Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
At 3:40 PM ET, the Rangers and Diamondbacks square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line (-145). The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Texas is 3rd in the AL West, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West. The Rangers have a record of 70-75, while the Diamondbacks are 81-64. Arizona will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, while the Rangers will try to extend their two-game winning streak.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rangers 1.5 (-177) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+146)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Rangers +123 | Diamondbacks -145
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Moneyline
Arizona cruised to an easy 6-0 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Rangers, they had their best chance to score in the 8th, putting up two runs.
Zac Gallen started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Nathan Eovaldi got the start for the Rangers and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Christian Walker and Joc Pederson each homered for the Diamondbacks, while Jose Herrera scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Wyatt Langford had two hits for the Rangers.
Texas is 70-75 overall and trails the Astros by 7.5 games in the AL West. So far, they are 19-20 in divisional games. The Rangers are on the road today, and they have gone 29-41 on the road compared to 41-34 at home.
The Rangers have won seven of their last ten games, but they dropped the series opener vs. the Diamondbacks. This season, they are 47-33 as the favorite and 23-42 as the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Rangers are 20-25-1 and have won four straight series.
Arizona is 81-64 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West. They are five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win over the Rangers and have taken two straight games overall.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 40-31 this year and 41-33 on the road. Arizona has been favored in 72 of their games, going 46-26 in those games. As the home favorite, the Diamondbacks are 33-17. Their overall series record is 25-17-4, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over/Under
The Rangers have played in 46 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 25 of them. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-75 overall. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and they have played in 45 games with lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 31.0% of their games.
Corey Seager has been a bright spot for the Rangers this season, leading the team with a batting average of .278 and 30 home runs. His 74 RBIs are also the best mark on the team heading into today’s game. Marcus Semien is 3rd on the team with 67 RBIs but is hitting just .236 for the season.
Both Josh Jung and Wyatt Langford have been swinging the bat well for the Rangers of late, with both players hitting two home runs in their last nine games. Jung is 12/34 in that stretch, while Langford is 12/36. Josh Smith is also on a five-game hitting streak.
The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 10.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 83-55, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 30-17. Overall, 54 of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, accounting for 37.2% of their games.
Arizona has been the best offensive team in the league this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the best team OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .262, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.
Over his last 10 games, Eugenio Suarez has been on fire, going 15/37 with five homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .250, but his 26 homers are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. Ketel Marte has been Arizona’s top power threat, as his 30 homers are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Marte is also 2nd on the team with 81 RBIs.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Spread
When the Rangers win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +3.4, but in losses, that margin is -3.8. As a result, their run line record is 61-84 overall, including 30-40 on the road. They have been favored in 80 games, going 27-53 against the run line, while they are 34-31 as underdogs.
Texas is sending left-hander Cody Bradford to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.05 ERA. Bradford’s WHIP for the season is currently .87, and opponents are batting .186 off him this year. In his last outing, Bradford picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. He has turned in seven quality starts this year and is averaging 8.13 strikeouts per nine innings.
Arizona’s run line record is 76-69, and they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 43-31. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in their last two games as the underdog.
Through nine starts, Merrill Kelly is 4-0 with an ERA of 4.08. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a homer. Against the Giants on September 5th, he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with eight strikeouts. Kelly’s ERA for the season is 3.21 at home compared to 5.59 on the road. Opponents are batting .245 off Kelly this season. So far, he has allowed a total of nine homers. Looking back, he has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML -145
Our prediction for today’s Rangers vs. Diamondbacks game is that the Diamondbacks will pick up a 6-5 win. With the money line payout for a Diamondbacks win at -145, this is the bet we recommend making.
Looking at some potential player props, Merrill Kelly is projected to finish with four strikeouts, while Cody Bradford is predicted to finish with five. Offensively, the Diamondbacks are expected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Rangers with nine.
