Rockies vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
The Rockies and Brewers are set to face off in an NL matchup at 6:10 PM ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West with an overall record of 52-89, while the Brewers have won two straight and are 1st in the NL Central at 81-59.
Friday’s money line odds have the Brewers at -226, while the Rockies are +189. The over/under line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs, and Frankie Montas will start for the Brewers, while the Rockies are sending Ryan Feltner to the mound.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rockies 1.5 (-117) | Brewers -1.5 (-106)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Rockies +189 | Brewers -226
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rockies vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline
The Rockies pulled off a big upset to close out their series vs. the Braves, picking up a 3-1 win. Colorado was the +232 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rockies, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning and added another run in the 4th.
Colorado’s offense was carried by Ezequiel Tovar, who went 2/4 with a homer and scored two runs. The Rockies also got a good start from Austin Gomber, going eight innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win.
Colorado is on the road today vs. the Brewers with an overall record of 52-89, putting them 5th in the NL West. So far, they are 32.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead and trail the Giants by 17 games for 4th place in the division. The Rockies went 15-28 in divisional games this year.
As the road underdog, the Rockies are 20-52 this year compared to a mark of 32-37 at home. They have really struggled as the underdog overall, going 50-87. Colorado lost two straight series before dropping two of three games to the Braves in their most recent series.
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Cardinals scored one run in the top of the 8th and added another in the 10th to pick up the win. Milwaukee was the -120 favorite at home going into the game.
Colin Rea put together a good start for the Brewers, going four innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and didn’t issue a walk. However, the Brewers couldn’t close things out, and Joel Payamps took the loss out of the bullpen. Eric Haase homered for the Brewers but went just 1/4.
Milwaukee is 81-59 overall, putting them 1st in the NL Central, leading the Cubs by nine games. The Brewers will host the Rockies today with an overall division record of 30-19. Coming into today’s game, they have dropped two straight games, with both coming in their series vs. the Cardinals.
At home, the Brewers are 41-27 this season compared to a 40-32 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 47-34 this season and 34-25 when listed as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 25-16-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.
Rockies vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under
When the Rockies are on the road, the over/under line is typically set high, with the average line for their games being 10 runs. Their games have gone over the line 69 times and under 69 times this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Brewers is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average line. However, their games have gone over the line 9 times when the line was set at 7.5 runs.
So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a better offense at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, the Rockies are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and they have the 15th best slugging percentage in the league. In terms of home runs, they are 15th in the league and have the 2nd best BABIP in the MLB.
Currently, Brendan Rodgers is one of the Rockies’ hottest hitters, batting .310 over his last seven games with three homers in that stretch. As a team, they will be looking for Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, and Michael Toglia to continue their strong seasons at the plate. All three players have at least 22 homers, with Doyle and Tovar both batting over .270.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home today against the Colorado Rockies. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Brewers have a 74-57 over/under record this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 22 of their 31 games. Overall, 74.3% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.9. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Brewers are batting .251, which is 8th in the league, and they are also one of the best teams in terms of drawing walks.
Willy Adames has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 29 homers are 11th in the league, and his 100 RBIs are 3rd best in the MLB. However, he is coming off a stretch in which he hit just .238. Catcher William Contreras has also been a big power threat for the Brewers, as his 20 homers is 3rd on the team.
Rockies vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread
So far this season, the Rockies have been a solid play on the run line, going 69-72 overall. They’ve been a bit better at home, going 36-33, compared to 33-39 on the road. They’ve been a good play as an underdog, going 68-69 on the run line, but have struggled as the favorite, going just 1-3. Their average run differential is -1.5 runs per game, and they’ve been outscored by 2.2 runs per game on the road.
Ryan Feltner gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 1-10 with an ERA of 5.11. Feltner’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. Looking back at his last outing, Feltner finished with a no-decision after giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Feltner has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings.
The Brewers have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 39-33. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but their run line record is below .500 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 40-19 against the run line.
Frankie Montas will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Reds on August 31st, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Montas has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four outings. Montas has a record of 6-9 this season and an ERA of 4.70. Out of his 25 starts, Montas has seven quality starts and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 17 homers and is averaging 3.85 walks per nine innings.
Rockies vs. Brewers Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -115
Our prediction for this Rockies vs. Brewers matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 7.5 runs. We actually have the Brewers winning this one 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Frankie Montas is projected to pick up the win and has a better chance of getting the win than Ryan Feltner. Montas is also projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Feltner, who we have finishing with seven.
Offensively, our projections have the Rockies finishing with nine hits compared to the Brewers, who are projected to finish with nine as well.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Brewers are the way to go, but we see the payout being much better by taking the over.
