Reds vs Mets Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 7th
There does appear to be a chance of rain in New York on Saturday, with the forecasted temperature being 70 degrees. First pitch for the Reds and Mets is set for 4:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-157).Jose Quintana will go for the Mets, and they are currently on an eight-game winning streak. The Reds, meanwhile, are 68-74 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Jakob Junis is slated to start for the Reds. This game will be televised on SNY.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Reds 1.5 (-157) | Mets -1.5 (+130)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Reds +133 | Mets -157
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Moneyline
New York picked up a 6-4 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run lead heading into the 4th inning, but the Reds scored two runs in the 4th and added two more in the 7th to tie the game. As for the Mets, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th and added two insurance runs in the 10th.
Sean Manaea got the start for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out nine. He picked up a win in the game, while Jose Butto got the save. Fernando Cruz only went one inning for the Reds, giving up two earned runs on two hits.
At the plate, the Mets were led by Mark Vientos, who went 3/5 with two homers and four RBIs. T.J. Friedl also had a two-run homer for the Reds.
Cincinnati is 68-74 overall and trails the Brewers by 13.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division and are 20-23 against other teams in the NL Central. The Reds lost the first game of this series vs. the Mets.
At home, the Reds are 36-39 this year and 32-35 on the road. As the road underdog, the Reds are 20-29 this year and 33-33 as the favorite. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 17-25-3, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
With an overall record of 77-64, the Mets are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Mets have been hot lately, winning eight straight games, and they are 9-1 over their last ten. New York took the series opener vs. the Reds, and their overall series record is 24-16-8. This includes having won three straight series.
At home, the Mets are 39-33 this season and 38-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 50-35 this year and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won five straight at home, and they are 32-22 as the home favorite this year.
Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Over/Under
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 67-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-12. Overall, 50.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.
Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs and is also the team leader with 23 homers. De La Cruz has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 5/20 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. Over this stretch, he has also scored five runs. Ty France has also been hot at the plate, going 9/18 in his last five games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 12th in the league in home runs. However, they have been a below-average hitting team this season, with a team batting average of just .233. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the New York Mets’ home game against the Cincinnati Reds is slightly lower than their season average of 9.2 runs per game. The Mets have gone over the total in 25 of 42 games with an 8.5-run line, and their over/under record for the season is 71-66. New York’s over streak is at three games.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 31 homers are 1st on the team and 12th in the league, and Lindor is right behind him with 30 homers. Lindor has been hot of late, going 12/37 in his last nine games with three homers. Overall, he is batting .273 for the season, while Alonso is hitting just .240 in 2022.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and 7th in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249, which is 9th in the league.
Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Spread
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 76-66 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 41-26. Their average run differential in all games is just 0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.3 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 49-27 on the run line in those games.
Jakob Junis is getting the start for the Reds today and comes into the game with a record of 4-0 and ERA of 3.13. So far, he has made 20 appearances and two starts. Looking back at his last outing, Junis came out of the bullpen and went 3 2/3 innings. He gave up one earned run on two hits in the outing. Junis didn’t allow a homer in that appearance. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Junis has a WHIP of .98 this season.
Despite being just 71-70 on the run line overall, the Mets have been a solid bet to cover the run line on the road, going 39-30. They have covered the run line in four straight games at home and are 7-0 against the run line in their last seven games overall. The Mets have been favored in 85 games this season and are just 38-47 against the run line in those contests.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and is coming off a solid outing vs. the White Sox in which he picked up the win. In that start, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking back further, Quintana has made 27 starts and has a record of 7-9. His ERA for the season is 4.27, along with a WHIP of 1.32. Opposing batters are hitting .243 off Quintana this season. The left-hander has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 6.94 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Quintana has allowed 22 home runs and is averaging 3.53 walks per nine innings.
Reds vs. Mets Pick: Reds ML +133
Our predicted score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Reds, and with them being the underdogs at +133, we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the higher payout. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jakob Junis finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters today.
As for Jose Quintana, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have his Mets falling by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a home run prediction, the Reds are actually projected to finish with more home runs than the Mets.
