Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 15th

Carlos Rodon and the Yankees will host the Red Sox on Sunday, with the game getting started at 1:35 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York. The Yankees are 86-63 and are 1st in the AL East, while the Red Sox are 75-74 and are 3rd in the division.

New York comes into the game as the heavy favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -176, while the Red Sox are at +147. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on YES.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Red Sox 1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+119)
• Total: 8.5
• MoneyLine: Red Sox +147 | Yankees -176

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline

Boston cruised to a 7-1 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 4th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +164 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Brayan Bello for the Red Sox and Gerrit Cole for the Yankees. Bello went just 5 1/3 innings but gave up just one run and one hit. On the other side, Cole was tagged for seven runs in 4 1/3 innings of work.

Boston’s offense was led by Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida, as they were the only two Red Sox hitters to have more than one hit. Story also scored three times and drove in a run. Rafael Devers and Wilyer Abreu each had two RBIs.

Boston is 75-74 overall and trails the Yankees by 11 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone just 21-21 in divisional games. The Red Sox will look to pick up a win today as they are just below .500 at 35-40 on the road.

As the road underdog, the Red Sox have gone 25-29 this year, and they are 34-41 as the underdog overall. Boston’s series record is 22-18-6 this year, and they have won two straight series. Currently, they are 1-2 in this series vs. the Yankees.

The Yankees are 86-63 overall this season, and they lead the Orioles by two games for the AL East lead. New York is 24-24 in divisional games this year and have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Yankees have put together a mark of 68-56 and are 40-31 as the favorite at home.

So far, the Yankees have been really good as the underdog, going 18-7, and they are 45-30 on the road compared to 41-33 at home. New York has an overall series record of 27-15-4 this year, and they have won two straight series. Today, they will take on the Red Sox at home.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under

When the Boston Red Sox are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average for the season is 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 74-67. On average, the over/under line for their games this season has been set at 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 25-16. This season, 63 of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8.5 runs, which accounts for 42.3% of their games. Forty-five games have had lines set under 8.5 runs, making up 30.2% of their games.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 7th in the league in home runs and have the league’s top batting average on balls in play (.32). Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Boston has been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest.

Rafael Devers has been a big run producer for the Red Sox this season, as his 83 RBIs are the best mark on the team. He also has 28 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Devers is batting .278 for the season. Tyler O’Neill has gone deep 30 times this season, which is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Over his last 10 games, O’Neill is 5/36 with five homers.

The New York Yankees are at home today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.2 runs per game. The Yankees have gone over the line in 32 of their 53 games with an 8.5 O/U line, and overall, their over/under record is 79-65 for the season.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees lead the MLB in home runs, and they are also one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 5 runs per game. This includes averaging 5.2 runs per game on the road. As a team, the Yankees are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and they have the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto.

Judge and Soto have also been two of the league’s top run producers, with Judge leading the MLB with 130 RBIs and Soto coming in at 101. Judge is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 7/22 in his last six games, with one home run.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 43-31. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have been a better bet as the underdog, going 43-32. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9, while it’s -3.9 in losses.

Right-hander Kutter Crawford is on the mound for the Red Sox today as he gets set to face the Yankees on the road. Crawford has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 8-14. His ERA is 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.08. Crawford has pitched better on the road this year, coming in with a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 4.52. At home, his ERA is 4.12, and he is 4-8. In his last outing, Crawford gave up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss. He has lost each of his last four starts. Per nine innings, Crawford is averaging 2.42 walks compared to 8.34 strikeouts.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with a run margin of -3.6. That’s why their run line record is just 76-73. They are 32-42 against the run line at home and 44-31 on the road. They are 55-69 against the run line as the favorite and 21-4 as the underdog.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Red Sox and comes in with a record of 14-9 and an ERA of 4.15. He has made 29 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.21. Rodón has made 15 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.29 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Royals. Before that, he had gone six innings without giving up an earned run. Rodón has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -112

Our favorite bet for today’s Red Sox and Yankees matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Yankees, giving us some wiggle room with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at some potential starting pitcher props, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing 10th in the league today. As for Kutter Crawford, we have him ending the game with five strikeouts, which would have him 14th.