one on TV, and the Nationals are the heavy favorite on the money line at -177. The money line odds have the Marlins at +150, and they are 5th in the NL East with a record of 55-94. The Nationals have won two straight and they are 4th in the division at 67-81.
MacKenzie Gore is starting for the Nationals, while the Marlins are going with Adam Oller. Miami comes in on a two-game losing streak, and the over/under line for this game is 8.5 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Marlins 1.5 (-144) | Nationals -1.5 (+120)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Marlins +150 | Nationals -177
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Moneyline
Washington picked up a 4-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -145 on the money line.
Patrick Corbin pitched well for the Nationals in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. Corbin picked up a win in the game, while Kyle Finnegan got the save. Valente Bellozo had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss.
Jose Tena and Joey Gallo each homered for the Nationals, while Juan Yepez scored twice and drove in a run while going 1/3. Keibert Ruiz also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Miami is 55-94 overall, and they are 34.5 games out of the NL East lead. So far, they have gone just 17-31 in divisional games. The Marlins have dropped two straight games, and they are 2-8 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Marlins are just 28-47 this year, and they are 27-47 on the road. This season, the Marlins are just 4-14 when favored and 51-80 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 11-26-9, and they are losing their series vs. the Nationals 1-2.
Washington is 67-81 overall and 22 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals have gone 22-23 against other teams in the NL East. Currently, they are on a two-game winning streak, and they have won two straight as the home team.
As the underdog, the Nationals are 53-68 this season compared to 14-13 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 17-23-6, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Over/Under
The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Washington Nationals today, with the Over/Under line set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season. Their Over/Under record for the season is 79-65, and their average O/U line is 8 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have a record of 28-23. Overall, 19.5% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have gone under the total in their last two games.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been a little better at home, putting up 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, but their on-base percentage of .296 is just 22nd. Miami’s team OPS of .666 is also one of the worst marks in the league.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with 25 and 17 homers, respectively. Burger has also driven in 61 runs, while Sánchez has 59 RBIs. Burger comes into the game with a batting average of .244 and has gone 6/21 in his last five games. Otto Lopez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/18 in his last five games.
The Nationals are home against the Marlins today. The O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.9. Their O/U record is 70-72, and when the line is set at 8.5, they are 19-22. The under has hit in their last two games.
So far this season, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and are also one of the top teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of just .378.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, with his 20 homers leading the team. However, he is batting just .239 for the season. Luis Garcia Jr. is hitting .281 and is 2nd on the team with 64 RBIs. Abrams has gone deep twice in his last five games while batting .263 over that stretch. Keibert Ruiz, Lane Thomas, and Jacob Young are all on three-game hitting streaks.
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Spread
When it comes to run line betting, the Marlins have been a solid play overall this season, going 69-80. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 37-37 against the run line. However, they have failed to cover in their last two road games and are just 2-16 against the run line as the favorite this season.
Adam Oller will be making his 5th start of the season for the Marlins, and he’s still looking for his first win. Oller has a loss in each of his first 2 starts and took a no-decision in his 3rd start. In his most recent outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 6 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks.
The Nationals have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 83-65. They have been slightly better on the road, going 43-31 compared to 40-34 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 70-51.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves. In that start, he took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Gore has made 29 starts and has a record of 8-12. His ERA for the season is 4.34, along with a WHIP of 1.52. Opposing batters have a batting average of .264 vs. Gore this season. One positive note for Gore is that he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.65 strikeouts per nine innings.
Marlins vs. Nationals Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -104
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup is to take the Nationals to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line sitting at -177, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs, where you can get a payout of -104.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Adam Oller finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the fifth-best among starters today. As for MacKenzie Gore, we have him ending the game with seven K’s, which is the third best.
