Rockies vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 5th
At 7:20 PM ET, the Rockies and Braves face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -274 compared to the Rockies at +222. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Colorado will be looking to pull off the upset with Austin Gomber on the mound, while the Braves are starting Reynaldo Lopez. However, Lopez isn’t expected to go deep into the game, as he is the starter for a bullpen game. The Rockies are 51-89, while the Braves have won two straight and are 76-63.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rockies 1.5 (+104) | Braves -1.5 (-125)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Rockies +222 | Braves -274
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Rockies series came right down to the end, as the Rockies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -277 on the money line.
Charlie Morton started for the Braves and went five innings while giving up two runs and striking out eight. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Bradley Blalock had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss.
Atlanta’s offense was led by Jarred Kelenic, who homered and scored three times while going 1/4. Michael Harris II also had a two-hit game for the Braves’ lineup.
With an overall record of 51-89, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 33 games. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional games. The Rockies have dropped three straight games, and they are 3-7 across their last 10.
At home, the Rockies are 32-37 compared to 19-52 on the road. This season, the Rockies have really struggled in day games, going 15-37. As the underdog, the Rockies are 49-87 this season, and they are just 2-2 when favored this year.
With an overall record of 76-63, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have won two straight games, and they are 23-21 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have been good both at home (38-28) and on the road (38-35).
Atlanta has been favored in 111 of their games, and they have gone 64-47 in those games. As for their games as the underdog, the Braves are 12-16 this season. At home, they have won four straight games as the favorite, and their overall series record is 24-16-5 this season.
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under
Colorado has been involved in high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 10 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 69-68, and they have played in 83 games with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs. Their games have gone under the total in three straight contests, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 9-10.
So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. However, they have been much better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and they have the 13th best slugging percentage in the league. One of the team’s biggest issues has been their strikeout numbers, as they are averaging 9 strikeouts per game, which is 29th in the league.
Colorado’s top power hitters this season have been Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar, who both have over 20 homers and are the team’s top two hitters in terms of RBIs. Doyle is also batting .271 this season, and Tovar is batting .268. Brendan Rodgers has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 in his last five games with a home run.
The Braves have been a consistent under team this season, with a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 51-83, and their games have averaged a line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 13 times and under 23 times. Overall, 31.7% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs. The under has hit in their last four games.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .305 while leading the team with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs. Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but has struggled to hit for average, coming into the game at just .233.
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are 4th in home runs and have the 7th best isolated power mark in the league.
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Spread
When the Rockies are on the road, they have a run line record of 32-39, and they are currently on a three-game run line losing streak. They have been the favorite only four times this season, and they have a run line record of 1-3 in those games. They have a run line record of 67-69 as the underdog.
Colorado is sending left-hander Austin Gomber to the mound today as he faces the Braves on the road. Gomber has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 4-10. His ERA is 4.69, along with a WHIP of 1.30. Looking at his overall numbers, Gomber has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 6.38 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gomber took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
The Braves have been a slight underdog on the run line this season, going 67-72 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 39-34 compared to 28-38 at home. They have covered the run line in four straight games when they are favored and are 50-61 overall when favored. They have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game on the season, but have a positive scoring margin on the road.
Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 8-4 and an ERA of 2.00. So far this season, he has made 22 starts, and opponents are batting .219 off the right-hander. López has turned in 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.25 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went six innings and gave up one earned run, coming away with the win. Before that, he had three straight outings with no decisions, giving up one earned run in each.
Rockies vs. Braves Pick: Over 8.5 Runs +100
Our prediction for this Rockies vs. Braves matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We see the Braves picking up a 6-5 win, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the line sitting at 8.5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Reynaldo Lopez is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is fourth-best among all starters today. As for Austin Gomber, he is predicted to finish with just five K’s, which is fifth-worst.
Offensively, the Rockies are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, while the Braves are predicted to finish with eight. However, in terms of home runs, the Rockies are projected to finish with more, but the Braves are predicted to outhit them.
For a potential payout, the money line is sitting at -274 in favor of the Braves. However, with the payout being much better on the over, that is where we recommend placing your bet.
