Angels vs Twins Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
From Target Field in Minneapolis, we have an AL matchup between the Angels and Twins. The Twins are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -250, while the Angels are +207 underdogs. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 7:40 PM ET, and BSW will be televising it. Minnesota comes in with a record of 76-68 and are 3rd in the AL Central, while the Angels are 5th in the AL West with a record of 60-84.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Angels 1.5 (-108) | Twins -1.5 (-114)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Angels +207 | Twins -250
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Moneyline
Los Angeles picked up a 6-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Angels had a two-run lead after the first inning and added two more in the 3rd. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Angels were at +149 on the money line.
Reid Detmers pitched well for the Angels in this one, going six innings and striking out eight while giving up just two runs. He picked up a win in the game, while Jose Suarez got the save. David Festa had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss.
Niko Kavadas and Brandon Drury each homered for the Angels, while Taylor Ward went 3/4 with an RBI. Minnesota’s lone home run came from Kyle Farmer.
With an overall record of 60-84, the Angels are 5th in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 17.5 games. So far, they have gone 20-22 in divisional matchups. The Angels are looking to pick up a win today on the road, where they are 30-42 this season.
Los Angeles has gone 54-69 as the underdog this year, and they are 6-15 when favored. The Angels’ overall series record is 13-30-3, but they have a chance to win their series vs. the Twins with a win today. They are coming off a win in their most recent game and are 5-5 over their last 10.
With a record of 76-68, the Twins are six games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. Overall, they have gone 28-20 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins will take on the Angels at home today, having dropped four straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last ten.
At home, the Twins are 39-31 this season, and they are an even 37-37 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 60-39, but just 16-29 as the underdog. Minnesota will be looking to get back on track today, as they have dropped two straight games as the favorite.
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Over/Under
The Angels are on the road in Minnesota tonight, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 68-70. When their O/U line has been set at 8 runs, they are 15-8-2. Overall, 72.2% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs, with an average line of 9 runs per game.
So far this season, the Angels offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in most other offensive categories, including batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting just .229, and their on-base percentage of .301 is 21st in the league.
One bright spot for the Angels offense right now is the play of Taylor Ward, who is batting .248 for the season and has gone 10/26 in his last seven games with three homers. Ward is the team’s leader in RBIs, as he has 65 for the season. Zach Neto and Jo Adell are also near the top of the league in homers, but both players are batting under .260 for the season.
Minnesota has a combined run average of 9.1, and their over/under record is 71-67. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-18-5. Overall, 56 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which is 38.9% of their games this season.
Carlos Santana has struggled at the plate for the Twins over his last eight games, batting just .192 with two homers. However, for the season, he is leading the team with 20 homers and 61 RBIs. Ryan Jeffers is also tied with Santana for the team lead in homers, but he is also batting just .231. Jeffers is 2nd on the team with 59 RBIs.
Byron Buxton is 2nd on the Twins with 16 homers and is batting .275 for the season. He is also 4th on the team with 49 RBIs. Jose Miranda has been hot of late, going 11/37 in his last nine games, but he is still looking for his first homer of the season.
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Spread
When the Angels win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.7 runs per game. Their run line record is 75-69, and they are 38-34 against the run line on the road. They are 37-35 against the run line at home, and their average run margin at home is -1.0 runs per game.
Griffin Canning gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far this season, he has made 27 starts and has a record of 5-12. Canning’s ERA is 5.02, along with a WHIP of 1.38. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Canning picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had allowed at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Canning’s ERA on the road is 5.9 compared to 5.12 at home.
The Twins are a team that has been very close to the run line all season, with an average run margin of just 0.2 runs per game. They have gone 66-78 against the run line, with a 29-41 mark at home and a 37-37 record on the road. They have been favored in 99 games and have gone 43-56 against the run line in those contests.
Pablo López will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Rays. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs and coming away with the win. Leading up to that outing, he had picked up the win in two straight starts and didn’t give up a run in either of those outings. López has a record of 14-8 and an ERA of 4.05. Opponents are batting .238 off the right-hander this season. For the year, he has made 28 starts, 16 of which were quality starts. López’s ERA at home is 4.63 compared to 4.85 on the road.
Angels vs. Twins Pick: Over 8 Runs -111
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Twins, which would have them winning by just one run. However, we are actually going to recommend taking the over in this game, as we see there being a bit of value with the line sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Pablo Lopez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Griffin Canning with five. And if you’re looking for a team prop, the Twins are projected to finish with nine strikeouts compared to the Angels with nine.