Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
At 8:10 PM ET, the Brewers and Diamondbacks will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -137 compared to the Brewers at +117. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Milwaukee has won two straight and is 85-62 overall, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 82-65. Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks, while the Brewers are sending Tobias Myers to the mound.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Brewers 1.5 (-186) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+153)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Brewers +117 | Diamondbacks -137
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Moneyline
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Diamondbacks series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as +108 underdogs and squeaked out a 2-1 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Diamondbacks and struck out 12 times.
Arizona had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning, but Devin Williams closed things out for the Brewers. Freddy Peralta got the win for Milwaukee, going five innings and giving up just one hit and one earned run.
Rhys Hoskins and Joey Ortiz were the only two Brewers hitters to have more than one hit. Hoskins also hit the game’s only home run.
Milwaukee is on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks, leading the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 85-62 overall and have taken the first two games of this series. So far, they have gone 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central.
As the road underdog, the Brewers have gone 26-17 this season, and they are 35-26 as the underdog overall. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite, going 50-36 this year. The Brewers have put together two straight wins as the road underdog, and they are 26-17-4 in series this year.
Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by five games. Overall, they are 82-65, and they are 25-18 against other teams in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of their series vs. the Brewers.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 41-32 this season, and they are 41-33 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 47-27 this year and 34-18 as the favorite at home. So far, they have been the underdog, they are 35-38. Arizona’s overall series record is 26-17-4, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over/Under
Today’s over/under line for the Milwaukee Brewers’ road game against the Arizona Diamondbacks is set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-63. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 27-23. In games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 20.4% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 7th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Brewers are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and are 4th in on-base percentage. Milwaukee’s offense is also one of the best in the league at avoiding strikeouts.
Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as his 30 home runs are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. He also comes into the game with the 5th most RBIs in the league (102). William Contreras is batting .279 this season and is 2nd on the team with 84 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has 24 homers but is batting just .207 for the season.
The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 10.2 runs per contest. Their over/under record is 84-56, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 31 times and under 18 times. Overall, 36.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Arizona’s offense has been the best in the MLB so far this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have the league’s top on-base percentage, at .336, and are also the top slugging team in the league. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Leading the Diamondbacks in home runs is Ketel Marte, who has 31 long balls this season while batting .295. Eugenio Suarez has also been a key power bat for the team, as he has gone deep 28 times and is batting .254. Suarez has been on a tear of late, going 12/24 in his last six games, with four homers and five RBIs.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Spread
The Brewers have been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 41-35, including a 2-game run-line win streak. Their average run margin on the road is +1.0, and they have a run-line record of 34-37 at home. As an underdog, they have been especially profitable, going 41-20 against the run line.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 2.92 ERA. Myers’ WHIP for the season is 1.16, and opponents are batting .228 off him this year. In his last outing, Myers picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on 11 hits. Looking back further, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. Myers has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
When betting the run line with the Diamondbacks, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, where they are 43-31 on the run line. They have a positive scoring margin both at home and on the road, but they have been a better bet on the road. They are 45-28 on the run line as an underdog, compared to 32-42 as the favorite.
Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Astros. In that start, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Pfaadt has alternated between wins and losses. His record for the season is 9-8, and he has an ERA of 4.42. Opposing batters are hitting .257 this season vs. Pfaadt. Overall, he has made 28 starts, 12 of which were quality starts. Pfaadt’s ERA at home is 4.37 compared to 4.70 on the road.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML -137
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -137. We actually see this game ending with a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks, which would also make the over a good pick, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Brandon Pfaadt of the Diamondbacks is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Tobias Myers of the Brewers, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him ranked 20th among starters.
