Twins vs Rays Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 3rd
The Twins and Rays will face off in an AL matchup at 6:50 PM ET at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. The money line odds have the Twins at -106 compared to the Rays at -113. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
David Festa is starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against Jeffrey Springs. Minnesota is 75-62 and the Rays have lost two straight, putting them at 67-70. The Twins are currently 2nd in the AL Central, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East. BSSUN is carrying this one on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Twins -1.5 (+161) | Rays 1.5 (-201)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Twins -106 | Rays -113
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Twins vs. Rays Prediction: Moneyline
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Rays series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -115 and squeaked out a 5-4 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Rays could only muster one more run in the 3rd inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th, and both offenses went silent after that.
Trevor Larnach and Jose Miranda each homered for the Twins, while Brooks Lee scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Royce Lewis also had a two-hit game for Minnesota.
Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for the Twins, going just 3 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out two. Jorge Alcala got the win out of the bullpen, and Jhoan Duran got the save. Zack Littell only went four innings for the Rays, giving up four earned runs on seven hits.
Minnesota is 75-62 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL Central, 3.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins took the first game of this series vs. the Rays and are 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central. Overall, they have gone 4-6 across their last ten games.
As the road team today, the Twins are 36-32 this season, compared to 39-30 at home. Minnesota has been good as the favorite this season, going 59-36, and they are 16-26 as the underdog. Minnesota has an overall series record of 25-16-3 this year.
The Rays are 67-70 overall, and they are 12.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are in 4th place in the division, two games behind the Red Sox for the 3rd spot in the AL East. Tampa Bay has dropped two straight games, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Rays are 35-37 this season and 32-33 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 33-40 this year, and they are 34-30 when favored. For the season, the Rays’ record as the underdog is 33-40. Tampa Bay has dropped three straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 21-18-5.
Twins vs. Rays Prediction: Over/Under
The Twins are on the road today against the Rays with the over/under line set at 7.5. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-63. When the line is set at 7.5, their record is 19-16. Overall, 63.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5.
Carlos Santana, Ryan Jeffers, and Willi Castro have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Jeffers leads the team with 20 homers, and Santana and Castro have 18 and 11, respectively. Jeffers and Santana are also near the top of the team in RBIs, with Jeffers leading the way at 59. The Twins come into the game as the 7th highest-scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per contest.
Brooks Lee has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins, going 3/8 in his last two games with a home run. Overall, he is batting .375 in his last two games. Trevor Larnach has also gone deep in his last six games, going 4/16 over that stretch. Royce Lewis and Carlos Correa are both on four-game hitting streaks.
The Tampa Bay Rays have an over/under record of 62-68 this season, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they have a record of 22-25. Overall, 79 of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 or higher, accounting for 57.7% of their games this season.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .274 with 12 home runs and a team-leading 59 RBIs. However, he has gone just 3/13 in his last four games. Christopher Morel and Jose Siri have also struggled this season, batting .196 and .193, respectively. Morel leads the team with 21 homers, and Siri is right behind him with 17.
Overall, the Rays’ offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and batting average. As a team, they have been striking out 9 times per game, which is 24th in the league.
Twins vs. Rays Prediction: Spread
When the Twins win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs in those games. That’s a big reason why they are 65-72 against the run line this season. They have been a better bet on the road, going 36-32 against the run line, compared to 29-40 at home. They have been a favorite in the majority of their games, going 43-52 against the run line in those contests.
Right-hander David Festa gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.89. Festa’s WHIP for the season is 1.21, and opponents are batting .225 off him this year. In his last outing, Festa took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Festa has made one quality start this year and is averaging 10.84 strikeouts per nine innings.
When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.7 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.5 runs per game. That’s why their run line record is just 69-68 on the season despite an average run margin of -0.5 runs per game. They’ve been a much better bet on the run line on the road than at home, going 37-28 vs. the run line away from Tropicana Field.
Left-hander Jeffrey Springs gets the start for the Rays today and will be facing the Twins at home. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.67. Springs most recently faced the Mariners, where he went five innings, didn’t give up an earned run, and finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .275 off Springs this year, and his WHIP is 1.44.
Twins vs. Rays Pick: Rays ML -113
Our pick for this Twins vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays on the money line at -113. We have the Rays winning this one by a score of 5-4. At home, the Rays are a good pick to win straight up, and there is some value in taking them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jeffrey Springs finishing with six strikeouts compared to David Festa with five. Springs is also projected to give up fewer runs than Festa, and we have him finishing with a better chance of picking up the win.
