Yankees vs Rangers Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 3rd
Carlos Rodon is starting for the Yankees on Tuesday, and they are facing the Rangers, who will be starting Andrew Heaney. The game is set to get started at 8:05 PM ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington. The Yankees are 1st in the AL East with a record of 80-58, while the Rangers are 3rd in the AL West at 65-73.
New York is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. YES will be televising this game, and the Yankees are 7.5 games up on the Blue Jays in the AL East. Texas is +114 on the money line compared to the Yankees at -135.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 (+119) | Rangers 1.5 (-145)
- Total: 9
- MoneyLine: Yankees -135 | Rangers +114
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Yankees vs. Rangers Prediction: Moneyline
New York cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 6th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -198 on the money line.
Gerrit Cole got the win for the Yankees, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued one walk. Jack Leiter had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.
At the plate, Giancarlo Stanton hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs. Gleyber Torres also had a three-hit game for New York. Wyatt Langford hit the game’s other home run for the Rangers, going 2/4 with two RBIs.
The Yankees hold a slim half-game lead over the Orioles in the AL East as they are 80-58 overall. New York is 43-27 on the road this season and just above .500 at home with a mark of 37-31. So far, they have gone just 22-23 in divisional matchups.
So far, the Yankees have been good as the favorite, going 62-51 this year, including 26-22 as the favorite on the road. New York is 18-7 as the underdog this season, and they are 25-15-4 in series this year, but they have dropped two straight series.
The Rangers are 65-73 overall and trail the Astros by 10 games in the AL West. Currently, they are 3rd in the division, four games behind the Mariners for the 2nd spot in the AL West. Texas lost the first game of this series vs. the Yankees and has an overall division record of 16-19.
At home, the Rangers are 36-33 this season compared to a road record of 29-40. As the underdog, Texas is just 21-41 this season and 44-32 when favored. The Rangers have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 18-25-1 this season.
Yankees vs. Rangers Prediction: Over/Under
On the season, the Yankees have a combined run average of 9.3, and their over/under record is 76-58. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 11-15-2. So far this season, 15.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs. The over has hit in four straight games for the Yankees.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs this season, but they also have the league’s top offense in terms of OPS and are 2nd in runs scored (5.1 per game). Their team batting average of .252 is 9th in the league, and they have the best team on-base percentage in the MLB. New York’s offense has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.
Heading into the game, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the team’s top two hitters in terms of batting average. Judge is hitting .326 and has the most home runs in the league (51) and RBIs (124) in the league. Over his last six games, Giancarlo Stanton has gone 6/20 with two homers and five RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone 10/21 with a homer during that stretch.
The Texas Rangers have seen their games go over the total in two straight contests, but their overall over/under record for the season is just 61-72. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the New York Yankees is set at 9 runs. The Rangers have played 19 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, which accounts for just 13.8% of their games.
Corey Seager has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Rangers, going 14/39 in his last nine games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .278 with 30 homers and 74 RBIs. Adolis Garcia is 2nd on the team with 21 homers but is batting just .223.
As a team, the Rangers are 24th in runs per game at 4.1 and have been even worse at home, averaging just 4 runs per contest. They are also near the bottom of the league in team OPS, on-base percentage, and isolated power.
Yankees vs. Rangers Prediction: Spread
The Yankees have been a solid run line team this season, going 73-65 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 42-28 against the run line. They have an average run margin of 0.9 runs per game this season, and their average run margin in winning games is 4.2 runs per game.
Carlos Rodón will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Rangers. In that outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Looking back further, Rodón has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. One positive note is that he has made 13 quality starts this season. Rodón’s overall record is 14-9, and his ERA is 4.30. Out of his 27 appearances, he has come out of the bullpen once. Rodón’s ERA on the road is 5.81, compared to 3.68 at home.
When the Rangers are the favorite, they are just 24-52 vs. the run line, and their average run margin is -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 32-30 vs. the run line, and their average run margin in those games is -0.1.
Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Yankees at home. He has made 26 starts this year and has a record of 4-13 with an ERA of 3.95. Heaney’s WHIP for the season is 1.24, and opponents are batting .242 off him this year. In his last outing, Heaney finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Heaney has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 8.91 strikeouts per nine innings.
Yankees vs. Rangers Pick: Rangers ML +114
With the Rangers at +114 on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going in this one. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Rangers, giving us a lot of value in picking them to win outright.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Andrew Heaney finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among all starters today. As for Carlos Rodón, we have him picking up six strikeouts, which is ninth among starters.
