Vikings vs Giants Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 1

FOX is set to broadcast the week one matchup between the Vikings and Giants, with the Giants being the underdog at +102 on the money line. The game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, with the Vikings favored at -1.5. Kickoff is at 1:00 ET, and the over/under line is at 41.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Giants vs Vikings

• We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 20 to 16
• Not only do we have the Vikings winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 41.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Vikings -1.5 | Giants +1.5
• Total: 41.5
• MoneyLine: Vikings -122 | Giants +102

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Vikings vs. Giants Prediction: MoneyLine

Minnesota’s offense was 11th in yards per game last season, averaging 347.8 yards per contest. The Vikings were 18th in offensive power ranking, scoring 20.2 points per game, which ranked 22nd in the league. They were more successful in the passing game, ranking 5th in the NFL with 256.4 passing yards per game, but struggled to run the ball, ranking 28th in rushing attempts and 29th in rushing yards.

On third downs, the Vikings were 16th in the league, converting at a rate of 38.1%. They also had the 7th best passing yards per attempt figure and were 11th in yards per play, averaging 5.5 yards per play.

Minnesota’s offense was 18th in the league last season, averaging 20.2 points per game, which ranked 22nd. They were 11th in yards per game and 10th in yards per play, averaging 347.8 yards per contest. The Vikings were one of the more pass-heavy offenses in the NFL, ranking 6th in passing attempts per game and 5th in passing yards per game.

However, their rushing game struggled, finishing 28th in attempts and 29th in yards. They managed only 91.4 rushing yards per game and 3.8 yards per attempt, ranking 24th in both categories. Despite their struggles running the ball, the Vikings were 13th in scoring on the road, averaging 21.1 points per game.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Vikings -122 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Giants Prediction: Total

The Vikings’ defense forced 22 takeaways last season, ranking 9th in the league. They were right in the middle of the pack in terms of yards allowed, giving up 333.2 yards per game, which placed them 16th in the NFL. For the season, they allowed 21.3 points per game, which was 12th best in the league.

Minnesota’s run defense was solid, giving up just 3.8 yards per attempt, the 4th best mark in the league. However, opposing quarterbacks completed 70.3% of their passes against the Vikings, ranking 30th, and had a collective passer rating of 93.16, placing Minnesota 26th in that category.

Minnesota’s defense was 12th in points allowed last season, giving up 21.3 points per game. They were tough on the road, ranking 4th in road points allowed at 19.6, but at home, they dropped to 24th, allowing 23.2 points per game. The Vikings were 16th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up an average of 333.2 yards per game.

One area of strength for the Vikings was their ability to take the ball away, as their 22 takeaways ranked 9th in the NFL. They also defended the run well, giving up just 3.8 yards per attempt, which was 4th best in the league. However, they struggled to get off the field, allowing opposing offenses to convert on 41.4% of their third down attempts.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 41.5 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Giants Prediction: Spread

The Vikings went 5-1-3 against the spread on the road last season but struggled at home with a 2-6 ATS record. Overall, the Vikings were 7-7-3 ATS. Minnesota finished the 2023 season with a 7-10 record, placing them 3rd in the NFC North and 10th in the NFC. Within their division, they went 2-4, and they struggled in non-conference games, going only 1-4.

When favored, the Vikings went 4-3 straight-up, and as underdogs, they went 3-7. Their home/road splits were interesting, as they were 5-4 on the road and only 2-6 at home. Their over/under record was 7-10, with their games averaging a combined 41.5 points. Minnesota’s record vs. the spread was 7-7-3.

• Minnesota has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). Their record vs the spread sits at 0-3 in these matchups, while posting a 3-0 over-under mark.
• When looking at their past five road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 2-1-2 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.

The Vikings’ home struggles were evident last season, as they went 2-6 at home compared to 5-4 on the road. Overall, they finished the 2023 season with a 7-10 record, placing them 3rd in the NFC North and 10th in the NFC. Within their division, the Vikings went 2-4, and they really struggled in non-conference games, going only 1-4.

Minnesota’s record vs. the spread was 7-7-3, and they performed better on the road, going 5-1-3 compared to 2-6 at home. When favored, the Vikings went 4-3 straight-up, and as underdogs, they went 3-7. Their over/under record for the season was 7-10, with their games averaging a combined 41.5 points.

• Spanning across their last three games, New York have gone 2-1. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 3-0 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, New York has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 17 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.

• Free Spread Prediction Vikings -1.5 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Giants Pick: Vikings Moneyline (-122)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Vikings to cover as road favorites in their week one matchup against the Giants. Right now, the point spread has the Vikings at -1.5, and we have them winning by a score of 24-17.

For this week one matchup, we have a point-spread pick and an over/under pick. With the line sitting at 41.5 points, we like the under, projecting a combined score of 41 points.