Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Bears vs Texans Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 2

The Texans are favored at -299 on the money line as they host the Bears at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Bears and Texans are both looking for their first win of the season, with this non-conference matchup set for 8:20 ET on Sunday, September 15th. The game will be televised on NBC, and the Texans are -6.5 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 45.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Texans vs Bears

  • We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
  • Not only do we have the Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Bears +6.5 | Texans -6.5
  • Total: 45.5
  • MoneyLine: Bears +243 | Texans -299

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Bears vs. Texans Prediction: MoneyLine

Quarterback Caleb Williams threw for 93 yards on 14 completions in the Bears’ 24-17 win over the Titans. Chicago’s offense struggled to move the ball, finishing with just 11 first downs and 244 total yards. Williams was sacked twice and didn’t throw any touchdowns.

Chicago couldn’t get their running game going, finishing with only 84 yards on 22 attempts. D’Andre Swift was their leading rusher with 30 yards, including a 20-yard run. DJ Moore led the Bears with 36 receiving yards.

Quarterback C.J. Stroud completed 24 of 32 passes for 234 yards and two touchdowns, leading the Texans to a 29-27 win over the Colts. Houston’s offense put up 26 first downs and 213 rushing yards on 40 attempts. Stroud was not sacked and finished with a passer rating of 115.

Joe Mixon had a big game on the ground, rushing for 159 yards on 30 attempts, including a long run of 13 yards and one touchdown. Nico Collins led the team in receiving with 117 yards on six catches. The Texans did struggle in pass protection, as Stroud was sacked four times.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Bears +243 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Texans Prediction: Total

In their 24-17 win over the Titans, the Bears’ defense was tough to move the ball against through the air, allowing just 104 passing yards. They did struggle against the run, giving up 140 yards on 26 attempts. Chicago picked off two passes and held Tennessee to a 21.4% conversion rate on third down. The Bears also had three sacks and allowed the Titans to convert just 1 of 5 third down attempts.

In their 29-27 win over the Colts, the Texans’ defense allowed just 9 completions for 199 yards through the air. They picked off one pass and held Indianapolis to a 47.4% completion rate. However, the Colts made some big plays, as they averaged 10.5 yards per attempt and had two passing touchdowns. Houston’s run defense allowed 104 yards on 22 attempts.

The Texans’ defense was tough on third down, allowing the Colts to convert just 2 of 4 attempts. They also came away with two sacks and won the tackles for loss battle. Despite giving up some big plays in the passing game, their overall performance helped Houston secure the narrow victory.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 45.5 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Texans Prediction: Spread

Chicago’s 24-17 win over the Titans was a comeback victory, as they were down 17-0 at one point. The Bears were favored by -4 and the game was played at home. After a 7-yard touchdown run by Tony Pollard, the Bears trailed early, but they fought back and scored 14 points in the 4th quarter, capped off by a defensive touchdown with 7:45 remaining in the 4th.

Chicago’s comeback started with a safety in the 3rd quarter and continued with Cairo Santos’ field goals in the 4th. The Bears added 10 points in the 4th quarter to complete the comeback. The over/under line for the game was 43 points, and the teams combined for 41 points.

  • Chicago has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
  • In their last five road games, Chicago has averaged 16 points per game while allowing 20. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 3-2.

Despite being on the road, the Texans picked up a 29-27 win over the Colts in their most recent game. Houston’s record is now 1-0, and they also won their ATS bet, as they were -3 point favorites. The game had a lot of late scoring, with the Texans and Colts combining for 28 points in the 4th quarter. Houston led 22-13 heading into the 4th quarter.

The Texans initially trailed 7-6 after the 1st quarter but took a 12-7 lead in the 2nd quarter with a touchdown from C.J. Stroud to Nico Collins. Houston added another touchdown in the 2nd quarter to lead 19-7. The Colts made things interesting in the 4th quarter, as they closed the gap to 29-27 with 2:20 remaining, but Houston was able to hold on for the win.

  • Over their last three games, the Texans have gone 2-1 straight up. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Through their last five home games, Houston has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Bears +6.5 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Texans Pick: Bears Moneyline (+243)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bears to cover as road underdogs in this week two matchup between the Bears and Texans. The Bears are currently sitting at +6.5 point road underdogs, and we have them winning by a score of 23-19.

For this matchup, we are leaning towards taking the under, with the line sitting at 45.5 points. Our projections have these teams finishing with 42 combined points, making the under a good play in this one.

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