Reds vs Twins Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 13th

At 8:10 PM ET, the Reds and Twins face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Reds are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. They are 71-77 and 5th in the NL Central. The Twins have won two straight and their record of 78-68 has them 3rd in the AL Central.

Minnesota is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -221 compared to the Reds at +183. The over/under line is currently 8 runs, and Julian Aguiar is starting for the Reds, while the Twins are going with Bailey Ober. This one can be seen on BSOH.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Reds 1.5 (-117) | Twins -1.5 (-105)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Reds +183 | Twins -221

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Reds vs. Twins Prediction: Moneyline

The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 6-1 loss. This was especially tough, as it closed out their series vs. St. Louis. Cincinnati was the +123 underdog on the money line going into this matchup.

Jakob Junis got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up just one run on three hits, but issued three walks. Carson Spiers really struggled out of the bullpen, taking the loss and giving up two earned runs in just 0.2 innings of work. Offensively, the Reds only had four hits but scored just one run. Their lone run came in the 6th inning.

Cincinnati is 71-77 overall this season, and they are 14 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Reds are also 5th in the division, with an overall mark of 21-25 in divisional games. They come into today’s game having dropped two straight games, with both losses coming vs. the Cardinals.

At home, the Reds are 36-39 this season and 35-38 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 23-32 this season compared to 33-33 as the favorite. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 18-27-3, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Cardinals.

The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing one run to the Angels in the top of the first, the Twins responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 4th inning. Minnesota went on to close out the Angels, picking up a total of 6 runs on 11 hits.

Cole Sands got the start for the Twins, going 3 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Angels batters. Matt Wallner was only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and the Twins also had three other players with two hits.

Minnesota is 78-68 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are 5.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins are 28-20 against other teams in the AL Central. They have won two straight games and are 4-6 across their last 10.

At home, the Twins are 41-31 this season, and they are an even 37-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 62-39 this year, and they are 16-29 as the underdog. Minnesota has won two straight games as the favorite.

Reds vs. Twins Prediction: Over/Under

The Reds have played in 69.6% of their games this season with an over/under line set at 8 or higher, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Cincinnati’s over/under record for the season is 67-74, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. The under has hit in six straight games for the Reds.

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top power threats this season, as his 23 homers are the most on the team and he is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .143 over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .259. Spencer Steer is the team’s top run producer, as his 86 RBIs are 14th in the league. This comes despite a batting average of just .229.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 13th in the league in home runs. However, they have been one of the league’s worst hitting teams, batting just .231. They also have the 26th most strikeouts in the league.

The Minnesota Twins are playing at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Twins games this season is 9.1 runs. The Twins’ over/under record on the season is 73-67. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-18-5. Overall, 57 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 39.0% of their games. Their over streak is currently at 2 games.

Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Twins, going 8/26 in his last eight games with three homers and six RBIs. Kyle Farmer has also been on a tear, hitting .471 over his last eight games with three homers and five RBIs. Matt Wallner has also been swinging well for the Twins, going 8/29 in his last nine games with three homers and seven RBIs.

For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. As a team, they are batting .250 and are 9th in home runs. Their team on-base percentage is 9th in the league, and they have the 7th best OPS in the league. Currently, they have five players with at least 20 homers.

Reds vs. Twins Prediction: Spread

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 45-28. Their average run differential in road games is +0.5 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 53-29 against the run line, compared to 27-39 as the favorite.

Julian Aguiar will be making his second road start of the season for the Reds, as he takes on the Twins. Aguiar has been solid in his first two outings, picking up a win in his first start and then taking a no-decision in his last outing. He has yet to allow an earned run, but has given up 2 runs in each of his first two starts.

The Twins have been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 68-78 record. They have been particularly good at home, going 31-41 on the run line. Their average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, and they have been even better at home, with a +0.5 run margin. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6 runs per game.

Twins starter Bailey Ober has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.77. He has made 17 quality starts this year, along with one complete game. Ober’s WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his last outing, the right-hander went seven innings, giving up no earned runs, and finished with a no decision. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight starts. Ober’s ERA at home is 5.95 compared to 6.82 on the road.

Reds vs. Twins Pick: Over 8 Runs -109

We see the best bet in this Reds vs. Twins matchup to be taking the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted score is that the Twins will pick up a 6-5 win, meaning there is some value in taking the Twins on the money line, but we see the over as the safer pick.

If you are looking for a prediction on the starting pitchers, we have Bailey Ober going 6 innings and picking up six strikeouts. As for Julian Aguiar, we have him going 4 innings and finishing with six strikeouts.