White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 7th
From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the White Sox and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 7:15 PM ET and will be televised on FOX. The money line odds have the Red Sox as the heavy favorite at -197, while the White Sox are sitting at +165. The over/under line is at 9 runs.
Chicago comes in with a record of 32-110, while the Red Sox are 71-70. Cooper Criswell will start for the Red Sox, while the White Sox are starting Garrett Crochet. In the AL Central, the White Sox are in 5th place, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: White Sox 1.5 (-127) | Red Sox -1.5 (+105)
- Total: 9
- MoneyLine: White Sox +165 | Red Sox -197
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
White Sox vs. Red Sox Prediction: Moneyline
Boston picked up a 3-1 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 7th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -285 on the money line.
Nick Pivetta pitched well for the Red Sox in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. Zack Kelly came out of the bullpen for the win, and Josh Winckowski got the save.
Davis Martin got the start for the White Sox, going six innings and giving up one earned run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one home run. Matt Foster took the loss.
With a record of 32-110, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 49.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-38. Chicago has really struggled as of late, losing nine of their last 10 games.
At home, the White Sox have gone just 18-54 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road, entering today with a record of 14-56. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 27-107, compared to 5-3 as the favorite. The team’s overall series record is 6-38-2, and they have dropped 18 straight series.
Boston is 71-70 overall and trails the Orioles by 10.5 games for the AL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone just 18-18 in AL East matchups. The Red Sox picked up a game on the Yankees, as they are 0.5 games behind New York for the second Wild Card spot.
At home, the Red Sox are 32-38 this year and 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 38-31 and 33-39 as the underdog. Boston has won two straight games as the favorite, and their overall series record is 21-18-6. The Red Sox are coming off a loss in the series before this one.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Prediction: Over/Under
The Chicago White Sox are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 61-73. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-15-3. So far this season, only 2.8% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs or higher.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are the White Sox’s top home run hitters this season, but both are batting under .240 for the season. Vaughn is hitting .236 with 16 homers, and Benintendi is batting .218 with 15 homers. Vaughn has gone just 3/16 in his last five games, while Benintendi is just 1/15 in his last four games. Nicky Lopez has gone 5/13 in his last four games and is also on a three-game hitting streak.
Chicago’s offense is last in the league in home runs and near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. This includes being 30th in runs scored and having the worst team on-base percentage in the league. Overall, the White Sox are averaging just 3 runs per game.
The Red Sox have played 84 games with over/under lines under 9 runs this season, which is 59.6% of their games. Their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs, and their over/under record is 72-62. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 8-5-3. Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs, and the combined run average in Red Sox games this season is 9.5 runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league, and they have the best BABIP in the league. Boston’s offense has also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 28th in the league in this category.
Rafael Devers has been a big power threat for the Red Sox this season, as his 28 home runs lead the team and is 14th in the league. He also has driven in 81 runs, which is the best mark on the team. Jarren Duran comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .292 and has gone 6/23 in his last six games. Tyler O’Neill has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 4/15 in his last five games.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Prediction: Spread
When the White Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.3. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.7 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is just 57-85, with a -2.1 run margin per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 52-82, compared to 5-3 as a favorite. They are 28-42 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -2.4 runs per game.
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Crochet has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 6-10 with a 3.61 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of 1.07 and has issued just 2.11 walks per nine innings. Crochet’s last outing came on September 1st, where he took the loss, going 3 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. He finished with 188 strikeouts, ranking sixth in the majors with 12.82 strikeouts per nine innings.
Despite being at home, the Red Sox have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going just 25-45. They have been a much better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 40-31. Their average run differential is exactly even, but they have been a much better bet on the run line when they are the underdog.
Through 16 starts, Cooper Criswell has a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 4.14. He has made 22 appearances this season and has a WHIP of 1.32. Criswell’s last outing came on September 1st vs. the Tigers, where he went four innings, didn’t give up a run, and finished with a no-decision. He has actually finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Criswell’s only quality start of the season came on August 16th vs. the Orioles, where he went 3 1/3 innings out of the bullpen. In that outing, he gave up six runs, four hits, and one homer.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Pick: Over 9 Runs -107
Our prediction for today’s White Sox vs. Red Sox game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-4, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cooper Criswell finishing with six strikeouts compared to Garrett Crochet with nine. However, we have Criswell finishing with a higher ERA than Crochet, so you could look to take Crochet’s strikeout total and the over/under line.
