Royals vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Royals and Yankees facing off in an AL matchup. Tuesday’s game has a start time of 7:05 PM ET, and it is being televised by YES.
The forecast for Tuesday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures around 80 degrees. The Yankees are 83-61 and they lead the AL East, while the Royals are 79-66 and are in 2nd place in the AL Central. New York is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Royals 1.5 (-174) | Yankees -1.5 (+143)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Royals +121 | Yankees -143
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Royals vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
Thanks to a seven-run 7th inning for the Yankees’ offense, they cruised to a 10-4 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -185 on the money line.
Kansas City got on the board first with one run in the 1st inning, and they scored their final run in the 5th. As for the Yankees, they didn’t get on the board until putting up three runs in the 4th, and they scored their final two runs in the 5th.
Carlos Rodon started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued a season-high two walks. Brady Singer got the start for the Royals and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.
Kansas City is 79-66 overall and 3.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 33-16 in divisional games. The Royals have dropped six straight on the road, and they are 34-36 as the road team this year.
As the favorite, the Royals have gone 46-26 this year and 33-40 as the underdog. Kansas City has an overall series record of 21-23-2 this year, and they are 4-6 across their last ten games. At home, the Royals are 45-30 this year.
The Yankees are 83-61 overall and lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Orioles. New York is just 22-23 against other AL East teams. The Yankees took the first game of their series vs. the Royals and have an overall series record of 26-16-4 this year.
At home, the Yankees are 38-31 this season and have been really good on the road at 45-30. As the favorite, the Yankees are 65-54 this year, and they have gone 18-7 as the underdog.
Royals vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
The Kansas City Royals are on the road against the New York Yankees today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the Royals have played 140 games with over/under lines, and 49 of those games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, accounting for 33.8% of their games.
So far this season, the Royals have been a good offensive team, averaging 4.7 runs per game (10th) and batting .253 as a team, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Royals are 3rd in home runs and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. Kansas City has been patient at the plate, but their team walk rate is just 27th in the league.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 30 home runs are 1st on the team and 11th in the league. He is also batting a team-high .335 for the season. Salvador Perez is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 98 RBIs are 5th in the league. However, he is also 2nd on the team with 26 homers.
The New York Yankees will play host to the Kansas City Royals today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-61. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 32-19. Overall, 34.0% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, while 30.6% have had lower lines.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York’s offense has also been very patient at the plate, leading the league in walks. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the league in RBIs (126) and home runs (51).
Over his last seven games, Gleyber Torres has gone 12/29, but he has yet to hit a home run during that stretch. Juan Soto and Alex Verdugo have also swung the bat well of late, with Soto going 7/22 and Verdugo going 7/24 in their last seven games, respectively. DJ LeMahieu and Gleyber Torres are both on impressive hitting streaks.
Royals vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 80-65 overall. Their average run margin for the year is +0.6, and they are 43-32 against the run line at home. On the road, they are 37-33 against the run line, and their average run margin is +0.5.
The Royals are sending right-hander Seth Lugo to the mound today vs. the Yankees. Lugo has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 15-8 with an ERA of 3.05. This season, he has one complete game, 20 quality starts, and is coming off a game in which he allowed just one earned run in seven innings of work. Looking back at his last four outings, Lugo has given up one earned run in three of them. So far, he has allowed 15 homers and is averaging 7.69 strikeouts per nine innings. Lugo’s ERA on the road is 3.47, and his record is 8-3.
When betting the run line on the Yankees, it’s been profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 21-4 against the run line in those games. They have a run line record of 76-68 overall, with a run line record of 44-31 on the road. The average run margin in their winning games is 4.2 runs per game, while in their losing games, it’s -3.6 runs per game.
Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rangers. In that start, he took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs. Stroman was tagged for one homer in that outing. Before that start, he had won two straight outings. Stroman’s ERA for the season is 4.03, along with a record of 10-7. For the year, he has made 27 starts, nine of which were quality starts. Stroman’s ERA at home is 5.79 compared to 3.81 on the road.
Royals vs. Yankees Pick: Yankees ML -143
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Royals matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the payout for a Yankees win sitting at -143, that’s the bet we would recommend making.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Marcus Stroman finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing with the fourth-lowest total among starters. As for Seth Lugo, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing with the seventh-lowest total.