White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the White Sox and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. The Red Sox are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -273, while the White Sox are +226. Today’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Nick Pivetta is set to start for the Red Sox, and the White Sox are starting Davis Martin. Chicago is 32-109, while the Red Sox are 70-70. NESN is carrying this one on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: White Sox 1.5 (+109) | Red Sox -1.5 (-132)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: White Sox +226 | Red Sox -273
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
White Sox vs. Red Sox Prediction: Moneyline
The White Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with an 8-1 win. After allowing one run to the Orioles in the bottom of the first, the White Sox responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 4th inning.
Chicago was the +297 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Nicky Lopez went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs, and the White Sox really broke things open with a four-run 9th inning. Looking at the run total lines, the White Sox’s over 8.5 was at +105.
With a record of 32-109, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 48.5 games. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-38 this year. Chicago has really struggled as of late, as they are just 1-9 over their last 10 games and lost their most recent series vs. the Orioles.
At home, the White Sox are just 18-54 this year, and they have gone 14-55 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 27-106, compared to 5-3 as the favorite. The White Sox will be looking to snap an overall series losing streak of 18 games, and they are just 6-38-2 in series this year.
The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with an 8-3 loss. Boston was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Mets scored four times in the first.
Tanner Houck took the loss, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. He also issued a season-high seven walks and hit a batter. Offensively, the Red Sox only had three fewer hits than the Mets but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 3rd inning.
Boston is at an even 70-70 as they get set to host the White Sox today. The Red Sox are 10.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East and are 3rd in the division. They head into today’s game having lost five straight games, and they went 0-3 in their series vs. the Mets.
At home, the Red Sox are 31-38 compared to 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 37-31 this year and 33-39 as the underdog. The Red Sox have dropped two straight series and their overall series record is 21-18-6.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Prediction: Over/Under
The Chicago White Sox are on the road today facing the Boston Red Sox. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for White Sox games this season is 8.3 runs. Overall, Chicago has a 61-72 O/U record this season. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the White Sox have a 17-21 O/U record. So far this season, 33 of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 23.4% of their games.
Chicago’s offense has been struggling this season, as they are last in the league in home runs and are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is also the worst mark in the league. Their team batting average of .220 is 22nd in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging percentage. Looking at their most recent performances, Andrew Benintendi has gone 9/31 over his last 10 games, including two home runs.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi have been the White Sox’s top power threats this season, with 16 and 15 home runs, respectively. Vaughn also leads the team with 60 RBIs, while Benintendi is 2nd on the team with 49 RBIs. Paul DeJong and MartÃn Maldonado are both on five-game hitting streaks coming into the game.
The Boston Red Sox are at home today against the Chicago White Sox. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The Red Sox have gone over the O/U line in 24 of their 38 games with an 8.5 line this season. The over has hit in their last two games.
So far this season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the MLB, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they are the league’s best team in terms of BABIP.
Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/39 in his last 10 games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .294 and is 3rd on the team with 21 homers. Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat, with 28 homers and a team-leading 81 RBIs. Devers is also batting .277 for the season.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Prediction: Spread
When the White Sox win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. As a result, they are 57-84 against the run line this season, including 28-41 on the road. They have been the underdog in 133 of their 141 games, going 52-81 against the run line in those contests.
Right-hander Davis Martin gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Martin has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with a 3.62 ERA. So far, he has made one quality start and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back at his last four outings, Martin has finished with a no-decision in three of them. His ERA at home is 3.49, compared to 4.66 on the road.
When betting on the Red Sox run line, it’s been a coin flip this season. They are 64-76 against the run line overall, but they have been better on the road at 40-31. At home, they are just 24-45. They’ve been a slight underdog in more games than they’ve been a favorite, and they have a negative run differential overall, but it’s been positive in their wins.
Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Pivetta has given up at least one homer in each outing. Pivetta’s record for the season is 5-10, and his ERA is 4.53. Opponents have a batting average of .229 vs. Pivetta this season. The right-hander has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 10.82 strikeouts per nine innings.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -114
Our recommendation for today’s White Sox and Red Sox matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox, meaning there is some value in taking the Red Sox on the money line, but we see the payout being better on the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Nick Pivetta is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has a better chance of picking up a win than White Sox starter Davis Martin. Martin is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well, but his chances of picking up a win are lower.
