Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Bills vs Dolphins Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 2

The Dolphins are favored at -127 on the money line as they host the Bills at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. This week two AFC East matchup is set for Thursday, September 12th at 8:15 ET, with AMZN handling the broadcast. The Bills are +106 on the money line and +1.5 on the point spread, and the over/under line is 48.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Dolphins vs Bills

  • We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
  • Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 48.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Bills +1.5 | Dolphins -1.5
  • Total: 48.5
  • MoneyLine: Bills +106 | Dolphins -127

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction: MoneyLine

The Bills’ offense put up 34 points in their 34-28 win over the Cardinals, with Josh Allen throwing for 232 yards and two touchdowns, completing 78% of his passes. Buffalo had 23 first downs and 222 yards through the air. Allen also had two rushing touchdowns and ran for 39 yards.

Buffalo’s running game saw James Cook lead the way with 71 yards on 19 carries. The team rushed for 130 yards overall. Keon Coleman was the top receiver with 51 yards on four catches. The Bills were 7-of-21 on third down in the game.

The Dolphins’ running game struggled, managing just 81 yards on 25 carries in their 20-17 win over the Jaguars. However, Miami found success through the air, with Tua Tagovailoa throwing for 338 yards and completing 62% of his passes. Tagovailoa was sacked three times and threw one touchdown pass to Tyreek Hill, who led the team with 130 receiving yards, including an 80-yard catch.

Miami finished with 18 first downs and converted 50% of their third down attempts. Tagovailoa ended the game with a passer rating of 100, and the offense as a whole put up 319 yards passing.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Bills +106 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction: Total

The Bills’ defense gave up 124 rushing yards on 25 attempts in their 34-28 win over the Cardinals, but overall, they allowed just 270 total yards. Arizona’s passing game was limited to 146 yards through the air, with Buffalo giving up just 4.7 yards per attempt. The Bills also recorded four sacks and held the Cardinals to a 53.8% conversion rate on third downs.

Despite allowing one passing touchdown, Buffalo’s defense put pressure on the quarterback, winning the QB hit battle by two. The Bills’ run defense will look to improve after giving up 5.0 yards per attempt in this one.

Despite giving up 128 rushing yards to the Jaguars, the Dolphins’ defense held Jacksonville to just 2-of-10 on third down in their most recent game. Miami’s defense also allowed just 139 yards passing on 12 completions, with one touchdown coming through the air. They limited the Jaguars to 267 total yards in their 20-17 win.

Miami’s defense also recorded three sacks in the game. The Jaguars averaged 4.9 yards per attempt on the ground, but Miami’s strong pass defense and ability to get off the field on third down were key factors in the win.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 48.5 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction: Spread

Buffalo came into their most recent game vs. the Arizona Cardinals as -6.5 point favorites, and they won the game 34-28, improving their record to 1-0. The Bills didn’t cover the spread, but they did come out on top by a score of 34-28. The combined 62 points easily surpassed the O/U line of 45.5 points.

The Bills fell behind early, as the Cardinals took a 7-0 lead after the 1st quarter. However, Buffalo bounced back and took a 24-17 lead heading into the 4th quarter, thanks to a 10-point outburst in the 4th quarter. Josh Allen had a big game, throwing three touchdowns, two of which came in the 3rd quarter to give Buffalo the lead for good.

  • Through their last three games, the Bills have a record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is less impressive at 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 3-0.
  • Across their five previous road games, Buffalo has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 23 points per game.

The Dolphins came back from a 17-7 deficit at halftime to win 20-17 over the Jaguars, giving them a 1-0 record. Miami trailed early after the Jaguars scored a touchdown with 4:34 remaining in the 1st quarter. The Dolphins fought back in the 2nd quarter, with De’Von Achane finding the endzone to make it 14-7 in favor of Jacksonville. Miami completed the comeback in the 4th quarter, with Tua Tagovailoa connecting with Tyreek Hill for an 80-yard touchdown and Jason Sanders adding a late field goal.

The Dolphins were -3.5 point favorites heading into the game, and the 37 combined points was lower than the over/under line of 49.5 points. Miami didn’t cover the spread with their 3-point win. Jason Sanders’ 52-yard field goal with four seconds left sealed the comeback for Miami.

  • Miami will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. Against the spread, they have gone 1-2 and logged an over-under record of 0-3 in these games.
  • Across their five previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Bills +1.5 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Dolphins Pick: Bills Moneyline (+106)

The point spread for this week two matchup between the Bills and Dolphins has the Bills as 1.5-point favorites. Our projected final score has the Bills coming out on top by a score of 25-18. For this one, we like the Bills to cover as road underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 48.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 43 points.

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