Marlins vs Nationals Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 13th

Friday’s matchup between the Marlins and Nationals has a first pitch set for 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The money line odds have the Nationals as the favorite, with their line sitting at -148 compared to the Marlins at +125. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against DJ Herz. Miami is 55-92 this season, while the Nationals are 65-81. Washington is in 4th place in the NL East, while the Marlins are in 5th. MASN will be televising Friday’s matchup.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Marlins 1.5 (-173) | Nationals -1.5 (+142)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Marlins +125 | Nationals -148

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Moneyline

Miami picked up a 6-3 road win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a big 8th inning, scoring three runs to break a 3-3 tie. As for the Nationals, they scored all three of their runs in the 1st inning but couldn’t get anything else across.

Darren McCaughan got the start for the Marlins, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out one. Anthony Bender got the win out of the bullpen, and Jesus Tinoco got the save. Mitchell Parker put together a good outing for the Nationals, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run.

Jake Burger was the only player in the Marlins lineup to have more than one hit, as he went 3/4 with two RBIs. Xavier Edwards also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Miami. Jonah Bride drove in two runs while going 1/4.

Miami is 55-92 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 33.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 17-29 in divisional matchups. The Marlins are coming off a series loss to the Pirates but have taken the first game of this series vs. the Nationals.

At home, the Marlins are 28-47 this year, and they are just under .500 at 27-45 on the road. One area where they have struggled this year is as the favorite, going just 4-14. As the underdog, the Marlins are 51-78 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 11-26-9.

With an overall record of 65-81, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 23 games. So far, they are 20-23 in divisional matchups. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Nationals are 33-39 this year compared to a 32-42 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Nationals are 12-13 this season, and they are 53-68 as the underdog. Washington’s overall series record is 17-23-6, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Over/Under

The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Washington Nationals today, with an over/under line of 8 runs. The Marlins have played in games with a combined run average of 9.0 this season, and their over/under record is 79-63. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-11-2. Overall, 53.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game (29th in the league) and have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average of .241 is 14th in the league, but they are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Miami’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers are 15th in the league. He also leads the team with 61 RBIs. However, he is hitting just .244 this season. Jesus Sanchez is batting .246 and is 2nd on the team with 17 home runs. Otto Lopez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/32 in his last eight games.

When the Nationals are at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-70 on the year. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 10-9-1. So far this season, 67.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

So far this season, the Nationals have been a below-average offensive team, averaging 4.2 runs per game (21st in the MLB). They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and isolated power. However, they have been a tough team to strike out and are batting a collective .244, which is 12th in the league. Washington’s team on-base percentage of .311 is 13th in the league.

Over his last five games, CJ Abrams has gone 5/19 with two homers and four runs scored. Abrams is the Nationals’ leader in homers this season, but he is batting just .239. Luis Garcia Jr. is 2nd on the team in RBIs (63) and is batting .281 for the season.

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Spread

When the Marlins are underdogs, they are a good bet to cover the run line, going 67-62 for the season. They are 2-16 against the run line when favored, and their overall run line record is 69-78. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.8, and their average run differential in winning games is 2.8.

Miami is sending right-hander Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 4.88. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.40. In his 17 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 9.76 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Cabrera went seven innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Out of his eight road starts, Cabrera has a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 8.27.

The Nationals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 81-65 overall. They have been slightly better on the road (43-31) than at home (38-34) against the run line. Washington has been a run line underdog in the majority of its games this season, going 70-51 in those contests. The Nats have been outscored by an average of 0.6 runs per game this season, with an average run differential of -0.7 in home games and -0.5 on the road.

Washington is starting left-hander DJ Herz vs. the Marlins today. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 3-7 with a 3.82 ERA. Herz’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and opponents are batting .214 vs. Herz this year. In his 16 starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 11.11 strikeouts per nine innings. Herz’s most recent outing was vs. the Pirates, where he picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Marlins vs. Nationals Pick: Nationals ML -148

We see the Nationals coming away with a 5-4 win in this one, and with them being at -148 on the money line, this is the way we recommend playing this game. Offensively, our projections have the Nationals finishing with nine hits, which is good for 17th in the league today.

As for the Marlins, they are projected to finish with just eight hits, which is the seventh lowest in the league. If you’re looking for a final score prediction, our projections have DJ Herz finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Edward Cabrera with six.